Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Timberwolves	33%	105	106	115.2	92	86.1
	1	Nuggets	67%	111	99	107.6	92	98.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	42.2	43	69%	7	3	1	2	1	1	2	5	6-6	100%	14-22	64%	3-7	43%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	39.1	0	0%	8	1	0	1	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	35.3	6	50%	13	3	1	3	0	4	1	12	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.1	14	88%	4	10	1	0	4	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	30.8	20	71%	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	4	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	23.1	16	73%	4	3	1	0	3	0	1	3	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	22.7	5	42%	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	12.3	2	100%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	61%	42	24	4	6	14	20	7	35	9-12	75%	32-55	58%	11-27	41%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	42.2	43	69%	7	3	1	2	1	1	2	5	6-6	100%	14-22	64%	3-7	43%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	39.1	0	0%	8	1	0	1	1	1	3	5	0-0	-	0-5	0%	0-2	0%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	35.3	6	50%	13	3	1	3	0	4	1	12	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.1	14	88%	4	10	1	0	4	3	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	3-4	75%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	30.8	20	71%	4	3	0	0	1	5	0	4	2-4	50%	6-9	67%	2-4	50%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	23.1	16	73%	4	3	1	0	3	0	1	3	0-1	0%	5-7	71%	2-4	50%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	22.7	5	42%	0	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-5	20%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	12.3	2	100%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	3.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	61%	42	24	4	6	14	20	7	35	9-12	75%	32-55	58%	11-27	41%

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1 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	40.9	32	57%	8	9	3	0	7	4	1	7	8-8	100%	9-16	56%	2-9	22%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	40.1	20	63%	6	1	3	1	2	1	0	6	4-6	67%	2-6	33%	4-7	57%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.4	6	75%	2	3	2	1	1	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	34.3	17	57%	1	4	0	0	1	4	0	1	3-3	100%	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	32.5	9	64%	3	6	2	0	1	4	1	2	1-3	33%	4-5	80%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	19.0	7	70%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	16.5	3	50%	5	0	1	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-3	33%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	13.7	5	83%	3	1	1	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	5.5	0	0%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	58%	34	24	12	2	12	18	3	31	16-20	80%	22-44	50%	13-31	42%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.22 60.9%

DEN

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

19

29

66%

DEN

17

26

65%

Midrange

MIN

13

26

50%

DEN

5

18

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

11

16.5

27

41%

61%

DEN

13

19.5

31

42%

63%

Free Throws

MIN

9

12

75%

DEN

16

20

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	43	69%	21.5 / 31
K. Towns	20	71%	10.0 / 14
N. Reid	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. Conley	14	88%	7.0 / 8
R. Gobert	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Alexander-Walker	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Anderson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 7
M. Morris	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	32	57%	16.0 / 28
M. Porter	20	63%	10.0 / 16
J. Murray	17	57%	8.5 / 15
A. Gordon	9	64%	4.5 / 7
C. Braun	7	70%	3.5 / 5
K. Caldwell-Pope	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. Jackson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Holiday	3	50%	1.5 / 3
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 115.1 10 109.5	MIN 115.2 +7.6 DEN 107.6
Pace	10 93.4 9 93.4	MIN 86.1 DEN 98.7 +12.6
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.7 20 15.6	MIN 16.7 DEN 14.6 −2.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.8% 11 51.9%	MIN 59.1% +3.8% DEN 55.3%
TO %	9 12.1% 10 12.1%	MIN 13.8% DEN 12.5% −1.3%
ORB %	4 26.3% 10 22.8%	MIN 18.4% +10.5% DEN 7.9%
FTrt	4 28.5 13 19.6	MIN 14.6 DEN 26.7 +12.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.8% 2 64.0%	MIN 55.8% DEN 68.6% +12.8%
STL %	5 7.8% 7 6.8%	MIN 4.3% DEN 13.0% +8.7%
BLK %	9 9.5% 10 9.2%	MIN 13.6% +10.0% DEN 3.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 55.8% 10 54.2%	MIN 60.9% +2.7% DEN 58.2%
Rim FG%	8 61.4% 9 61.3%	MIN 65.5% +0.1% DEN 65.4%
Mid FG%	9 43.2% 10 42.9%	MIN 50.0% +22.2% DEN 27.8%
3P %	8 35.9% 11 33.2%	MIN 40.7% DEN 41.9% +1.2%
FT %	10 77.5% 4 83.0%	MIN 75.0% DEN 80.0% +5.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 35.4% 3 34.6%	MIN 35.4% +0.7% DEN 34.7%
Mid Att. %	3 25.3% 6 28.3%	MIN 31.7% DEN 24.0% −7.7%
3P Att. %	8 39.3% 12 37.1%	MIN 32.9% DEN 41.3% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	25.6	22.4
Points	106	99
Rebounds	42	34
Assists	24	24
Steals	4	12
Blocks	6	2
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	12 (0)
Fouls	20	18
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	35 (3)	31 (2)
Field Goals	43-82	35-75
At-the-Rim FG	19-29	17-26
Midrange FG	13-26	5-18
2-Point FG	32-55	22-44
3-Point FG	11-27	13-31
Free Throws	9-12	16-20
Fast Break Pts	13	14
2nd Chance Pts	6	3
Points in Paint	52	42
Pts off Turnovers	18	26
Bench Points	23	15
Biggest Lead	14	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg