FinalWin Prob.pScore
1032%110
117
668%117
121
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
123.295101.6
NYK logo NYK
126.09690.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KnicksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

KnicksPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDNYK
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.117
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:04.1PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)117
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.7KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2117
2.2%
121
97.8%
Q4 - 0:10.7KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
2.6%
120
97.4%
Q4 - 0:10.7PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)117
3.1%
119
96.9%
Q4 - 0:12.7KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 1117
6.1%
119
93.9%
Q4 - 0:12.7PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Away from play) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)117
7.1%
118
92.9%
Q4 - 0:12.7PacersMyles Turner turnover (offensive foul)117
7.6%
118
92.4%
Q4 - 0:12.7PacersMyles Turner offensive foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)117
37.2%
118
62.8%
Q4 - 0:18.4KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)117
35.9%
118
64.1%
Q4 - 0:26.6PacersPascal Siakam makes two point driving finger roll layup (Aaron Nesmith assists)117
17.6%
118
82.4%
Q4 - 0:40.4KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)115
13.0%
118
87.0%
Q4 - 0:58.4KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound115
36.0%
115
64.0%
Q4 - 1:00PacersAndrew Nembhard misses three point stepback jump shot115
40.9%
115
59.1%
Q4 - 1:14KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround jump shot115
51.4%
115
48.6%
Q4 - 1:33PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point driving finger roll layup115
58.8%
113
41.2%
Q4 - 1:51KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)113
48.6%
113
51.4%
Q4 - 2:10PacersPascal Siakam makes two point running layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)113
34.2%
113
65.8%
Q4 - 2:14KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Myles Turner steals)111
28.4%
113
71.6%
Q4 - 2:30PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2111
16.3%
113
83.7%
Q4 - 2:30PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
15.3%
113
84.7%
Q4 - 2:30KnicksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)109
14.1%
113
85.9%
Q4 - 2:42KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point stepback jump shot109
13.0%
113
87.0%
Q4 - 2:57KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound109
18.6%
111
81.4%
Q4 - 2:59PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving layup109
21.3%
111
78.7%
Q4 - 3:11KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point running dunk109
28.8%
111
71.2%
Q4 - 3:15PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (bad pass) (OG Anunoby steals)109
34.8%
109
65.2%
Q4 - 3:29KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
49.7%
109
50.3%
Q4 - 3:29KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 2109
51.2%
108
48.8%
Q4 - 3:29PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)109
53.0%
107
47.0%
Q4 - 3:43PacersTyrese Haliburton turnover (lost ball) (OG Anunoby steals)109
52.9%
107
47.1%
Q4 - 4:04KnicksJalen Brunson makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)109
62.9%
107
37.1%
Q4 - 4:27PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 2109
77.3%
104
22.7%
Q4 - 4:27PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
76.3%
104
23.7%
Q4 - 4:27KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)107
75.0%
104
25.0%
Q4 - 4:28PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound107
71.2%
104
28.8%
Q4 - 4:29PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point driving floating jump shot107
65.1%
104
34.9%
Q4 - 4:34PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound107
71.2%
104
28.8%
Q4 - 4:36KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving finger roll layup107
68.7%
104
31.3%
Q4 - 4:51PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot107
62.4%
104
37.6%
Q4 - 5:00PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound105
54.6%
104
45.4%
Q4 - 5:02KnicksJosh Hart misses regular free throw 2 of 2105
50.1%
104
49.9%
Q4 - 5:02KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
45.0%
104
55.0%
Q4 - 5:02PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)105
47.0%
103
53.0%
Q4 - 5:02KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound105
50.4%
103
49.6%
Q4 - 5:04KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot105
56.5%
103
43.5%
Q4 - 5:19KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound105
50.6%
103
49.4%
Q4 - 5:21PacersMyles Turner misses regular free throw 2 of 2105
51.8%
103
48.2%
Q4 - 5:21PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 2105
56.9%
103
43.1%
Q4 - 5:21KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)104
55.0%
103
45.0%
Q4 - 5:31KnicksJosh Hart personal foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)104
51.5%
103
48.5%
Q4 - 5:52KnicksJosh Hart makes two point putback layup104
51.6%
103
48.4%
Q4 - 5:53KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound104
58.6%
101
41.4%
Q4 - 5:56KnicksJosh Hart misses regular free throw 1 of 1104
65.8%
101
34.2%
Q4 - 5:56PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)104
61.1%
101
38.9%
Q4 - 6:05PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 2 of 2104
68.0%
99
32.0%
Q4 - 6:05PacersAndrew Nembhard makes regular free throw 1 of 2103
66.9%
99
33.1%
Q4 - 6:05KnicksOG Anunoby shooting foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)102
65.5%
99
34.5%
Q4 - 6:20KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup102
63.1%
99
36.9%
Q4 - 6:39PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point pullup jump shot (Myles Turner assists)102
68.4%
97
31.6%
Q4 - 6:55KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)100
63.3%
97
36.7%
Q4 - 6:55PacersPacers defensive rebound100
63.3%
97
36.7%
Q4 - 6:56KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point running pullup jump shot100
60.9%
97
39.1%
Q4 - 7:00KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound100
55.1%
97
44.9%
Q4 - 7:07PacersPascal Siakam misses two point pullup jump shot100
54.5%
97
45.5%
Q4 - 7:25KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point stepback jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)100
60.0%
97
40.0%
Q4 - 7:43PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point running finger roll layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)100
64.8%
95
35.2%
Q4 - 7:48KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)98
60.1%
95
39.9%
Q4 - 8:01PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point driving dunk (Isaiah Jackson assists)98
51.2%
95
48.8%
Q4 - 8:16KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot96
45.6%
95
54.4%
Q4 - 8:37PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point reverse layup (Pascal Siakam assists)96
51.2%
93
48.8%
Q4 - 8:56KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point stepback jump shot (Josh Hart assists)94
45.6%
93
54.4%
Q4 - 8:59KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound94
57.3%
90
42.7%
Q4 - 9:01PacersIsaiah Jackson misses two point floating jump shot94
57.2%
90
42.8%
Q4 - 9:26KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving dunk (Mitchell Robinson assists)94
61.7%
90
38.3%
Q4 - 9:31KnicksMitchell Robinson offensive rebound94
66.4%
88
33.6%
Q4 - 9:33KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving floating jump shot94
70.3%
88
29.7%
Q4 - 9:38PacersObi Toppin personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)94
66.4%
88
33.6%
Q4 - 9:39KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 194
66.4%
88
33.6%
Q4 - 9:39PacersBen Sheppard personal foul (Away from play) (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)94
67.6%
87
32.4%
Q4 - 9:39KnicksKnicks offensive rebound94
71.4%
87
28.6%
Q4 - 9:39KnicksIsaiah Jackson blocks Jalen Brunson's two point driving layup94
75.0%
87
25.0%
Q4 - 9:53PacersPacers turnover (shot clock violation)94
71.5%
87
28.5%
Q4 - 9:53PacersPacers offensive rebound94
76.5%
87
23.5%
Q4 - 9:54PacersT.J. McConnell misses three point pullup bank jump shot94
73.1%
87
26.9%
Q4 - 9:59PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound94
76.5%
87
23.5%
Q4 - 10:01PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot94
70.7%
87
29.3%
Q4 - 10:17KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 294
74.2%
87
25.8%
Q4 - 10:17KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 294
74.8%
86
25.2%
Q4 - 10:17PacersT.J. McConnell shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)94
75.4%
85
24.6%
Q4 - 10:34PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point running layup94
77.7%
85
22.3%
Q4 - 10:38PacersT.J. McConnell defensive rebound92
74.3%
85
25.7%
Q4 - 10:40KnicksIsaiah Jackson blocks Josh Hart's two point driving layup92
72.8%
85
27.2%
Q4 - 10:54PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Loose ball) (Mitchell Robinson draws the foul)92
69.3%
85
30.7%
Q4 - 10:54KnicksKnicks offensive rebound92
69.3%
85
30.7%
Q4 - 10:55KnicksOG Anunoby misses two point driving finger roll layup92
72.9%
85
27.1%
Q4 - 11:16PacersObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)92
67.9%
85
32.1%
Q4 - 11:38KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Miles McBride assists)89
58.4%
85
41.6%
Q4 - 11:51PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 2 of 289
67.9%
82
32.1%
Q4 - 11:51PacersPascal Siakam makes regular free throw 1 of 288
66.9%
82
33.1%
Q4 - 11:51KnicksDonte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)87
65.6%
82
34.4%
Q4 - 11:57KnicksOG Anunoby turnover (lost ball) (T.J. McConnell steals)87
63.3%
82
36.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.87
58.4%
82
41.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)87
58.4%
82
41.6%
Q3 - 0:11.0KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point running layup (Josh Hart assists)84
46.9%
82
53.1%
Q3 - 0:13.5KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound84
51.9%
80
48.1%
Q3 - 0:15.3PacersPascal Siakam misses two point driving floating bank jump shot84
53.4%
80
46.6%
Q3 - 0:37.8KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)84
56.7%
80
43.3%
Q3 - 0:43.4PacersObi Toppin makes two point running dunk84
66.1%
77
33.9%
Q3 - 0:46.6KnicksJalen Brunson turnover (lost ball) (T.J. McConnell steals)82
61.5%
77
38.5%
Q3 - 1:05PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup (Ben Sheppard assists)82
54.8%
77
45.2%
Q3 - 1:31KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving floating jump shot80
50.6%
77
49.4%
Q3 - 1:45PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup80
55.0%
75
45.0%
Q3 - 2:05KnicksMitchell Robinson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)78
49.2%
75
50.8%
Q3 - 2:24PacersObi Toppin makes two point reverse dunk (Myles Turner assists)78
53.3%
73
46.7%
Q3 - 2:28KnicksJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (T.J. McConnell steals)76
49.2%
73
50.8%
Q3 - 2:33PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 276
44.6%
73
55.4%
Q3 - 2:33PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 275
43.7%
73
56.3%
Q3 - 2:33KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)74
42.7%
73
57.3%
Q3 - 2:48PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound74
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q3 - 2:50KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point driving hook shot74
39.3%
73
60.7%
Q3 - 3:10PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Myles Turner assists)74
35.9%
73
64.1%
Q3 - 3:30PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound72
32.8%
73
67.2%
Q3 - 3:32KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot72
31.5%
73
68.5%
Q3 - 3:48PacersObi Toppin makes two point running layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)72
28.6%
73
71.4%
Q3 - 3:51PacersAaron Nesmith defensive rebound70
25.8%
73
74.2%
Q3 - 3:53KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot70
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q3 - 3:54KnicksJalen Brunson offensive rebound70
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 3:55KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup70
24.7%
73
75.3%
Q3 - 4:15PacersAndrew Nembhard makes two point stepback jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)70
22.4%
73
77.6%
Q3 - 4:37KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Hart assists)68
20.1%
73
79.9%
Q3 - 4:49KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound68
22.4%
71
77.6%
Q3 - 4:52PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point pullup jump shot68
23.4%
71
76.6%
Q3 - 5:08KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot68
25.8%
71
74.2%
Q3 - 5:17KnicksKnicks offensive rebound68
31.8%
68
68.2%
Q3 - 5:17KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point driving layup68
34.4%
68
65.6%
Q3 - 5:37PacersMyles Turner makes two point layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)68
31.8%
68
68.2%
Q3 - 5:52KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)66
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 6:12KnicksKnicks defensive rebound66
31.5%
66
68.5%
Q3 - 6:13PacersJalen Brunson blocks Myles Turner's two point layup66
32.6%
66
67.4%
Q3 - 6:29KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving finger roll layup (OG Anunoby assists)66
35.3%
66
64.7%
Q3 - 6:33PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 266
38.3%
64
61.7%
Q3 - 6:33PacersMyles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 265
37.6%
64
62.4%
Q3 - 6:33KnicksJosh Hart shooting foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)64
36.7%
64
63.3%
Q3 - 6:40KnicksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (offensive foul)64
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 6:40KnicksDonte DiVincenzo offensive foul (Andrew Nembhard draws the foul)64
31.5%
64
68.5%
Q3 - 6:52KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound64
31.5%
64
68.5%
Q3 - 6:54PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 2 of 264
32.0%
64
68.0%
Q3 - 6:54PacersPascal Siakam misses regular free throw 1 of 264
34.1%
64
65.9%
Q3 - 6:54KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein shooting foul (Pascal Siakam draws the foul)64
36.6%
64
63.4%
Q3 - 6:56KnicksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)64
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 7:09KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound64
31.4%
64
68.6%
Q3 - 7:11PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot64
32.5%
64
67.5%
Q3 - 7:17KnicksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Tyrese Haliburton draws the foul)64
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 7:31KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point floating jump shot (OG Anunoby assists)64
35.1%
64
64.9%
Q3 - 7:56PacersMyles Turner makes two point turnaround jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)64
37.9%
62
62.1%
Q3 - 8:18KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point running dunk (Josh Hart assists)62
34.6%
62
65.4%
Q3 - 8:21KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound62
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 8:22PacersMyles Turner misses two point cutting dunk62
38.4%
60
61.6%
Q3 - 8:34KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 262
41.2%
60
58.8%
Q3 - 8:34KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 262
41.9%
59
58.1%
Q3 - 8:34PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)62
42.7%
58
57.3%
Q3 - 8:57PacersMyles Turner makes two point cutting dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)62
44.0%
58
56.0%
Q3 - 9:10KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 260
40.4%
58
59.6%
Q3 - 9:10KnicksJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 260
41.1%
57
58.9%
Q3 - 9:10PacersPascal Siakam shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)60
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 9:14KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound60
43.1%
56
56.9%
Q3 - 9:16PacersPascal Siakam misses two point stepback jump shot60
44.3%
56
55.7%
Q3 - 9:26KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point dunk (OG Anunoby assists)60
47.1%
56
52.9%
Q3 - 9:30KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound60
49.8%
54
50.2%
Q3 - 9:32KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot60
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 9:48KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound60
49.9%
54
50.1%
Q3 - 9:50PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point stepback jump shot60
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 10:00KnicksJalen Brunson personal foul (Myles Turner draws the foul)60
53.9%
54
46.1%
Q3 - 10:09KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein turnover (out of bounds bad pass)60
52.8%
54
47.2%
Q3 - 10:27PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
48.9%
54
51.1%
Q3 - 10:40KnicksJosh Hart makes two point cutting layup (Jalen Brunson assists)58
46.3%
54
53.7%
Q3 - 10:50KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound58
48.9%
52
51.1%
Q3 - 10:52KnicksJosh Hart misses two point driving finger roll layup58
51.7%
52
48.3%
Q3 - 11:19PacersPascal Siakam makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)58
48.3%
52
51.7%
Q3 - 11:30KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)55
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 11:42KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound55
48.3%
49
51.7%
Q3 - 11:44PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot55
49.3%
49
50.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.55
51.7%
49
48.3%
Q2 - 0:00.1KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)55
50.4%
49
49.6%
Q2 - 0:03.2PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point stepback jump shot55
57.1%
46
42.9%
Q2 - 0:18.0PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound52
50.5%
46
49.5%
Q2 - 0:20.9KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point pullup jump shot52
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 0:24.7KnicksKnicks offensive rebound52
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q2 - 0:25.7KnicksJosh Hart misses two point cutting layup52
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 0:31.0KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound52
47.8%
46
52.2%
Q2 - 0:33.1PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving reverse layup52
48.6%
46
51.4%
Q2 - 0:47.3PacersPacers defensive rebound52
50.5%
46
49.5%
Q2 - 0:47.6KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point driving layup52
49.7%
46
50.3%
Q2 - 1:01PacersBen Sheppard makes two point running alley-oop layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)52
47.5%
46
52.5%
Q2 - 1:06KnicksJosh Hart turnover (lost ball) (Tyrese Haliburton steals)50
43.9%
46
56.1%
Q2 - 1:23PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround hook shot (T.J. McConnell assists)50
41.5%
46
58.5%
Q2 - 1:28PacersBen Sheppard defensive rebound48
38.0%
46
62.0%
Q2 - 1:30KnicksOG Anunoby misses two point stepback jump shot48
37.3%
46
62.7%
Q2 - 1:58PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving floating jump shot48
35.7%
46
64.3%
Q2 - 2:06KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point stepback jump shot46
32.4%
46
67.6%
Q2 - 2:22PacersMyles Turner makes two point driving floating jump shot (Ben Sheppard assists)46
34.8%
44
65.2%
Q2 - 2:41KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving finger roll layup44
32.4%
44
67.6%
Q2 - 3:02KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound44
34.3%
42
65.7%
Q2 - 3:04PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot44
35.2%
42
64.8%
Q2 - 3:13KnicksOG Anunoby makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Brunson assists)44
37.4%
42
62.6%
Q2 - 3:30PacersT.J. McConnell personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)44
39.5%
40
60.5%
Q2 - 3:32PacersPascal Siakam makes two point turnaround hook shot44
39.5%
40
60.5%
Q2 - 3:45KnicksDonte DiVincenzo makes two point driving floating jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)42
37.4%
40
62.6%
Q2 - 4:06PacersPascal Siakam makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Tyrese Haliburton assists)42
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 4:19PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound40
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 4:21KnicksJosh Hart misses two point fadeaway jump shot40
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 4:45PacersAaron Nesmith turnover (offensive foul)40
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 4:45PacersAaron Nesmith offensive foul (Charge) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)40
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 4:58KnicksJosh Hart turnover (traveling)40
36.8%
38
63.2%
Q2 - 5:04KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound40
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 5:08PacersDonte DiVincenzo blocks T.J. McConnell's two point driving reverse layup40
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 5:18KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 240
36.5%
38
63.5%
Q2 - 5:18KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 240
36.9%
37
63.1%
Q2 - 5:18PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)40
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 5:41PacersMyles Turner makes three point jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)40
38.4%
36
61.6%
Q2 - 5:52PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound37
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 5:54KnicksJosh Hart misses regular free throw 1 of 137
33.6%
36
66.4%
Q2 - 5:54PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)37
32.1%
36
67.9%
Q2 - 5:58KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound37
35.9%
34
64.1%
Q2 - 6:00PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point running pullup jump shot37
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q2 - 6:05PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound37
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 6:07KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot37
37.7%
34
62.3%
Q2 - 6:17KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound37
35.6%
34
64.4%
Q2 - 6:19PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot37
36.5%
34
63.5%
Q2 - 6:30KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving finger roll layup37
38.7%
34
61.3%
Q2 - 6:44PacersMyles Turner makes two point tip layup37
40.6%
32
59.4%
Q2 - 6:44PacersMyles Turner offensive rebound35
38.7%
32
61.3%
Q2 - 6:46PacersMyles Turner misses two point driving layup35
36.5%
32
63.5%
Q2 - 6:56KnicksKnicks turnover (shot clock violation)35
38.7%
32
61.3%
Q2 - 7:22PacersMyles Turner makes two point reverse dunk (Tyrese Haliburton assists)35
35.6%
32
64.4%
Q2 - 7:27PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound33
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 7:29KnicksMyles Turner blocks Isaiah Hartenstein's two point cutting dunk33
32.6%
32
67.4%
Q2 - 7:35PacersAndrew Nembhard personal foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)33
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 7:46KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound33
31.0%
32
69.0%
Q2 - 7:48PacersBen Sheppard misses three point jump shot33
31.7%
32
68.3%
Q2 - 8:13KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)33
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 8:17KnicksJosh Hart offensive rebound33
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 8:19KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot33
39.5%
29
60.5%
Q2 - 8:34PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point running finger roll layup (Pascal Siakam assists)33
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 8:40PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound31
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q2 - 8:42KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point stepback jump shot31
34.8%
29
65.2%
Q2 - 9:05PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point driving layup (Andrew Nembhard assists)31
32.9%
29
67.1%
Q2 - 9:29KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point running layup29
30.8%
29
69.2%
Q2 - 9:34KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound29
32.9%
27
67.1%
Q2 - 9:36PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving floating bank jump shot29
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 9:45KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)29
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 9:45PacersPacers offensive rebound29
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 9:46PacersPascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot29
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 9:48PacersPascal Siakam offensive rebound29
35.2%
27
64.8%
Q2 - 9:50PacersAndrew Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot29
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q2 - 10:13PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound29
35.1%
27
64.9%
Q2 - 10:15KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point fadeaway jump shot29
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q2 - 10:38KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound29
32.8%
27
67.2%
Q2 - 10:40PacersIsaiah Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 129
33.1%
27
66.9%
Q2 - 10:40KnicksMitchell Robinson shooting foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)29
34.4%
27
65.6%
Q2 - 10:41PacersIsaiah Jackson offensive rebound27
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 10:42PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point driving layup27
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q2 - 10:48KnicksOG Anunoby turnover (lost ball) (Pascal Siakam steals)27
30.7%
27
69.3%
Q2 - 11:07KnicksMitchell Robinson defensive rebound27
28.3%
27
71.7%
Q2 - 11:09PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point pullup jump shot27
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q2 - 11:13KnicksMiles McBride personal foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)27
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q2 - 11:17PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound27
30.3%
27
69.7%
Q2 - 11:19KnicksIsaiah Jackson blocks OG Anunoby's two point driving hook shot27
29.7%
27
70.3%
Q2 - 11:45PacersBen Sheppard makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)27
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 0:00.6KnicksKnicks offensive rebound24
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point fadeaway jump shot24
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q1 - 0:11.3PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point pullup jump shot24
22.6%
27
77.4%
Q1 - 0:30.1KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving layup22
21.0%
27
79.0%
Q1 - 0:34.8PacersIsaiah Jackson makes two point running dunk (Pascal Siakam assists)22
22.6%
25
77.4%
Q1 - 0:37.5PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound20
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 0:40.9KnicksMiles McBride misses two point turnaround jump shot20
20.5%
25
79.5%
Q1 - 0:57.7PacersBen Sheppard makes three point jump shot (T.J. McConnell assists)20
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 1:06KnicksPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 217
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 1:06KnicksPrecious Achiuwa misses regular free throw 1 of 217
17.2%
24
82.8%
Q1 - 1:06PacersObi Toppin shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)17
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 1:08PacersT.J. McConnell turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)17
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 1:16KnicksOG Anunoby makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)17
18.1%
24
81.9%
Q1 - 1:23KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound17
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 1:25PacersPascal Siakam misses two point fadeaway jump shot17
21.6%
21
78.4%
Q1 - 1:34PacersIsaiah Jackson defensive rebound17
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 1:36KnicksMiles McBride misses three point jump shot17
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 1:52KnicksPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound17
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 1:54PacersT.J. McConnell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot17
21.5%
21
78.5%
Q1 - 2:04KnicksMitchell Robinson personal foul (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)17
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 2:08PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound17
22.9%
21
77.1%
Q1 - 2:10KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point driving finger roll layup17
22.3%
21
77.7%
Q1 - 2:23PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point driving finger roll layup17
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 2:30PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound15
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 2:32KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point pullup jump shot15
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 2:49KnicksKnicks defensive rebound15
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 2:50PacersIsaiah Jackson misses two point layup15
18.7%
21
81.3%
Q1 - 3:16KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 2 of 215
19.9%
21
80.1%
Q1 - 3:16KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes regular free throw 1 of 215
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 3:16PacersAaron Nesmith shooting foul (Isaiah Hartenstein draws the foul)15
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 3:39PacersT.J. McConnell makes two point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)15
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 3:50PacersIsaiah Jackson offensive rebound13
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 3:52PacersObi Toppin misses two point driving floating jump shot13
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 4:03KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein personal foul (Loose ball) (Isaiah Jackson draws the foul)13
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 4:03PacersPacers offensive rebound13
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 4:04PacersTyrese Haliburton misses two point driving floating jump shot13
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 4:18KnicksJosh Hart makes two point driving reverse layup13
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 4:25KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound13
