Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	48%	112	112	115.5	97	91.0
	10	Lakers	52%	113	105	106.1	99	106.0

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	41.3	29	69%	15	3	1	0	2	0	5	10	5-6	83%	12-17	71%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	40.6	22	46%	5	9	0	1	4	0	1	4	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	39.0	24	80%	15	9	1	0	3	4	5	10	6-7	86%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.1	5	36%	2	1	2	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.0	20	59%	10	3	0	0	2	3	1	9	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.3	5	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	16.2	2	33%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	7.4	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	51	27	4	3	13	14	14	37	19-22	86%	39-62	63%	5-28	18%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	41.3	29	69%	15	3	1	0	2	0	5	10	5-6	83%	12-17	71%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	40.6	22	46%	5	9	0	1	4	0	1	4	5-6	83%	7-15	47%	1-6	17%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	39.0	24	80%	15	9	1	0	3	4	5	10	6-7	86%	9-12	75%	0-1	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	35.1	5	36%	2	1	2	0	2	3	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.0	20	59%	10	3	0	0	2	3	1	9	2-2	100%	6-10	60%	2-6	33%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.3	5	50%	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	1	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	16.2	2	33%	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	8.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	7.4	5	83%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	57%	51	27	4	3	13	14	14	37	19-22	86%	39-62	63%	5-28	18%

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10 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	42.6	33	63%	15	3	1	0	2	5	5	10	5-7	71%	14-23	61%	0-0	-
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	42.1	26	62%	6	9	2	1	3	3	0	6	1-2	50%	11-14	79%	1-6	17%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	40.8	22	58%	5	3	4	0	0	3	2	3	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	27.9	5	50%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	24.3	0	0%	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-6	0%

Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	21.8	8	44%	2	3	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	20.2	4	50%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	20.2	7	50%	1	2	0	0	0	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Sprain
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar; Disc Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	52%	38	23	8	2	7	16	8	30	12-17	71%	39-63	62%	5-27	19%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.13 56.6%

LAL

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

22

33

67%

LAL

30

40

75%

Midrange

DEN

17

29

59%

LAL

9

23

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

5

7.5

28

18%

27%

LAL

5

7.5

27

19%

28%

Free Throws

DEN

19

22

86%

LAL

12

17

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	29	69%	14.5 / 21
N. Jokić	24	80%	12.0 / 15
J. Murray	22	46%	11.0 / 24
M. Porter	20	59%	10.0 / 17
K. Caldwell-Pope	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Braun	5	50%	2.5 / 5
R. Jackson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Watson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Davis	33	63%	16.5 / 26
L. James	26	62%	13.0 / 21
A. Reaves	22	58%	11.0 / 19
S. Dinwiddie	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Prince	7	50%	3.5 / 7
R. Hachimura	5	50%	2.5 / 5
G. Vincent	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Russell	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 109.5 9 109.7	DEN 115.5 +9.4 LAL 106.1
Pace	9 93.4 1 97.1	DEN 91.0 LAL 106.0 +15.1
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.6 28 14.6	DEN 15.8 LAL 13.6 −2.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 51.9% 3 54.4%	DEN 51.7% LAL 51.7%
TO %	10 12.1% 2 10.7%	DEN 11.5% LAL 6.7% −4.8%
ORB %	10 22.8% 15 17.5%	DEN 31.8% +14.0% LAL 17.8%
FTrt	13 19.6 10 22.2	DEN 24.4 +5.5 LAL 18.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 64.0% 7 58.7%	DEN 61.4% +9.1% LAL 52.3%
STL %	7 6.8% 11 6.3%	DEN 4.1% LAL 8.1% +4.0%
BLK %	10 9.2% 15 4.9%	DEN 4.8% +1.6% LAL 3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 54.2% 8 55.3%	DEN 56.6% +5.1% LAL 51.5%
Rim FG%	9 61.3% 3 67.3%	DEN 66.7% LAL 75.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%	10 42.9% 3 47.2%	DEN 58.6% +19.5% LAL 39.1%
3P %	11 33.2% 15 29.9%	DEN 17.9% LAL 18.5% +0.6%
FT %	4 83.0% 12 76.6%	DEN 86.4% +15.8% LAL 70.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 34.6% 1 39.7%	DEN 36.7% LAL 44.4% +7.8%
Mid Att. %	6 28.3% 4 25.5%	DEN 32.2% LAL 25.6% −6.7%
3P Att. %	12 37.1% 15 34.8%	DEN 31.1% +1.1% LAL 30.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	97	99
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	112	105
Rebounds	51	38
Assists	27	23
Steals	4	8
Blocks	3	2
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls	14	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (1)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (1)	30 (2)
Field Goals	44-90	44-90
At-the-Rim FG	22-33	30-40
Midrange FG	17-29	9-23
2-Point FG	39-62	39-63
3-Point FG	5-28	5-27
Free Throws	19-22	12-17
Fast Break Pts	14	25
2nd Chance Pts	19	13
Points in Paint	60	70
Pts off Turnovers	7	20
Bench Points	12	19
Biggest Lead	15	12

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg