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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 3, 2024
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Clippers31%109101
7Mavericks69%116114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 34.7
43.4
35.3
16
42%
7
13
2
1
1
1
0
7
6-7
86%
5-10
3-5
50%
49%
0-6
0%
Paul George
F · 6'8" 220 · 34.0
42.2
34.5
18
46%
11
5
1
1
1
2
2
9
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
50%
2-10
20%
Terance Mann
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27.5
38.6
30.7
14
71%
6
3
0
1
0
2
5
1
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
59%
2-4
50%
Ivica Zubac
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
37.0
28.2
17
59%
11
1
0
0
0
1
4
7
5-8
63%
6-11
6-9
55%
62%
0-0
-
P.J. Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 39.0
20.2
6.5
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Norman Powell
G · 6'4" 215 · 30.9
36.0
26.9
20
57%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
6-8
75%
4-8
2-5
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 35.5
9.1
18.2
6
36%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-3
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Coffey
G-F · 6'8" 210 · 26.9
8.3
24.1
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
F-C · 6'10" 254 · 34.2
1.5
14.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
61%
0-0
-
Bones Hyland
G · 6'2" 169 · 23.6
1.2
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Boston Jr.
G · 6'6" 188 · 22.4
1.2
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Kobe Brown
F · 6'7" 250 · 24.3
1.2
4.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
0-0
-
Daniel Theis
F-C · 6'9" 243 · 32.1
3.9
0
0-1
59%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 225 · 32.8
Kai Jones
C-F · 6'11" 221 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luka Doncic
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 25.2
43.1
40.5
28
45%
7
13
1
1
1
5
1
6
9-11
82%
8-16
7-12
50%
57%
1-10
10%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'2" 195 · 32.1
42.3
37.4
30
71%
6
4
2
1
2
1
1
5
3-5
60%
6-10
5-10
60%
55%
5-9
56%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.2
36.1
28.8
6
60%
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
3-4
75%
61%
0-1
0%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'6" 230 · 25.7
34.7
32.5
14
65%
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
55%
4-8
50%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 25.6
22.5
18.5
13
70%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
3-3
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
69%
0-0
-
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.2
24.1
20.8
10
77%
9
3
1
1
0
0
5
4
4-8
50%
3-3
4-5
100%
70%
0-0
-
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
21.4
17.2
7
70%
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
60%
1-3
33%
Dante Exum
G · 6'5" 214 · 28.8
7.0
8.0
2
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.3
5.1
19.6
4
52%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
59%
1-3
33%
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'3" 198 · 21.8
1.2
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.8
1.2
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Dwight Powell
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
1.2
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
69%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
0.7
0
0-0
44%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'7" 230 · 21.8
Tim Hardaway Jr.
G-F · 6'5" 205 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.