21.3%
17
78.7%
Q1 - 4:27PacersAaron Nesmith misses three point jump shot13
21.8%
17
78.2%
Q1 - 4:39KnicksJosh Hart makes three point stepback jump shot13
23.0%
17
77.0%
Q1 - 4:57KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound13
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 4:59PacersTyrese Haliburton misses three point stepback jump shot13
26.4%
14
73.6%
Q1 - 5:04PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound13
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 5:06KnicksObi Toppin blocks OG Anunoby's two point driving layup13
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:12KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein offensive rebound13
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:15KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot13
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:32KnicksJosh Hart defensive rebound13
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 5:34PacersObi Toppin misses three point running jump shot13
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 5:40PacersObi Toppin defensive rebound13
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 5:42KnicksJalen Brunson misses three point stepback jump shot13
27.0%
14
73.0%
Q1 - 5:54PacersObi Toppin makes three point pullup jump shot (Tyrese Haliburton assists)13
25.8%
14
74.2%
Q1 - 6:18KnicksJosh Hart makes two point turnaround jump shot (Isaiah Hartenstein assists)10
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 6:42PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 2 of 210
24.3%
12
75.7%
Q1 - 6:42PacersAaron Nesmith makes regular free throw 1 of 29
24.0%
12
76.0%
Q1 - 6:42KnicksDonte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Aaron Nesmith draws the foul)8
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 7:00KnicksJosh Hart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)8
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 7:07KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein defensive rebound8
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:09PacersAaron Nesmith misses two point driving floating bank jump shot8
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 7:15PacersMyles Turner defensive rebound8
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 7:17KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein misses two point floating jump shot8
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 7:21KnicksOG Anunoby defensive rebound8
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:23PacersJosh Hart blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point pullup jump shot8
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 7:33KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point driving bank jump shot8
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 7:42KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound8
24.0%
10
76.0%
Q1 - 7:44PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot8
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 7:52KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 28
25.7%
10
74.3%
Q1 - 7:52KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 28
25.9%
9
74.1%
Q1 - 7:52PacersAndrew Nembhard shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)8
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 8:00KnicksJalen Brunson defensive rebound8
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:02PacersMyles Turner misses three point jump shot8
27.4%
8
72.6%
Q1 - 8:10KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 2 of 28
28.7%
8
71.3%
Q1 - 8:10KnicksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 28
28.9%
7
71.1%
Q1 - 8:10PacersMyles Turner shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)8
29.2%
6
70.8%
Q1 - 8:13PacersPascal Siakam turnover (lost ball) (Josh Hart steals)8
30.0%
6
70.0%
Q1 - 8:27KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot8
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 8:43KnicksKnicks defensive rebound8
33.4%
4
66.6%
Q1 - 8:44PacersPascal Siakam misses three point jump shot8
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 9:07PacersTyrese Haliburton defensive rebound8
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:09KnicksOG Anunoby misses two point stepback jump shot8
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 9:18PacersPascal Siakam personal foul (Loose ball) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)8
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:18KnicksKnicks offensive rebound8
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:19KnicksJalen Brunson misses two point floating jump shot8
34.6%
4
65.4%
Q1 - 9:44PacersAndrew Nembhard makes three point jump shot (Aaron Nesmith assists)8
33.3%
4
66.7%
Q1 - 9:52PacersPascal Siakam defensive rebound5
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 9:54KnicksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point driving reverse layup5
29.7%
4
70.3%
Q1 - 10:18PacersTyrese Haliburton makes three point pullup jump shot (Pascal Siakam assists)5
28.1%
4
71.9%
Q1 - 10:30PacersAndrew Nembhard defensive rebound2
25.4%
4
74.6%
Q1 - 10:32KnicksOG Anunoby misses three point jump shot2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:54PacersAaron Nesmith makes two point tip layup2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:54PacersAaron Nesmith offensive rebound0
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:56PacersMyles Turner misses two point jump shot0
21.8%
4
78.2%
Q1 - 11:09KnicksIsaiah Hartenstein makes two point running dunk (Josh Hart assists)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 11:13KnicksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound0
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 11:15PacersDonte DiVincenzo blocks Andrew Nembhard's two point pullup jump shot0
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 11:36KnicksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot0
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 12:00Myles Turner vs. Isaiah Hartenstein (Donte DiVincenzo gains possession)0
26.3%
0
73.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.18 59.1%
NYK
1.25 62.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
26
38
68%
NYK
22
36
61%
Midrange
IND
10
24
42%
NYK
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
NYK
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
IND
15
19
79%
NYK
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Turner2361%11.5 / 19
P. Siakam1953%9.5 / 18
T. McConnell1856%9.0 / 16
A. Nesmith1267%6.0 / 9
O. Toppin1286%6.0 / 7
A. Nembhard1150%5.5 / 11
B. Sheppard880%4.0 / 5
I. Jackson867%4.0 / 6
T. Haliburton650%3.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Brunson4372%21.5 / 30
D. DiVincenzo2574%12.5 / 17
J. Hart2475%12.0 / 16
O. Anunoby1346%6.5 / 14
I. Hartenstein1365%6.5 / 10
M. Robinson2100%1.0 / 1
P. Achiuwa150%0.5 / 1
M. McBride0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
88
+10
-7
98
NYK
82
+14
-14
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.18 59.1%
NYK
1.25 62.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
120.2
118.1
IND 123.2
NYK 126.0 +2.9
Pace
93.6
92.3
IND 101.6 +11.4
NYK 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
16.2
IND 14.2 +1.8
NYK 16.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.6%
52.1%
IND 58.0%
NYK 60.4% +2.4%
TO %
12.0%
11.1%
IND 7.7% +6.1%
NYK 13.8%
ORB %
25.4%
31.4%
IND 17.9%
NYK 24.2% +6.3%
FTrt
18.4
27.8
IND 21.6
NYK 31.7 +10.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
66.8%
56.7%
IND 69.6% +12.8%
NYK 56.8%
STL %
5.8%
6.1%
IND 9.5% +4.3%
NYK 5.2%
BLK %
9.1%
10.2%
IND 8.5% +2.0%
NYK 6.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
58.5%
54.1%
IND 59.1%
NYK 62.4% +3.3%
Rim FG%
67.1%
56.8%
IND 68.4% +7.3%
NYK 61.1%
Mid FG%
50.1%
42.1%
IND 41.7%
NYK 47.8% +6.1%
3P %
37.1%
37.5%
IND 38.5%
NYK 47.8% +9.3%
FT %
74.6%
75.7%
IND 78.9%
NYK 84.6% +5.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.8%
32.8%
IND 43.2%
NYK 43.9% +0.7%
Mid Att. %
31.0%
31.0%
IND 27.3% +0.8%
NYK 28.0%
3P Att. %
37.3%
36.2%
IND 29.5% +1.5%
NYK 28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsINDNYK
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes22.425.6
Points117121
Rebounds3240
Assists3225
Steals95
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)7 (1)14 (1)
Fouls2219
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)8 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals46-8844-82
At-the-Rim FG26-3822-36
Midrange FG10-2411-23
2-Point FG36-6233-59
3-Point FG10-2611-23
Free Throws15-1922-26
Fast Break Pts1820
2nd Chance Pts1016
Points in Paint6458
Pts off Turnovers2213
Bench Points463
Biggest Lead98

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#43 · PF · 6'8" 245 · 30
36.7
19
53%
6
5
1
0
1
4
2
4
2-4
50%
7-13
54%
1-3
33%
#0 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 24
36.1
6
50%
2
8
4
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-5
40%
#33 · C · 6'11" 250 · 28
34.6
23
61%
2
3
1
1
1
4
1
1
5-6
83%
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
#23 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 25
30.9
12
67%
6
3
0
0
1
4
2
4
6-6
100%
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
#2 · PG · 6'4" 191 · 24
29.1
11
50%
2
4
0
0
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
#9 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 32
22.3
18
56%
1
3
3
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
9-15
60%
0-1
0%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 26
19.3
12
86%
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
#26 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 23
17.7
8
80%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 205 · 22
13.3
8
67%
5
1
0
3
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#20 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PF · 6'7" 235 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#10 · SG · 6'8" 205 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · PF · 6'8" 240 · 37
DNP – Coach's Decision
#00 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Shoulder; Labral Tear
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
59%
32
32
9
5
7
22
7
25
15-19
79%
36-62
58%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.