Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Suns	40%	106	93	97.9	95	95.3
	4	Timberwolves	60%	110	105	111.7	94	93.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 31	42.3	14	41%	4	6	0	0	4	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-13	31%	2-4	50%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 27	41.6	20	63%	3	5	2	0	6	6	1	2	7-8	88%	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	41.1	18	50%	6	2	1	1	2	3	0	6	6-7	86%	6-13	46%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	31.0	10	42%	14	4	0	0	3	4	6	8	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Grayson Allen #8 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 29	17.4	3	75%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 35	23.0	15	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 31	17.4	0	0%	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 27	17.0	8	50%	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #2 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 24	2.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nassir Little #25 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	2.3	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young #30 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Thomas #4 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Meniscus; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	52%	41	19	7	1	19	22	11	30	15-19	79%	27-56	48%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

7 Phoenix Suns

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bradley Beal #3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 31	42.3	14	41%	4	6	0	0	4	2	1	3	0-0	-	4-13	31%	2-4	50%
Devin Booker #1 · PG · 6'5" 206 · 27	41.6	20	63%	3	5	2	0	6	6	1	2	7-8	88%	5-7	71%	1-6	17%
Kevin Durant #35 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 36	41.1	18	50%	6	2	1	1	2	3	0	6	6-7	86%	6-13	46%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić #20 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	31.0	10	42%	14	4	0	0	3	4	6	8	0-2	0%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Grayson Allen #8 · SF · 6'3" 198 · 29	17.4	3	75%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%

Eric Gordon #23 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 35	23.0	15	75%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	3-5	60%
Royce O'Neale #00 · SF · 6'6" 226 · 31	17.4	0	0%	4	1	0	0	2	3	1	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Drew Eubanks #14 · C · 6'10" 245 · 27	17.0	8	50%	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Josh Okogie #2 · SG · 6'4" 213 · 26	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Bol Bol #11 · PF · 7'2" 208 · 24	2.3	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nassir Little #25 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 24	2.3	5	83%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
David Roddy #21 · PF · 6'5" 255 · 23	2.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Thaddeus Young #30 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Isaiah Thomas #4 · PG · 5'9" 185 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damion Lee #10 · SG · 6'6" 210 · 32	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Meniscus; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	52%	41	19	7	1	19	22	11	30	15-19	79%	27-56	48%	8-22	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	41.4	25	66%	8	3	1	0	1	3	5	3	3-4	75%	8-13	62%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	39.2	18	82%	9	2	3	1	1	2	2	7	6-7	86%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	37.9	15	47%	5	8	3	1	3	4	0	5	7-8	88%	1-6	17%	2-6	33%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.6	18	69%	4	4	2	0	2	0	2	2	1-1	100%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	23.6	12	67%	8	1	1	0	4	4	0	8	5-5	100%	2-3	67%	1-4	25%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	30.9	10	50%	2	5	1	0	1	2	0	2	1-1	100%	3-6	50%	1-4	25%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	16.8	5	36%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-3	0%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	10.6	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	56%	39	23	11	2	13	21	10	29	26-30	87%	26-46	57%	9-32	28%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	PHX	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

PHX

1.03 51.7%

MIN

1.13 56.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

PHX

15

26

58%

MIN

18

27

67%

Midrange

PHX

12

30

40%

MIN

8

19

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

PHX

8

12.0

22

36%

55%

MIN

9

13.5

32

28%

42%

Free Throws

PHX

15

19

79%

MIN

26

30

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Suns

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Booker	20	63%	10.0 / 16
K. Durant	18	50%	9.0 / 18
E. Gordon	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Beal	14	41%	7.0 / 17
J. Nurkić	10	42%	5.0 / 12
D. Eubanks	8	50%	4.0 / 8
N. Little	5	83%	2.5 / 3
G. Allen	3	75%	1.5 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. McDaniels	25	66%	12.5 / 19
R. Gobert	18	82%	9.0 / 11
M. Conley	18	69%	9.0 / 13
A. Edwards	15	47%	7.5 / 16
K. Towns	12	67%	6.0 / 9
N. Alexander-Walker	10	50%	5.0 / 10
N. Reid	5	36%	2.5 / 7
M. Morris	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 1
W. Moore	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 109.0 6 115.1	PHX 97.9 MIN 111.7 +13.8
Pace	5 94.7 10 93.4	PHX 95.3 +1.6 MIN 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.1 19 15.7	PHX 15.1 −0.3 MIN 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 52.8% 5 53.8%	PHX 50.0% MIN 50.6% +0.6%
TO %	14 14.2% 9 12.1%	PHX 18.8% MIN 13.3% −5.5%
ORB %	14 18.2% 4 26.3%	PHX 27.5% +2.5% MIN 25.0%
FTrt	1 37.0 4 28.5	PHX 24.4 MIN 38.5 +14.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 56.0% 4 61.8%	PHX 54.3% MIN 65.7% +11.4%
STL %	4 7.9% 5 7.8%	PHX 7.4% MIN 11.7% +4.3%
BLK %	14 6.7% 9 9.5%	PHX 2.2% MIN 3.6% +1.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 57.0% 6 55.8%	PHX 51.7% MIN 56.5% +4.8%
Rim FG%	10 59.8% 8 61.4%	PHX 57.7% MIN 66.7% +9.0%
Mid FG%	8 43.3% 9 43.2%	PHX 40.0% MIN 42.1% +2.1%
3P %	5 36.5% 8 35.9%	PHX 36.4% +8.3% MIN 28.1%
FT %	3 83.0% 10 77.5%	PHX 78.9% MIN 86.7% +7.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 33.7% 2 35.4%	PHX 33.3% MIN 34.6% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	14 32.0% 3 25.3%	PHX 38.5% MIN 24.4% −14.1%
3P Att. %	16 34.3% 8 39.3%	PHX 28.2% MIN 41.0% +12.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	PHX	MIN
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	23.9	24.1
Points	93	105
Rebounds	41	39
Assists	19	23
Steals	7	11
Blocks	1	2
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls	22	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	29 (2)
Field Goals	35-78	35-78
At-the-Rim FG	15-26	18-27
Midrange FG	12-30	8-19
2-Point FG	27-56	26-46
3-Point FG	8-22	9-32
Free Throws	15-19	26-30
Fast Break Pts	8	13
2nd Chance Pts	11	13
Points in Paint	40	48
Pts off Turnovers	2	31
Bench Points	28	17
Biggest Lead	8	19

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg