Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	4	Nuggets	41%	105	115	123.7	93	85.1
	6	Timberwolves	59%	108	107	113.8	94	103.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	41.1	27	104%	7	6	1	2	2	4	2	5	3-3	100%	9-10	90%	2-2	100%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	39.1	35	63%	7	7	3	1	4	4	2	5	4-6	67%	14-21	67%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.6	19	56%	5	8	2	0	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.5	4	50%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.9	3	25%	1	3	1	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	25.3	11	92%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	19.1	10	71%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	9.4	6	75%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	67%	31	29	7	3	12	20	5	26	12-15	80%	32-50	64%	13-29	45%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	41.1	27	104%	7	6	1	2	2	4	2	5	3-3	100%	9-10	90%	2-2	100%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	39.1	35	63%	7	7	3	1	4	4	2	5	4-6	67%	14-21	67%	1-5	20%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	38.6	19	56%	5	8	2	0	3	3	1	4	0-0	-	5-10	50%	3-7	43%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.5	4	50%	3	1	0	1	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	31.9	3	25%	1	3	1	2	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-4	25%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	25.3	11	92%	3	1	0	0	0	3	0	3	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	19.1	10	71%	3	0	0	0	1	1	0	3	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	3-5	60%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	9.4	6	75%	2	3	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	115	67%	31	29	7	3	12	20	5	26	12-15	80%	32-50	64%	13-29	45%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 23	45.3	44	76%	5	5	2	1	3	2	0	5	7-8	88%	11-17	65%	5-8	63%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	37.9	13	33%	12	3	1	0	1	3	5	7	2-4	50%	4-14	29%	1-4	25%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	37.6	11	55%	2	0	1	1	1	2	2	0	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	1-3	33%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	35.5	11	61%	14	1	0	1	5	5	5	9	5-9	56%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	34.2	15	58%	2	9	1	0	0	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	3-7	43%

Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	24.4	2	14%	3	3	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-4	0%
Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	18.9	11	92%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	6.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	55%	42	21	5	6	11	21	12	30	18-27	67%	28-54	52%	11-28	39%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	MIN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.34 66.9%

MIN

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

14

22

64%

MIN

18

29

62%

Midrange

DEN

18

28

64%

MIN

10

25

40%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

13

19.5

29

45%

67%

MIN

11

16.5

28

39%

59%

Free Throws

DEN

12

15

80%

MIN

18

27

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	35	63%	17.5 / 28
A. Gordon	27	104%	13.5 / 13
J. Murray	19	56%	9.5 / 17
C. Braun	11	92%	5.5 / 6
J. Holiday	10	71%	5.0 / 7
R. Jackson	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Porter	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Caldwell-Pope	3	25%	1.5 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Edwards	44	76%	22.0 / 29
M. Conley	15	58%	7.5 / 13
K. Towns	13	33%	6.5 / 20
J. McDaniels	11	55%	5.5 / 10
R. Gobert	11	61%	5.5 / 9
N. Reid	11	92%	5.5 / 6
N. Alexander-Walker	2	14%	1.0 / 7
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 109.5 6 115.1	DEN 123.7 +9.8 MIN 113.8
Pace	9 93.4 10 93.4	DEN 85.1 MIN 103.5 +18.4
Avg. Poss. Time	20 15.6 19 15.7	DEN 16.9 MIN 13.9 −3.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 51.9% 5 53.8%	DEN 65.2% +10.9% MIN 54.3%
TO %	10 12.1% 9 12.1%	DEN 12.3% MIN 10.5% −1.8%
ORB %	10 22.8% 4 26.3%	DEN 14.3% MIN 31.6% +17.3%
FTrt	13 19.6 4 28.5	DEN 19.0 MIN 32.9 +13.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 64.0% 4 61.8%	DEN 64.4% +10.6% MIN 53.8%
STL %	7 6.8% 5 7.8%	DEN 7.5% +2.2% MIN 5.3%
BLK %	10 9.2% 9 9.5%	DEN 5.6% MIN 12.0% +6.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	10 54.2% 6 55.8%	DEN 66.9% +12.3% MIN 54.6%
Rim FG%	9 61.3% 8 61.4%	DEN 63.6% +1.5% MIN 62.1%
Mid FG%	10 42.9% 9 43.2%	DEN 64.3% +24.3% MIN 40.0%
3P %	11 33.2% 8 35.9%	DEN 44.8% +5.5% MIN 39.3%
FT %	4 83.0% 10 77.5%	DEN 80.0% +13.3% MIN 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	3 34.6% 2 35.4%	DEN 27.8% MIN 35.4% +7.5%
Mid Att. %	6 28.3% 3 25.3%	DEN 35.4% MIN 30.5% −5.0%
3P Att. %	12 37.1% 8 39.3%	DEN 36.7% +2.6% MIN 34.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	MIN
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	26.2	21.8
Points	115	107
Rebounds	31	42
Assists	29	21
Steals	7	5
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls	20	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	5 (0)	12 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (4)	30 (1)
Field Goals	45-79	39-82
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	18-29
Midrange FG	18-28	10-25
2-Point FG	32-50	28-54
3-Point FG	13-29	11-28
Free Throws	12-15	18-27
Fast Break Pts	7	16
2nd Chance Pts	6	9
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	20	11
Bench Points	27	13
Biggest Lead	18	7

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg