Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Nuggets	51%	113	108	105.9	102	105.9
	10	Lakers	49%	112	119	115.5	103	100.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	41.6	7	44%	3	4	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	41.1	33	69%	14	14	1	1	3	4	5	9	11-11	100%	8-15	53%	2-5	40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	40.3	14	88%	2	3	4	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	40.1	27	61%	11	1	1	0	2	1	2	9	3-5	60%	6-9	67%	4-11	36%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	39.1	22	44%	6	5	0	1	4	1	1	5	4-5	80%	9-19	47%	0-4	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	12.9	2	25%	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	11.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	8.8	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	4.5	3	50%	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	40	30	9	2	14	15	9	31	21-25	84%	30-57	53%	9-30	30%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	41.6	7	44%	3	4	1	0	2	1	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	41.1	33	69%	14	14	1	1	3	4	5	9	11-11	100%	8-15	53%	2-5	40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	40.3	14	88%	2	3	4	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	2-3	67%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	40.1	27	61%	11	1	1	0	2	1	2	9	3-5	60%	6-9	67%	4-11	36%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	39.1	22	44%	6	5	0	1	4	1	1	5	4-5	80%	9-19	47%	0-4	0%

Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	12.9	2	25%	0	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	11.5	0	0%	2	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	8.8	0	0%	2	2	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	4.5	3	50%	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	108	55%	40	30	9	2	14	15	9	31	21-25	84%	30-57	53%	9-30	30%

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10 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Davis #3 · C · 6'10" 253 · 31	41.6	25	69%	23	6	0	1	1	4	3	20	3-4	75%	11-17	65%	0-0	-
D'Angelo Russell #1 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 28	41.0	21	66%	4	4	1	0	1	2	1	3	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	4-8	50%
LeBron James #23 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 39	38.8	30	63%	5	4	3	1	6	0	1	4	2-2	100%	14-21	67%	0-2	0%
Austin Reaves #15 · SG · 6'5" 197 · 26	29.5	21	58%	1	6	0	0	1	2	0	1	6-6	100%	6-9	67%	1-6	17%
Rui Hachimura #28 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 26	21.6	9	56%	4	1	0	0	0	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-3	33%

Taurean Prince #12 · PF · 6'6" 218 · 30	29.5	9	56%	3	1	1	0	1	4	0	3	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%
Gabe Vincent #7 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 28	17.4	3	38%	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Spencer Dinwiddie #26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 31	14.2	1	25%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jaxson Hayes #11 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24	6.4	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Christian Wood #35 · PF · 6'9" 214 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Max Christie #10 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Maxwell Lewis #21 · SF · 6'7" 195 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jarred Vanderbilt #2 · PF · 6'8" 214 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Midfoot; Sprain
Cam Reddish #5 · SF · 6'8" 208 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
Jalen Hood-Schifino #0 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 21	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Lumbar Disc; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	57%	46	23	6	4	11	20	8	38	15-18	83%	40-66	61%	8-26	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.10 55.1%

LAL

1.14 57.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

21

37

57%

LAL

30

41

73%

Midrange

DEN

9

20

45%

LAL

10

25

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

9

13.5

30

30%

45%

LAL

8

12.0

26

31%

46%

Free Throws

DEN

21

25

84%

LAL

15

18

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	33	69%	16.5 / 24
M. Porter	27	61%	13.5 / 22
J. Murray	22	44%	11.0 / 25
K. Caldwell-Pope	14	88%	7.0 / 8
A. Gordon	7	44%	3.5 / 8
J. Holiday	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Watson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
C. Braun	0	-	0.0 / 2
R. Jackson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. James	30	63%	15.0 / 24
A. Davis	25	69%	12.5 / 18
D. Russell	21	66%	10.5 / 16
A. Reaves	21	58%	10.5 / 18
R. Hachimura	9	56%	4.5 / 8
T. Prince	9	56%	4.5 / 8
G. Vincent	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Dinwiddie	1	25%	0.5 / 2
J. Hayes	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 109.5 9 109.7	DEN 105.9 LAL 115.5 +9.7
Pace	9 93.4 1 97.1	DEN 105.9 +5.4 LAL 100.5
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.6 28 14.6	DEN 13.6 −0.7 LAL 14.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 51.9% 3 54.4%	DEN 50.0% LAL 56.5% +6.5%
TO %	10 12.1% 2 10.7%	DEN 12.5% LAL 10.7% −1.8%
ORB %	10 22.8% 15 17.5%	DEN 19.1% LAL 20.5% +1.4%
FTrt	13 19.6 10 22.2	DEN 28.7 +9.1 LAL 19.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 64.0% 7 58.7%	DEN 76.9% +29.0% LAL 47.9%
STL %	7 6.8% 11 6.3%	DEN 8.8% +3.0% LAL 5.8%
BLK %	10 9.2% 15 4.9%	DEN 3.0% LAL 7.0% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 54.2% 8 55.3%	DEN 55.1% LAL 57.2% +2.1%
Rim FG%	9 61.3% 3 67.3%	DEN 56.8% LAL 73.2% +16.4%
Mid FG%	10 42.9% 3 47.2%	DEN 45.0% +5.0% LAL 40.0%
3P %	11 33.2% 15 29.9%	DEN 30.0% LAL 30.8% +0.8%
FT %	4 83.0% 12 76.6%	DEN 84.0% +0.7% LAL 83.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 34.6% 1 39.7%	DEN 42.5% LAL 44.6% +2.0%
Mid Att. %	6 28.3% 4 25.5%	DEN 23.0% −4.2% LAL 27.2%
3P Att. %	12 37.1% 15 34.8%	DEN 34.5% +6.2% LAL 28.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	102	103
Possession Minutes	23.1	24.6
Points	108	119
Rebounds	40	46
Assists	30	23
Steals	9	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	15	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (1)	8 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	38 (1)
Field Goals	39-87	48-92
At-the-Rim FG	21-37	30-41
Midrange FG	9-20	10-25
2-Point FG	30-57	40-66
3-Point FG	9-30	8-26
Free Throws	21-25	15-18
Fast Break Pts	12	8
2nd Chance Pts	5	14
Points in Paint	52	72
Pts off Turnovers	12	13
Bench Points	5	13
Biggest Lead	0	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg