Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Timberwolves	33%	105	106	116.5	91	91.8
	2	Nuggets	67%	112	80	87.9	91	90.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	37.3	27	68%	2	7	2	0	4	2	0	2	4-7	57%	10-13	77%	1-4	25%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	35.8	27	79%	12	1	1	2	2	4	2	10	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.6	4	40%	3	6	2	1	0	3	0	3	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	26.4	5	31%	2	3	2	1	1	5	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31	26.3	6	38%	9	8	2	1	2	1	7	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	29.7	14	78%	6	1	0	3	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	29.1	14	50%	5	0	1	4	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-8	50%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	7.5	2	25%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	3.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	42	28	11	6	12	20	10	32	9-14	64%	29-51	57%	13-33	39%

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7 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	37.3	27	68%	2	7	2	0	4	2	0	2	4-7	57%	10-13	77%	1-4	25%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · C · 7'0" 248 · 28	35.8	27	79%	12	1	1	2	2	4	2	10	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	3-5	60%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	31.6	4	40%	3	6	2	1	0	3	0	3	0-1	0%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	26.4	5	31%	2	3	2	1	1	5	0	2	1-2	50%	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 31	26.3	6	38%	9	8	2	1	2	1	7	2	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-1	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	29.7	14	78%	6	1	0	3	1	1	0	6	0-0	-	1-2	50%	4-7	57%
Naz Reid #11 · PF · 6'9" 264 · 25	29.1	14	50%	5	0	1	4	2	1	1	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	4-8	50%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	7.5	2	25%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-3	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	3.3	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	Inactive – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	58%	42	28	11	6	12	20	10	32	9-14	64%	29-51	57%	13-33	39%

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2 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	39.4	9	38%	5	2	1	1	4	0	1	4	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-7	14%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.6	16	50%	16	8	0	1	4	2	6	10	6-6	100%	5-12	42%	0-1	0%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	35.9	8	21%	13	2	2	1	4	3	2	11	2-2	100%	3-14	21%	0-4	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.1	20	67%	4	2	1	0	1	2	3	1	1-2	50%	5-9	56%	3-5	60%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	27.7	4	33%	3	0	1	0	1	4	2	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-2	0%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	21.5	13	93%	2	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	4-5	80%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	10.5	2	50%	2	0	1	1	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	10.2	3	25%	2	1	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-3	33%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	9.2	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	3.5	1	25%	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	41%	50	16	6	12	16	14	18	32	13-18	72%	20-53	38%	9-30	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.15 57.6%

DEN

0.82 41.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

21

36

58%

DEN

16

38

42%

Midrange

MIN

8

15

53%

DEN

4

15

27%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

13

19.5

33

39%

59%

DEN

9

13.5

30

30%

45%

Free Throws

MIN

9

14

64%

DEN

13

18

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	27	68%	13.5 / 20
K. Towns	27	79%	13.5 / 17
N. Alexander-Walker	14	78%	7.0 / 9
N. Reid	14	50%	7.0 / 14
K. Anderson	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. McDaniels	5	31%	2.5 / 8
M. Conley	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Minott	3	150%	1.5 / 1
M. Morris	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Garza	2	50%	1.0 / 2
W. Moore	2	100%	1.0 / 1
L. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Gordon	20	67%	10.0 / 15
N. Jokić	16	50%	8.0 / 16
J. Holiday	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Porter	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Murray	8	21%	4.0 / 19
K. Caldwell-Pope	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Jackson	3	25%	1.5 / 6
C. Braun	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Strawther	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. Pickett	2	100%	1.0 / 1
Z. Nnaji	1	25%	0.5 / 2
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 3
H. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 115.1 10 109.5	MIN 116.5 +28.6 DEN 87.9
Pace	10 93.4 9 93.4	MIN 91.8 +1.6 DEN 90.2
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.7 20 15.6	MIN 15.7 −0.3 DEN 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.8% 11 51.9%	MIN 57.7% +17.3% DEN 40.4%
TO %	9 12.1% 10 12.1%	MIN 11.7% −5.6% DEN 17.3%
ORB %	4 26.3% 10 22.8%	MIN 23.8% DEN 36.0% +12.2%
FTrt	4 28.5 13 19.6	MIN 16.7 DEN 21.7 +5.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.8% 2 64.0%	MIN 66.7% +11.5% DEN 55.2%
STL %	5 7.8% 7 6.8%	MIN 12.1% +5.5% DEN 6.6%
BLK %	9 9.5% 10 9.2%	MIN 11.3% DEN 23.5% +12.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 55.8% 10 54.2%	MIN 57.6% +16.4% DEN 41.2%
Rim FG%	8 61.4% 9 61.3%	MIN 58.3% +16.2% DEN 42.1%
Mid FG%	9 43.2% 10 42.9%	MIN 53.3% +26.6% DEN 26.7%
3P %	8 35.9% 11 33.2%	MIN 39.4% +9.4% DEN 30.0%
FT %	10 77.5% 4 83.0%	MIN 64.3% DEN 72.2% +7.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 35.4% 3 34.6%	MIN 42.9% DEN 45.8% +2.9%
Mid Att. %	3 25.3% 6 28.3%	MIN 17.9% −0.2% DEN 18.1%
3P Att. %	8 39.3% 12 37.1%	MIN 39.3% +3.1% DEN 36.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	91	91
Possession Minutes	23.8	24.2
Points	106	80
Rebounds	42	50
Assists	28	16
Steals	11	6
Blocks	6	12
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	16 (3)
Fouls	20	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (3)	18 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	32 (1)
Field Goals	42-84	29-83
At-the-Rim FG	21-36	16-38
Midrange FG	8-15	4-15
2-Point FG	29-51	20-53
3-Point FG	13-33	9-30
Free Throws	9-14	13-18
Fast Break Pts	18	10
2nd Chance Pts	14	8
Points in Paint	52	34
Pts off Turnovers	19	2
Bench Points	37	23
Biggest Lead	32	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg