Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 20, 2025

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	15	Heat	23%	104	100
	3	Cavaliers	77%	115	121

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
MIA	114.9	87	81.9
CLE	137.5	88	93.8

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+14

-14

CLE

+18

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.15 57.5%

CLE

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

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Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	CLE
Q4 - 0:00.0		End of 4th Quarter.	100	121
Q4 - 0:05.3	Cavaliers	Cavaliers turnover (shot clock violation)	100	121
Q4 - 0:29.6	Cavaliers	Javonte Green defensive rebound	100	121
Q4 - 0:31.9	Heat	Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot	100	121
Q4 - 0:41.9	Heat	Duncan Robinson defensive rebound	100	121
Q4 - 0:42.7	Cavaliers	Craig Porter Jr. misses two point cutting layup	100	121
Q4 - 0:54.2	Cavaliers	Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound	100	121
Q4 - 0:56.7	Cavaliers	Jaylon Tyson misses three point jump shot	100	121
Q4 - 1:09	Cavaliers	Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound	100	121
Q4 - 1:11	Heat	Nikola Jovic misses three point jump shot	100	121
Q4 - 1:21	Cavaliers	Jaylon Tyson personal foul (Take) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)	100	121
Q4 - 1:23	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2	100	121
Q4 - 1:23	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2	100	120
Q4 - 1:23	Heat	Haywood Highsmith personal foul (Take) (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)	100	119
Q4 - 1:30	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Jarrett Allen steals)	100	119
Q4 - 1:34	Heat	Tyler Herro defensive rebound	100	119
Q4 - 1:36	Cavaliers	Darius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot	100	119
Q4 - 1:52	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley defensive rebound	100	119
Q4 - 1:54	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot	100	119
Q4 - 2:08	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)	100	119
Q4 - 2:35	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)	100	116
Q4 - 2:48	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 2	98	116
Q4 - 2:48	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 2	98	115
Q4 - 2:48	Heat	Haywood Highsmith personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)	98	114
Q4 - 3:05	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	98	114
Q4 - 3:22	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes three point pullup jump shot	96	114
Q4 - 3:39	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup (Haywood Highsmith assists)	96	111
Q4 - 3:45	Heat	Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound	94	111
Q4 - 3:47	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot	94	111
Q4 - 4:01	Cavaliers	Max Strus defensive rebound	94	111
Q4 - 4:04	Heat	Haywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot	94	111
Q4 - 4:29	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes three point pullup jump shot	94	111
Q4 - 4:43	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point driving layup	94	108
Q4 - 4:55	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	92	108
Q4 - 5:12	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)	92	106
Q4 - 5:12	Heat	Tyler Herro offensive foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)	92	106
Q4 - 5:16	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	92	106
Q4 - 5:17	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome misses regular free throw 1 of 1	92	106
Q4 - 5:17	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)	92	106
Q4 - 5:30	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup	92	104
Q4 - 5:47	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes two point cutting layup (Ty Jerome assists)	90	104
Q4 - 5:58	Heat	Haywood Highsmith turnover (bad pass) (Darius Garland steals)	90	102
Q4 - 6:05	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	90	102
Q4 - 6:09	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot	90	102
Q4 - 6:31	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)	90	102
Q4 - 6:44	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome defensive rebound	90	99
Q4 - 6:47	Heat	Sam Merrill blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot	90	99
Q4 - 7:03	Heat	Kel'el Ware defensive rebound	90	99
Q4 - 7:04	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome misses regular free throw 2 of 2	90	99
Q4 - 7:04	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2	90	99
Q4 - 7:04	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)	90	98
Q4 - 7:26	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2	90	98
Q4 - 7:26	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2	89	98
Q4 - 7:26	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)	88	98
Q4 - 7:43	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes three point jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)	88	98
Q4 - 7:46	Heat	Duncan Robinson personal foul (Sam Merrill draws the foul)	88	95
Q4 - 7:52	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 7:54	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 8:14	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	88	95
Q4 - 8:17	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro misses three point jump shot	88	95
Q4 - 8:32	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes three point stepback jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	88	95
Q4 - 8:49	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes three point jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)	85	95
Q4 - 8:58	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point driving layup	85	92
Q4 - 9:08	Heat	Duncan Robinson defensive rebound	83	92
Q4 - 9:10	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro misses three point jump shot	83	92
Q4 - 9:32	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot	83	92
Q4 - 9:53	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Ty Jerome assists)	81	92
Q4 - 10:10	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	81	89
Q4 - 10:29	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot	79	89
Q4 - 10:36	Heat	Davion Mitchell personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)	79	87
Q4 - 10:51	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound	79	87
Q4 - 10:53	Heat	Duncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot	79	87
Q4 - 11:02	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	79	87
Q4 - 11:11	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	79	87
Q4 - 11:14	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill misses three point jump shot	79	87
Q4 - 11:24	Heat	Davion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	79	87
Q4 - 11:29	Heat	Davion Mitchell defensive rebound	79	87
Q4 - 11:32	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot	79	87
Q4 - 11:37	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley offensive rebound	79	87
Q4 - 11:39	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro misses three point jump shot	79	87
Q4 - 11:41	Cavaliers	Cavaliers offensive rebound	79	87
Q4 - 11:43	Cavaliers	Bam Adebayo blocks Ty Jerome's two point driving floating jump shot	79	87
Q3 - 0:00.0		End of 3rd Quarter.	79	87
Q3 - 0:00.1	Cavaliers	Cavaliers offensive rebound	79	87
Q3 - 0:00.7	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley misses three point pullup jump shot	79	87
Q3 - 0:04.1	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley defensive rebound	79	87
Q3 - 0:08.9	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	79	87
Q3 - 0:31.6	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2	79	87
Q3 - 0:31.6	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2	79	86
Q3 - 0:31.6	Heat	Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)	79	85
Q3 - 0:49.8	Heat	Haywood Highsmith makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	79	85
Q3 - 0:55.6	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)	76	85
Q3 - 1:09	Heat	Duncan Robinson makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	76	85
Q3 - 1:40	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot	74	85
Q3 - 1:53	Heat	Duncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)	74	82
Q3 - 2:04	Heat	Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound	71	82
Q3 - 2:06	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter misses two point putback layup	71	82
Q3 - 2:08	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter offensive rebound	71	82
Q3 - 2:09	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter misses two point driving layup	71	82
Q3 - 2:19	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup	71	82
Q3 - 2:20	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	69	82
Q3 - 2:21	Heat	Duncan Robinson misses two point driving finger roll layup	69	82
Q3 - 2:38	Heat	Duncan Robinson defensive rebound	69	82
Q3 - 2:39	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley misses two point driving layup	69	82
Q3 - 2:45	Heat	Davion Mitchell personal foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)	69	82
Q3 - 2:53	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound	69	82
Q3 - 2:56	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot	69	82
Q3 - 3:23	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving layup (Sam Merrill assists)	69	82
Q3 - 3:30	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley offensive rebound	69	80
Q3 - 3:34	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome misses three point stepback jump shot	69	80
Q3 - 3:49	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound	69	80
Q3 - 3:51	Heat	Alec Burks misses three point jump shot	69	80
Q3 - 4:07	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot	69	80
Q3 - 4:18	Cavaliers	Darius Garland defensive rebound	69	78
Q3 - 4:20	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot	69	78
Q3 - 4:38	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes two point fadeaway jump shot	69	78
Q3 - 4:47	Heat	Davion Mitchell personal foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)	69	76
Q3 - 4:59	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point running finger roll layup	69	76
Q3 - 5:05	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	67	76
Q3 - 5:08	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot	67	76
Q3 - 5:17	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter defensive rebound	67	76
Q3 - 5:19	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses two point driving floating jump shot	67	76
Q3 - 5:41	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	67	76
Q3 - 5:43	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot	67	76
Q3 - 5:54	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot	67	76
Q3 - 5:57	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	65	76
Q3 - 5:59	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot	65	76
Q3 - 6:12	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point running layup	65	76
Q3 - 6:19	Heat	Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)	65	74
Q3 - 6:48	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes two point driving layup	65	74
Q3 - 7:08	Heat	Kel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk	65	72
Q3 - 7:08	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	63	72
Q3 - 7:10	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot	63	72
Q3 - 7:32	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)	63	72
Q3 - 7:34	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen offensive rebound	63	72
Q3 - 7:36	Cavaliers	Max Strus misses three point jump shot	63	72
Q3 - 7:47	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2	63	72
Q3 - 7:47	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2	62	72
Q3 - 7:47	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	62	72
Q3 - 7:58	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	62	72
Q3 - 8:01	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley misses two point driving floating jump shot	62	72
Q3 - 8:11	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound	62	72
Q3 - 8:13	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot	62	72
Q3 - 8:33	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)	62	72
Q3 - 9:02	Heat	Alec Burks makes three point pullup jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)	62	70
Q3 - 9:24	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes three point jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)	59	70
Q3 - 9:27	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen offensive rebound	59	67
Q3 - 9:29	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point running pullup jump shot	59	67
Q3 - 9:35	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley defensive rebound	59	67
Q3 - 9:38	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot	59	67
Q3 - 9:45	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	59	67
Q3 - 9:47	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley misses three point jump shot	59	67
Q3 - 10:05	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Alec Burks assists)	59	67
Q3 - 10:09	Heat	Kel'el Ware offensive rebound	57	67
Q3 - 10:10	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2	57	67
Q3 - 10:10	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2	57	67
Q3 - 10:10	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	56	67
Q3 - 10:32	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving reverse layup (Darius Garland assists)	56	67
Q3 - 10:49	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	56	65
Q3 - 11:19	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley makes two point tip layup	54	65
Q3 - 11:19	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley offensive rebound	54	63
Q3 - 11:21	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley misses two point driving layup	54	63
Q3 - 11:28	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley defensive rebound	54	63
Q3 - 11:30	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot	54	63
Q3 - 11:43	Heat	Alec Burks defensive rebound	54	63
Q3 - 11:44	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 2	54	63
Q3 - 11:44	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2	54	63
Q3 - 11:44	Heat	Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)	54	62
Q3 - 11:49	Heat	Andrew Wiggins turnover (lost ball) (Donovan Mitchell steals)	54	62
Q2 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Half.	54	62
Q2 - 0:06.2	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot	54	62
Q2 - 0:30.2	Heat	Heat defensive rebound	51	62
Q2 - 0:34.2	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot	51	62
Q2 - 0:39.7	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen defensive rebound	51	62
Q2 - 0:40.7	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2	51	62
Q2 - 0:40.7	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2	51	62
Q2 - 0:40.7	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	50	62
Q2 - 0:40.7	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	50	62
Q2 - 0:43.1	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	50	62
Q2 - 0:45.8	Heat	Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound	50	62
Q2 - 0:48.0	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	50	62
Q2 - 0:50.2	Heat	Davion Mitchell offensive rebound	50	62
Q2 - 0:52.1	Heat	Jarrett Allen blocks Bam Adebayo's two point running dunk	50	62
Q2 - 0:54.5	Cavaliers	Darius Garland turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)	50	62
Q2 - 1:09	Heat	Haywood Highsmith makes two point putback layup	50	62
Q2 - 1:10	Heat	Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound	48	62
Q2 - 1:11	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot	48	62
Q2 - 1:26	Heat	Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound	48	62
Q2 - 1:29	Cavaliers	Darius Garland misses three point stepback jump shot	48	62
Q2 - 1:43	Heat	Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Donovan Mitchell steals)	48	62
Q2 - 2:02	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving hook shot (De'Andre Hunter assists)	48	62
Q2 - 2:31	Heat	Duncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	48	60
Q2 - 2:37	Heat	Davion Mitchell defensive rebound	45	60
Q2 - 2:39	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot	45	60
Q2 - 2:46	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound	45	60
Q2 - 2:49	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point stepback jump shot	45	60
Q2 - 2:56	Cavaliers	Darius Garland personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)	45	60
Q2 - 3:17	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving finger roll layup	45	60
Q2 - 3:25	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen defensive rebound	45	58
Q2 - 3:27	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot	45	58
Q2 - 3:37	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	45	58
Q2 - 3:46	Heat	Tyler Herro defensive rebound	45	58
Q2 - 3:47	Cavaliers	Haywood Highsmith blocks Jarrett Allen's two point cutting dunk	45	58
Q2 - 4:01	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)	45	58
Q2 - 4:05	Heat	Haywood Highsmith offensive rebound	42	58
Q2 - 4:07	Heat	Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot	42	58
Q2 - 4:23	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes three point pullup jump shot	42	58
Q2 - 4:38	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	42	55
Q2 - 4:54	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes two point cutting layup (Darius Garland assists)	40	55
Q2 - 5:08	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot	40	53
Q2 - 5:13	Heat	Tyler Herro defensive rebound	38	53
Q2 - 5:16	Cavaliers	Max Strus misses three point running jump shot	38	53
Q2 - 5:21	Heat	Davion Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Jarrett Allen steals)	38	53
Q2 - 5:35	Cavaliers	Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)	38	53
Q2 - 5:49	Heat	Tyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	38	50
Q2 - 6:14	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes three point running pullup jump shot	36	50
Q2 - 6:22	Cavaliers	Darius Garland defensive rebound	36	47
Q2 - 6:24	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot	36	47
Q2 - 6:51	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes two point cutting layup (Darius Garland assists)	36	47
Q2 - 7:03	Cavaliers	Dean Wade defensive rebound	36	45
Q2 - 7:06	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses two point driving layup	36	45
Q2 - 7:17	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	36	45
Q2 - 7:19	Cavaliers	Darius Garland misses two point driving floating bank jump shot	36	45
Q2 - 7:32	Heat	Andrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	36	45
Q2 - 7:44	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 1	36	45
Q2 - 7:44	Heat	Haywood Highsmith shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)	36	44
Q2 - 7:55	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)	36	42
Q2 - 8:21	Cavaliers	Max Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Evan Mobley assists)	34	42
Q2 - 8:37	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)	34	39
Q2 - 8:44	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	31	39
Q2 - 8:45	Heat	Isaac Okoro blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot	31	39
Q2 - 8:58	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes two point driving floating jump shot	31	39
Q2 - 9:12	Heat	Haywood Highsmith makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)	31	37
Q2 - 9:22	Heat	Kyle Anderson defensive rebound	29	37
Q2 - 9:23	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses two point driving layup	29	37
Q2 - 9:29	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome defensive rebound	29	37
Q2 - 9:32	Heat	Kyle Anderson misses two point driving floating jump shot	29	37
Q2 - 9:39	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	29	37
Q2 - 9:44	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome defensive rebound	29	37
Q2 - 9:48	Heat	Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot	29	37
Q2 - 9:58	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	29	37
Q2 - 10:02	Heat	Heat offensive rebound	29	37
Q2 - 10:03	Heat	Sam Merrill blocks Davion Mitchell's two point driving layup	29	37
Q2 - 10:19	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Isaac Okoro assists)	29	37
Q2 - 10:28	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro offensive rebound	29	34
Q2 - 10:32	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot	29	34
Q2 - 10:40	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill offensive rebound	29	34
Q2 - 10:43	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot	29	34
Q2 - 10:59	Heat	Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2	29	34
Q2 - 10:59	Heat	Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2	28	34
Q2 - 10:59	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	27	34
Q2 - 11:22	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes three point pullup jump shot	27	34
Q2 - 11:26	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome offensive rebound	27	31
Q2 - 11:30	Cavaliers	Isaac Okoro misses three point jump shot	27	31
Q2 - 11:46	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)	27	31
Q1 - 0:00.0		End of 1st Quarter.	24	31
Q1 - 0:00.1	Cavaliers	Cavaliers offensive rebound	24	31
Q1 - 0:00.4	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot	24	31
Q1 - 0:10.3	Heat	Davion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	24	31
Q1 - 0:26.9	Heat	Haywood Highsmith defensive rebound	24	31
Q1 - 0:29.3	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot	24	31
Q1 - 0:31.7	Heat	Davion Mitchell personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)	24	31
Q1 - 0:43.7	Cavaliers	Cavaliers defensive rebound	24	31
Q1 - 0:47.7	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot	24	31
Q1 - 1:00	Heat	Bam Adebayo defensive rebound	24	31
Q1 - 1:03	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome misses three point pullup jump shot	24	31
Q1 - 1:11	Heat	Duncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds bad pass)	24	31
Q1 - 1:19	Heat	Bam Adebayo offensive rebound	24	31
Q1 - 1:22	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot	24	31
Q1 - 1:36	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome makes three point pullup jump shot	24	31
Q1 - 1:44	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)	24	28
Q1 - 2:04	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point running dunk	22	28
Q1 - 2:07	Heat	Duncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)	22	26
Q1 - 2:20	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley makes two point driving layup (Sam Merrill assists)	22	26
Q1 - 2:32	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome defensive rebound	22	24
Q1 - 2:35	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot	22	24
Q1 - 2:40	Cavaliers	Sam Merrill personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)	22	24
Q1 - 2:56	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point turnaround jump shot	22	24
Q1 - 3:07	Heat	Davion Mitchell makes two point driving layup	22	22
Q1 - 3:19	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley makes two point cutting dunk (Donovan Mitchell assists)	20	22
Q1 - 3:32	Heat	Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2	20	20
Q1 - 3:32	Heat	Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2	19	20
Q1 - 3:32	Cavaliers	Ty Jerome shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)	18	20
Q1 - 3:40	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	18	20
Q1 - 3:41	Cavaliers	Kel'el Ware blocks Darius Garland's two point running layup	18	20
Q1 - 3:50	Heat	Andrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Jarrett Allen steals)	18	20
Q1 - 4:14	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes two point driving layup	18	20
Q1 - 4:34	Cavaliers	Darius Garland defensive rebound	18	18
Q1 - 4:36	Heat	Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot	18	18
Q1 - 4:38	Heat	Davion Mitchell offensive rebound	18	18
Q1 - 4:40	Heat	Davion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot	18	18
Q1 - 5:01	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 2	18	18
Q1 - 5:01	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 2	18	17
Q1 - 5:01	Heat	Kel'el Ware shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)	18	16
Q1 - 5:05	Cavaliers	Cavaliers offensive rebound	18	16
Q1 - 5:07	Cavaliers	Kel'el Ware blocks Jarrett Allen's two point putback layup	18	16
Q1 - 5:07	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen offensive rebound	18	16
Q1 - 5:08	Cavaliers	De'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot	18	16
Q1 - 5:18	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen offensive rebound	18	16
Q1 - 5:21	Cavaliers	Darius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot	18	16
Q1 - 5:36	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes three point pullup jump shot	18	16
Q1 - 5:47	Cavaliers	Darius Garland personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)	15	16
Q1 - 5:54	Heat	Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound	15	16
Q1 - 5:57	Cavaliers	Darius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot	15	16
Q1 - 6:15	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)	15	16
Q1 - 6:20	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Andrew Wiggins steals)	13	16
Q1 - 6:27	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen defensive rebound	13	16
Q1 - 6:30	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot	13	16
Q1 - 6:46	Cavaliers	Darius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)	13	16
Q1 - 7:00	Heat	Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)	13	14
Q1 - 7:17	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen turnover (out of bounds lost ball)	10	14
Q1 - 7:19	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen offensive rebound	10	14
Q1 - 7:20	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen misses two point hook shot	10	14
Q1 - 7:39	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)	10	14
Q1 - 7:49	Heat	Alec Burks defensive rebound	8	14
Q1 - 7:51	Cavaliers	Darius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot	8	14
Q1 - 8:07	Heat	Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Kel'el Ware assists)	8	14
Q1 - 8:31	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)	5	14
Q1 - 8:43	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen defensive rebound	5	12
Q1 - 8:45	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot	5	12
Q1 - 8:55	Cavaliers	Evan Mobley makes three point pullup jump shot	5	12
Q1 - 9:09	Heat	Alec Burks makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)	5	9
Q1 - 9:31	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes two point driving dunk	2	9
Q1 - 9:41	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell defensive rebound	2	7
Q1 - 9:43	Heat	Bam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot	2	7
Q1 - 9:55	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2	2	7
Q1 - 9:55	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2	2	6
Q1 - 9:55	Heat	Tyler Herro shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)	2	5
Q1 - 10:07	Heat	Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround jump shot	2	5
Q1 - 10:26	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen makes two point putback layup	0	5
Q1 - 10:29	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen offensive rebound	0	3
Q1 - 10:31	Cavaliers	Donovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot	0	3
Q1 - 10:41	Cavaliers	Jarrett Allen defensive rebound	0	3
Q1 - 10:42	Heat	Tyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot	0	3
Q1 - 11:01	Cavaliers	Darius Garland turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)	0	3
Q1 - 11:15	Heat	Andrew Wiggins turnover (traveling)	0	3
Q1 - 11:43	Cavaliers	Max Strus makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)	0	3
Q1 - 12:00		Kel'el Ware vs. Jarrett Allen (Darius Garland gains possession)	0	0

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.15 57.5%

CLE

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

83%

CLE

63%

Midrange

MIA

49%

CLE

59%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

19.5

42%

63%

CLE

27.0

42%

63%

Free Throws

MIA

75%

CLE

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo	24	48%	12.0 / 25
T. Herro	21	53%	10.5 / 20
D. Mitchell	18	75%	9.0 / 12
A. Wiggins	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Robinson	8	80%	4.0 / 5
H. Highsmith	7	88%	3.5 / 4
A. Burks	6	100%	3.0 / 3
K. Ware	2	50%	1.0 / 2
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Jaquez	0	-	0.0 / 1
N. Jović	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	30	68%	15.0 / 22
T. Jerome	28	82%	14.0 / 17
D. Garland	27	75%	13.5 / 18
J. Allen	12	75%	6.0 / 8
E. Mobley	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Strus	9	90%	4.5 / 5
S. Merrill	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Hunter	0	-	0.0 / 4
I. Okoro	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Tyson	0	-	0.0 / 1
C. Porter	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA

+14

-14

CLE

+18

-7

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.15 57.5%

CLE

1.22 61.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.4 122.4	MIA 114.9 CLE 137.5 +22.6
Pace	93.3 97.6	MIA 81.9 CLE 93.8 +11.9
Avg. Poss. Time	16.3 14.2	MIA 17.6 CLE 15.3 +2.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	52.9% 55.1%	MIA 56.9% CLE 61.4% +4.5%
TO %	16.6% 11.6%	MIA 14.1% CLE 7.8% +6.3%
ORB %	23.3% 28.2%	MIA 28.2% CLE 35.0% +6.8%
FTrt	16.3 31.8	MIA 15.0 CLE 18.2 +3.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	58.6% 56.0%	MIA 59.0% +12.3% CLE 46.7%
STL %	4.9% 9.1%	MIA 5.7% CLE 9.1% +3.4%
BLK %	7.2% 7.5%	MIA 8.9% +0.7% CLE 8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	52.6% 57.9%	MIA 57.5% CLE 61.1% +3.6%
Rim FG%	60.7% 64.9%	MIA 83.3% +20.8% CLE 62.5%
Mid FG%	50.0% 44.6%	MIA 48.8% CLE 58.6% +9.8%
3P %	34.6% 36.3%	MIA 41.9% CLE 41.9%
FT %	69.8% 81.7%	MIA 75.0% CLE 81.3% +6.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18.7% 28.9%	MIA 7.5% CLE 18.2% +10.7%
Mid Att. %	32.5% 24.4%	MIA 53.8% CLE 33.0% +20.8%
3P Att. %	48.8% 46.7%	MIA 38.8% CLE 48.9% +10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.

Game Totals	MIA	CLE
Possessions	87	88
Possession Minutes	25.5	22.5
Points	100	121
Rebounds	37	42
Assists	23	21
Steals	5	8
Blocks	4	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	7 (1)
Fouls	15	13
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	26 (2)	28 (1)
Field Goals	39-80	45-88
At-the-Rim FG	5-6	10-16
Midrange FG	21-43	17-29
2-Point FG	26-49	27-45
3-Point FG	13-31	18-43
Free Throws	9-12	13-16
Fast Break Pts	14	8
2nd Chance Pts	17	17
Points in Paint	44	48
Pts off Turnovers	11	11
Bench Points	33	34
Biggest Lead	2	21

BOXSCORE

15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 28	39.1	24	48%	9	3	2	1	1	1	4	5	3-6	50%	9-17	53%	1-5	20%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 30	38.1	14	58%	6	2	1	0	4	0	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25	37.0	21	53%	3	2	1	0	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	4-12	33%	3-6	50%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21	19.6	2	50%	3	2	0	2	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	15.2	6	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 27	33.9	18	75%	4	9	1	0	3	4	2	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	30.6	7	88%	6	2	0	1	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	14.7	8	80%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 32	6.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 37	NWT – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	57%	37	23	5	4	14	15	11	26	9-12	75%	26-49	53%	13-31	42%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bam Adebayo #13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 28	39.1	24	48%	9	3	2	1	1	1	4	5	3-6	50%	9-17	53%	1-5	20%
Andrew Wiggins #22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 30	38.1	14	58%	6	2	1	0	4	0	1	5	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Tyler Herro #14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25	37.0	21	53%	3	2	1	0	3	4	0	3	4-4	100%	4-12	33%	3-6	50%
Kel'el Ware #7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21	19.6	2	50%	3	2	0	2	0	1	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Alec Burks #18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34	15.2	6	100%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Davion Mitchell #45 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 27	33.9	18	75%	4	9	1	0	3	4	2	2	0-0	-	6-9	67%	2-3	67%
Haywood Highsmith #24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28	30.6	7	88%	6	2	0	1	1	3	2	4	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Duncan Robinson #55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31	14.7	8	80%	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	2-3	67%
Kyle Anderson #20 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 32	6.3	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Jaime Jaquez Jr. #11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Nikola Jović #5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Pelle Larsson #9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Keshad Johnson #16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Terry Rozier #2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dru Smith #12 · SG · 6'2" 203 · 27	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Isaiah Stevens #4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Josh Christopher #8 · SG · 6'4" 215 · 23	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Kevin Love #42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 37	NWT – Personal
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	57%	37	23	5	4	14	15	11	26	9-12	75%	26-49	53%	13-31	42%

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3 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'3" 215 · 29	33.3	30	68%	5	4	4	0	2	2	0	5	6-7	86%	9-10	90%	2-9	22%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 24	33.2	9	45%	7	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Darius Garland #10 · PG · 6'1" 192 · 25	30.8	27	75%	3	5	1	0	2	2	0	3	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	5-9	56%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 27	30.3	12	75%	11	1	3	1	2	2	6	5	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Max Strus #1 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 29	21.4	9	90%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Ty Jerome #2 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 28	26.3	28	82%	5	3	0	0	0	1	1	4	3-5	60%	5-7	71%	5-8	63%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 29	24.0	6	75%	1	4	0	2	0	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
De'Andre Hunter #12 · SF · 6'8" 221 · 27	16.0	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-0	-
Isaac Okoro #35 · SG · 6'5" 225 · 24	12.6	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-4	0%
Dean Wade #32 · PF · 6'9" 228 · 28	6.5	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chuma Okeke #18 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 27	1.4	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jaylon Tyson #24 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 25	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Javonte Green #8 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 32	1.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tristan Thompson #13 · C · 6'9" 254 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #30 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Luke Travers #33 · SG · 6'7" 207 · 24	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
Emoni Bates #21 · SF · 6'9" 170 · 21	Inactive - G League - Two-Way
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	61%	42	21	8	4	7	13	14	28	13-16	81%	27-45	60%	18-43	42%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg

BOXSCORE