Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	43%	106	117	125.8	93	87.9
	5	Timberwolves	57%	109	90	97.8	92	97.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.1	24	60%	14	9	3	3	3	3	4	10	3-4	75%	9-15	60%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	37.8	24	57%	4	5	3	0	3	3	1	3	0-0	-	9-16	56%	2-5	40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.9	12	86%	4	4	0	0	0	3	0	4	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.1	13	93%	2	5	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.3	21	81%	4	1	1	0	2	5	0	4	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	4-5	80%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	18.9	6	75%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.6	5	63%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	8.2	6	60%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	5.4	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	3.7	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.1	1	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	64%	40	26	9	3	10	25	8	32	17-20	85%	29-51	57%	14-29	48%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	38.1	24	60%	14	9	3	3	3	3	4	10	3-4	75%	9-15	60%	1-3	33%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	37.8	24	57%	4	5	3	0	3	3	1	3	0-0	-	9-16	56%	2-5	40%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	36.9	12	86%	4	4	0	0	0	3	0	4	6-6	100%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.1	13	93%	2	5	2	0	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-4	75%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	30.3	21	81%	4	1	1	0	2	5	0	4	5-6	83%	2-5	40%	4-5	80%

Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	18.9	6	75%	1	1	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	17.6	5	63%	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	8.2	6	60%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	5.4	0	0%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	5.0	2	100%	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	3.7	3	75%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	3.1	1	25%	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	1.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	117	64%	40	26	9	3	10	25	8	32	17-20	85%	29-51	57%	14-29	48%

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5 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	37.1	19	63%	6	5	0	1	5	3	0	6	0-0	-	5-7	71%	3-8	38%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	32.5	14	88%	5	3	0	0	3	2	0	5	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	4-5	80%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	29.9	10	50%	6	6	1	0	3	1	0	6	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	26.9	6	50%	4	1	0	0	0	4	2	2	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	21.7	10	63%	3	0	1	2	1	4	0	3	2-4	50%	4-4	100%	0-2	0%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	25.9	6	50%	0	2	0	0	2	2	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-3	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	20.8	7	44%	1	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	13.4	3	38%	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	8.1	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	5.9	4	40%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	5.9	3	50%	2	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	5.9	8	100%	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4-4	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	32	23	5	4	14	20	5	27	18-25	72%	21-38	55%	10-33	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.27 63.6%

MIN

1.05 52.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

14

20

70%

MIN

16

24

67%

Midrange

DEN

15

31

48%

MIN

5

14

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

14

21.0

29

48%

72%

MIN

10

15.0

33

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

17

20

85%

MIN

18

25

72%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	24	60%	12.0 / 20
J. Murray	24	57%	12.0 / 21
M. Porter	21	81%	10.5 / 13
A. Gordon	13	93%	6.5 / 7
K. Caldwell-Pope	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Holiday	6	75%	3.0 / 4
R. Jackson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Braun	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Strawther	3	75%	1.5 / 2
Z. Nnaji	2	100%	1.0 / 1
H. Tyson	1	25%	0.5 / 2
P. Watson	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	19	63%	9.5 / 15
K. Towns	14	88%	7.0 / 8
M. Conley	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. McDaniels	10	63%	5.0 / 8
L. Garza	8	100%	4.0 / 4
N. Reid	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Gobert	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Alexander-Walker	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Morris	4	40%	2.0 / 5
K. Anderson	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Minott	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 4
T. Warren	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 109.5 6 115.1	DEN 125.8 +28.0 MIN 97.8
Pace	9 93.4 10 93.4	DEN 87.9 MIN 97.6 +9.6
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.6 19 15.7	DEN 16.4 MIN 14.8 −1.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 51.9% 5 53.8%	DEN 62.5% +11.8% MIN 50.7%
TO %	10 12.1% 9 12.1%	DEN 11.0% −5.3% MIN 16.3%
ORB %	10 22.8% 4 26.3%	DEN 22.9% +9.4% MIN 13.5%
FTrt	13 19.6 4 28.5	DEN 25.0 MIN 35.2 +10.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 64.0% 4 61.8%	DEN 60.5% MIN 74.2% +13.7%
STL %	7 6.8% 5 7.8%	DEN 9.7% +4.3% MIN 5.4%
BLK %	10 9.2% 9 9.5%	DEN 7.9% +0.1% MIN 7.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 54.2% 6 55.8%	DEN 63.6% +11.3% MIN 52.3%
Rim FG%	9 61.3% 8 61.4%	DEN 70.0% +3.3% MIN 66.7%
Mid FG%	10 42.9% 9 43.2%	DEN 48.4% +12.7% MIN 35.7%
3P %	11 33.2% 8 35.9%	DEN 48.3% +18.0% MIN 30.3%
FT %	4 83.0% 10 77.5%	DEN 85.0% +13.0% MIN 72.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 34.6% 2 35.4%	DEN 25.0% MIN 33.8% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	6 28.3% 3 25.3%	DEN 38.8% MIN 19.7% −19.0%
3P Att. %	12 37.1% 8 39.3%	DEN 36.3% MIN 46.5% +10.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	93	92
Possession Minutes	25.4	22.6
Points	117	90
Rebounds	40	32
Assists	26	23
Steals	9	5
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (1)	14 (2)
Fouls	25	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (3)	27 (3)
Field Goals	43-80	31-71
At-the-Rim FG	14-20	16-24
Midrange FG	15-31	5-14
2-Point FG	29-51	21-38
3-Point FG	14-29	10-33
Free Throws	17-20	18-25
Fast Break Pts	8	13
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	38	34
Pts off Turnovers	17	15
Bench Points	23	31
Biggest Lead	34	2

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg