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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
May 9, 2024
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks36%110119
3Thunder64%115110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Jones Jr.
F-G · 6'7" 200 · 27.2
28.3
30.1
9
35%
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
59%
1-5
20%
P.J. Washington
F · 6'7" 236 · 25.7
39.7
28.4
29
79%
11
4
2
1
1
2
2
9
0-1
0%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
7-11
64%
Daniel Gafford
F-C · 6'11" 238 · 25.6
26.7
23.9
13
65%
7
2
1
1
1
3
2
5
5-9
56%
4-6
4-7
67%
67%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 32.1
41.5
37.7
9
42%
3
11
2
1
2
2
2
1
5-6
83%
2-6
5-10
33%
52%
0-2
0%
Luka Doncic
G · 6'6" 218 · 25.2
41.2
40.9
29
66%
10
7
3
1
1
1
0
10
2-2
100%
6-13
7-13
46%
54%
5-8
63%
Dereck Lively II
C · 7'1" 230 · 20.2
20.1
16.7
2
14%
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-4
14%
67%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 32.1
18.7
14.4
17
72%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-6
1-2
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Josh Green
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.5
16.0
22.6
11
92%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
3-5
60%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 28.8
6.5
7.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-2
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
0.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
67%
0-0
-
Jaden Hardy
G · 6'4" 198 · 21.8
0.4
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
A.J. Lawson
G · 6'6" 179 · 23.8
0.4
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 34.7
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.9
Maxi Kleber
F · 6'11" 220 · 32.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 25.1
32.7
27.4
8
50%
6
3
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
2-4
50%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 23.1
38.7
35.2
20
53%
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
3
4-4
100%
5-13
7-12
38%
58%
2-4
50%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 22.0
36.8
31.1
11
41%
6
6
0
1
2
4
1
5
2-3
67%
3-6
5-7
50%
62%
1-6
17%
Josh Giddey
G · 6'8" 205 · 21.6
10.8
18.9
8
58%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-2
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 25.8
41.2
36.9
33
62%
12
8
1
2
2
2
2
10
6-6
100%
12-21
9-16
57%
56%
1-3
33%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 20.5
21.6
21.1
6
60%
3
1
2
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
57%
0-1
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 25.3
20.1
21.2
9
65%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
59%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 24.9
19.1
13.8
7
70%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
1-3
33%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 21.9
14.1
15.2
8
67%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 34.1
4.5
5.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.0
0.4
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.4
2.7
0
0-0
56%
Lindy Waters III
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
2.4
0
0-0
62%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 32.9
0.9
0
0-0
57%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 31.7
0.5
0
0-0
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.