Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	17	Bucks	32%	114	98	105.4	93	86.3
	10	Pacers	68%	120	120	129.0	93	100.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	39.8	6	27%	2	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	37.9	14	47%	8	3	2	0	3	5	4	4	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	35.9	20	50%	15	2	0	0	2	2	6	9	3-7	43%	7-16	44%	1-1	100%
Damian Lillard #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 34	34.7	28	67%	2	4	0	0	3	1	0	2	10-10	100%	3-4	75%	4-12	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	30.7	20	63%	5	1	0	0	2	3	3	2	6-9	67%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	22.7	2	20%	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	16.4	3	38%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	5.2	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	3.8	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	2.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	2.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-3	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	40	19	4	3	12	18	15	25	21-32	66%	28-56	50%	7-27	26%

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17 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Patrick Beverley #21 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 36	39.8	6	27%	2	5	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-3	0%
Khris Middleton #22 · SF · 6'7" 222 · 33	37.9	14	47%	8	3	2	0	3	5	4	4	1-1	100%	5-11	45%	1-4	25%
Bobby Portis Jr. #9 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 29	35.9	20	50%	15	2	0	0	2	2	6	9	3-7	43%	7-16	44%	1-1	100%
Damian Lillard #0 · SG · 6'2" 200 · 34	34.7	28	67%	2	4	0	0	3	1	0	2	10-10	100%	3-4	75%	4-12	33%
Brook Lopez #11 · C · 7'1" 282 · 36	30.7	20	63%	5	1	0	0	2	3	3	2	6-9	67%	7-10	70%	0-2	0%

Malik Beasley #5 · SG · 6'5" 196 · 27	22.7	2	20%	2	1	1	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Pat Connaughton #24 · SG · 6'5" 209 · 31	16.4	3	38%	5	1	0	0	1	1	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
AJ Green #20 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 25	5.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Jackson Jr. #44 · SG · 6'6" 209 · 22	5.2	2	100%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari #12 · SF · 6'10" 225 · 36	3.8	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
MarJon Beauchamp #3 · SF · 6'7" 199 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Thanasis Antetokounmpo #43 · SF · 6'7" 219 · 32	2.5	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Livingston #7 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 21	2.5	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-3	0%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jae Crowder #99 · SF · 6'6" 235 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Giannis Antetokounmpo #34 · PF · 6'11" 243 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Soleus; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	40	19	4	3	12	18	15	25	21-32	66%	28-56	50%	7-27	26%

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10 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Andrew Nembhard #2 · SG · 6'4" 191 · 24	37.0	14	78%	5	4	2	1	1	2	1	4	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	1-3	33%
Pascal Siakam #43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30	35.2	19	63%	7	4	1	0	1	4	1	6	0-0	-	8-12	67%	1-3	33%
Tyrese Haliburton #0 · PG · 6'5" 185 · 24	31.6	17	53%	6	10	0	0	2	1	1	5	1-1	100%	5-6	83%	2-10	20%
Aaron Nesmith #23 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25	29.5	15	68%	3	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%
Myles Turner #33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28	23.4	5	31%	5	1	0	1	1	4	2	3	3-4	75%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Obi Toppin #1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26	24.4	21	66%	8	2	0	1	2	1	2	6	2-2	100%	5-5	100%	3-10	30%
T.J. McConnell #9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32	22.9	20	91%	2	9	4	0	1	4	0	2	4-4	100%	5-7	71%	2-2	100%
Ben Sheppard #26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23	19.0	3	50%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Isaiah Jackson #22 · PF · 6'8" 205 · 22	10.4	4	100%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	2-3	67%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Jarace Walker #5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21	2.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kendall Brown #10 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 21
Doug McDermott #20 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 32	1.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jalen Smith #25 · PF · 6'8" 244 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
James Johnson #16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bennedict Mathurin #00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	120	63%	44	33	7	0	10	26	7	37	15-17	88%	33-45	73%	13-40	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND
Clock	Team	Event	MIL	IND

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL

0.99 49.5%

IND

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIL

14

23

61%

IND

21

25

84%

Midrange

MIL

14

33

42%

IND

12

20

60%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIL

7

10.5

27

26%

39%

IND

13

19.5

40

33%

49%

Free Throws

MIL

21

32

66%

IND

15

17

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lillard	28	67%	14.0 / 21
B. Portis	20	50%	10.0 / 20
B. Lopez	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Middleton	14	47%	7.0 / 15
P. Beverley	6	27%	3.0 / 11
P. Connaughton	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Beasley	2	20%	1.0 / 5
A. Jackson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
C. Livingston	2	50%	1.0 / 2
D. Gallinari	1	50%	0.5 / 1
M. Beauchamp	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
O. Toppin	21	66%	10.5 / 16
T. McConnell	20	91%	10.0 / 11
P. Siakam	19	63%	9.5 / 15
T. Haliburton	17	53%	8.5 / 16
A. Nesmith	15	68%	7.5 / 11
A. Nembhard	14	78%	7.0 / 9
M. Turner	5	31%	2.5 / 8
I. Jackson	4	100%	2.0 / 2
B. Sheppard	3	50%	1.5 / 3
K. Brown	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 116.8 1 120.3	MIL 105.4 IND 129.0 +23.7
Pace	11 93.0 7 93.6	MIL 86.3 IND 100.7 +14.4
Avg. Poss. Time	17 16.3 29 14.5	MIL 16.7 IND 14.3 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 53.8% 1 57.6%	MIL 46.4% IND 61.8% +15.4%
TO %	1 10.4% 8 12.1%	MIL 11.0% IND 10.6% −0.4%
ORB %	11 22.1% 8 25.4%	MIL 28.8% +6.9% IND 21.9%
FTrt	8 24.5 15 18.4	MIL 38.6 +18.6 IND 20.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	16 54.3% 1 66.8%	MIL 54.3% IND 71.7% +17.4%
STL %	15 5.6% 14 5.8%	MIL 4.3% IND 7.5% +3.2%
BLK %	13 7.4% 12 8.7%	MIL 6.7% +6.7% IND 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	4 56.8% 1 58.5%	MIL 49.5% IND 63.2% +13.7%
Rim FG%	6 62.8% 4 67.1%	MIL 60.9% IND 84.0% +23.1%
Mid FG%	2 47.9% 1 50.0%	MIL 42.4% IND 60.0% +17.6%
3P %	10 35.4% 4 37.2%	MIL 25.9% IND 32.5% +6.6%
FT %	5 81.9% 15 74.6%	MIL 65.6% IND 88.2% +22.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 26.4% 9 31.8%	MIL 27.7% IND 29.4% +1.7%
Mid Att. %	15 37.1% 11 31.0%	MIL 39.8% IND 23.5% −16.2%
3P Att. %	13 36.5% 11 37.2%	MIL 32.5% IND 47.1% +14.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.

Game Totals	MIL	IND
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.2
Points	98	120
Rebounds	40	44
Assists	19	33
Steals	4	7
Blocks	3	0
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	10 (1)
Fouls	18	26
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (3)	7 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (2)	37 (0)
Field Goals	35-83	46-85
At-the-Rim FG	14-23	21-25
Midrange FG	14-33	12-20
2-Point FG	28-56	33-45
3-Point FG	7-27	13-40
Free Throws	21-32	15-17
Fast Break Pts	6	21
2nd Chance Pts	17	12
Points in Paint	46	60
Pts off Turnovers	11	22
Bench Points	10	50
Biggest Lead	7	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg