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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 16, 2024
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Nuggets
70
4Timberwolves
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 25.9
31
35
8
6
1
0
1
1
2
1
5
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
55%
1-6
17%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.7
28
35
12
8
4
0
1
3
2
1
7
2-2
100%
2-3
5-8
67%
58%
2-4
50%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.2
36
40
22
9
2
0
1
0
3
5
4
4-4
100%
9-15
9-16
60%
60%
0-4
0%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.2
28
35
9
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 27.2
33
39
10
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-11
7-14
18%
49%
2-7
29%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.1
18
24
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 35.1
13
16
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 34.1
12
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 21.7
10
2
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
9
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 23.9
7
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
5
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
57%
0-0
-
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 24.6
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 35.8
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
63%
0-0
-
Vlatko Cancar
F · 6'9" 215 · 27.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jaden McDaniels
F · 6'10" 185 · 23.6
31
31
21
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
5-5
3-5
100%
58%
3-5
60%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 28.5
29
36
10
13
5
0
1
0
1
4
9
2-2
100%
4-6
5-10
67%
56%
0-4
0%
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 31.9
29
36
8
14
2
1
1
0
1
2
12
0-2
0%
4-8
5-7
50%
65%
0-0
-
Anthony Edwards
G · 6'5" 225 · 22.8
34
42
27
4
4
3
1
0
1
0
4
7-8
88%
4-8
7-13
50%
52%
4-9
44%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 36.6
31
18
13
4
5
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Naz Reid
C-F · 6'9" 249 · 24.7
22
20
10
11
1
1
1
0
0
1
10
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
57%
0-4
0%
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
G · 6'5" 204 · 25.7
17
32
9
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
3-5
60%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 30.7
11
13
4
3
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
4-4
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Monte Morris
G · 6'3" 175 · 28.9
9
7
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
1-3
33%
Jordan McLaughlin
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.1
8
2
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
53%
0-0
-
Luka Garza
C · 6'10" 243 · 25.4
8
1
8
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
0-0
100%
56%
1-2
50%
Wendell Moore Jr.
G · 6'5" 215 · 22.7
7
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
Josh Minott
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.5
5
1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
53%
0-1
0%
T.J. Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 30.7
1
0
0-0
55%
Leonard Miller
F · 6'10" 210 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.