Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Timberwolves	39%	106	97	106.6	91	92.6
	3	Nuggets	61%	110	112	121.7	92	90.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 23	44.3	18	50%	4	9	1	0	4	2	0	4	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	40.0	18	90%	11	3	2	2	1	4	2	9	4-7	57%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	39.2	14	58%	2	5	0	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	37.9	23	57%	6	4	2	0	2	4	1	5	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	2-5	40%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	30.7	9	50%	3	3	1	2	3	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	19.8	7	39%	3	0	0	1	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	16.4	2	50%	2	3	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	11.7	6	50%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Soreness
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	56%	33	30	7	7	14	20	8	25	13-19	68%	30-52	58%	8-26	31%

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6 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Anthony Edwards #5 · PG · 6'4" 225 · 23	44.3	18	50%	4	9	1	0	4	2	0	4	7-8	88%	4-10	40%	1-5	20%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 32	40.0	18	90%	11	3	2	2	1	4	2	9	4-7	57%	7-7	100%	0-0	-
Nickeil Alexander-Walker #9 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 26	39.2	14	58%	2	5	0	2	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	4-8	50%
Karl-Anthony Towns #32 · PF · 7'0" 248 · 28	37.9	23	57%	6	4	2	0	2	4	1	5	1-2	50%	8-14	57%	2-5	40%
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 24	30.7	9	50%	3	3	1	2	3	4	2	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-4	25%

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 25	19.8	7	39%	3	0	0	1	1	4	0	3	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-3	0%
Kyle Anderson #1 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 31	16.4	2	50%	2	3	1	0	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Monté Morris #23 · PG · 6'2" 183 · 29	11.7	6	50%	2	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #6 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Josh Minott #8 · SF · 6'8" 205 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Luka Garza #55 · PF · 6'10" 243 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
T.J. Warren #24 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 37	DND - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles; Soreness
Wendell Moore Jr. #7 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Leonard Miller #33 · SF · 6'10" 220 · 20	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	56%	33	30	7	7	14	20	8	25	13-19	68%	30-52	58%	8-26	31%

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3 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 27	41.4	16	53%	1	4	1	0	2	2	1	0	2-2	100%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 29	41.1	40	80%	7	13	2	1	0	2	0	7	8-9	89%	13-19	68%	2-3	67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope #5 · SG · 6'5" 204 · 31	37.9	16	100%	5	4	1	0	2	3	0	5	0-0	-	2-3	67%	4-5	80%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 26	35.5	6	30%	7	1	0	2	2	3	1	6	0-0	-	0-3	0%	2-7	29%
Aaron Gordon #50 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 29	33.6	18	56%	10	5	1	0	2	2	5	5	4-4	100%	7-13	54%	0-1	0%

Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 23	28.3	10	56%	5	2	1	2	1	2	1	4	1-3	33%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%
Justin Holiday #9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 35	15.4	0	0%	3	1	0	0	1	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Reggie Jackson #7 · PG · 6'3" 208 · 34	6.6	6	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Peyton Watson #8 · SG · 6'8" 200 · 22	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #4 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	62%	38	30	6	5	11	17	8	30	15-18	83%	35-61	57%	9-19	47%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.11 55.7%

DEN

1.23 61.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

19

28

68%

DEN

27

39

69%

Midrange

MIN

11

24

46%

DEN

8

22

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

8

12.0

26

31%

46%

DEN

9

13.5

19

47%

71%

Free Throws

MIN

13

19

68%

DEN

15

18

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Towns	23	57%	11.5 / 20
A. Edwards	18	50%	9.0 / 18
R. Gobert	18	90%	9.0 / 10
N. Alexander-Walker	14	58%	7.0 / 12
J. McDaniels	9	50%	4.5 / 9
N. Reid	7	39%	3.5 / 9
M. Morris	6	50%	3.0 / 6
K. Anderson	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	40	80%	20.0 / 25
A. Gordon	18	56%	9.0 / 16
J. Murray	16	53%	8.0 / 15
K. Caldwell-Pope	16	100%	8.0 / 8
C. Braun	10	56%	5.0 / 9
M. Porter	6	30%	3.0 / 10
R. Jackson	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Holiday	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 115.1 10 109.5	MIN 106.6 DEN 121.7 +15.1
Pace	10 93.4 9 93.4	MIN 92.6 +2.2 DEN 90.4
Avg. Poss. Time	19 15.7 20 15.6	MIN 15.5 −0.4 DEN 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 53.8% 11 51.9%	MIN 53.8% DEN 60.6% +6.8%
TO %	9 12.1% 10 12.1%	MIN 13.9% DEN 12.0% −1.9%
ORB %	4 26.3% 10 22.8%	MIN 21.1% DEN 24.2% +3.1%
FTrt	4 28.5 13 19.6	MIN 24.4 +1.9 DEN 22.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 61.8% 2 64.0%	MIN 78.9% +10.7% DEN 68.2%
STL %	5 7.8% 7 6.8%	MIN 7.7% +1.2% DEN 6.5%
BLK %	9 9.5% 10 9.2%	MIN 11.5% +1.9% DEN 9.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 55.8% 10 54.2%	MIN 55.7% DEN 61.5% +5.8%
Rim FG%	8 61.4% 9 61.3%	MIN 67.9% DEN 69.2% +1.3%
Mid FG%	9 43.2% 10 42.9%	MIN 45.8% +9.4% DEN 36.4%
3P %	8 35.9% 11 33.2%	MIN 30.8% DEN 47.4% +16.6%
FT %	10 77.5% 4 83.0%	MIN 68.4% DEN 83.3% +14.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	2 35.4% 3 34.6%	MIN 35.9% DEN 48.8% +12.9%
Mid Att. %	3 25.3% 6 28.3%	MIN 30.8% DEN 27.5% −3.3%
3P Att. %	8 39.3% 12 37.1%	MIN 33.3% +9.6% DEN 23.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	91	92
Possession Minutes	23.6	24.4
Points	97	112
Rebounds	33	38
Assists	30	30
Steals	7	6
Blocks	7	5
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	11 (1)
Fouls	20	17
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	25 (3)	30 (4)
Field Goals	38-78	44-80
At-the-Rim FG	19-28	27-39
Midrange FG	11-24	8-22
2-Point FG	30-52	35-61
3-Point FG	8-26	9-19
Free Throws	13-19	15-18
Fast Break Pts	4	16
2nd Chance Pts	13	8
Points in Paint	48	62
Pts off Turnovers	12	18
Bench Points	15	16
Biggest Lead	4	18

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg