FinalWin Prob.pScore
1528%106
112
472%115
121
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
117.99587.2
CLE logo CLE
128.794105.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.112
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 2112
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 2112
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)112
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.9HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving finger roll layup112
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.5CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 2110
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.5CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 2110
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.5HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Take) (Darius Garland draws the foul)110
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.2HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup110
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.9CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point tip layup108
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0CavaliersDarius Garland offensive rebound108
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.2CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point running layup108
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.5HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)108
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.7CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2108
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 0:25.7CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2108
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 0:25.7HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)108
0.6%
113
99.4%
Q4 - 0:30.2CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound108
0.9%
113
99.1%
Q4 - 0:32.7HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot108
1.1%
113
98.9%
Q4 - 0:39.4HeatHeat offensive rebound108
3.4%
113
96.6%
Q4 - 0:39.8HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot108
2.0%
113
98.0%
Q4 - 0:50.8HeatHeat defensive rebound108
4.6%
113
95.4%
Q4 - 0:52.7CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving layup108
3.8%
113
96.2%
Q4 - 1:11CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound108
2.9%
113
97.1%
Q4 - 1:13HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot108
3.7%
113
96.3%
Q4 - 1:18HeatHeat defensive rebound108
6.0%
113
94.0%
Q4 - 1:21CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot108
5.2%
113
94.8%
Q4 - 1:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)108
4.4%
113
95.6%
Q4 - 1:52CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot106
3.4%
113
96.6%
Q4 - 2:11HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)106
6.8%
110
93.2%
Q4 - 2:27CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot103
3.0%
110
97.0%
Q4 - 2:43HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (Jarrett Allen steals)103
6.5%
107
93.5%
Q4 - 2:58CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point stepback jump shot103
13.4%
107
86.6%
Q4 - 3:11HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot103
17.3%
105
82.7%
Q4 - 3:30CavaliersMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
13.1%
105
86.9%
Q4 - 3:30CavaliersMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
13.9%
104
86.1%
Q4 - 3:30HeatHaywood Highsmith personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)101
15.0%
103
85.0%
Q4 - 3:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)101
20.3%
103
79.7%
Q4 - 4:02CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Max Strus assists)99
15.4%
103
84.6%
Q4 - 4:26HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup (Nikola Jovic assists)99
20.0%
101
80.0%
Q4 - 4:33HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound97
15.3%
101
84.7%
Q4 - 4:36CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot97
13.7%
101
86.3%
Q4 - 4:55CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound97
10.7%
101
89.3%
Q4 - 4:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot97
11.9%
101
88.1%
Q4 - 5:04HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound97
16.7%
101
83.3%
Q4 - 5:07HeatNikola Jovic misses three point pullup bank jump shot97
13.6%
101
86.4%
Q4 - 5:29HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound97
16.6%
101
83.4%
Q4 - 5:31CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot97
15.2%
101
84.8%
Q4 - 5:47HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)97
12.3%
101
87.7%
Q4 - 6:06CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 294
8.5%
101
91.5%
Q4 - 6:06CavaliersDarius Garland misses regular free throw 1 of 294
8.8%
100
91.2%
Q4 - 6:06HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)94
7.0%
100
93.0%
Q4 - 6:18CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound94
8.1%
100
91.9%
Q4 - 6:19HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 294
8.4%
100
91.6%
Q4 - 6:19HeatDavion Mitchell misses regular free throw 1 of 294
9.8%
100
90.2%
Q4 - 6:19CavaliersMax Strus shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)94
11.6%
100
88.4%
Q4 - 6:23CavaliersTy Jerome turnover (lost ball) (Davion Mitchell steals)94
10.9%
100
89.1%
Q4 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)94
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 6:47HeatDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Haywood Highsmith assists)94
8.0%
100
92.0%
Q4 - 6:51HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound91
4.9%
100
95.1%
Q4 - 6:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot91
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 7:11HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound91
5.8%
100
94.2%
Q4 - 7:12CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses regular free throw 2 of 291
5.5%
100
94.5%
Q4 - 7:12CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 291
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 7:12HeatHaywood Highsmith shooting foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)91
4.9%
99
95.1%
Q4 - 7:28HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)91
5.4%
99
94.6%
Q4 - 7:33HeatNikola Jovic offensive rebound88
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 7:37HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot88
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q4 - 8:00HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound88
3.5%
99
96.5%
Q4 - 8:02CavaliersDarius Garland misses two point driving floating jump shot88
3.7%
99
96.3%
Q4 - 8:20HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 288
3.0%
99
97.0%
Q4 - 8:20HeatDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 287
2.9%
99
97.1%
Q4 - 8:20CavaliersIsaac Okoro shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)86
2.7%
99
97.3%
Q4 - 8:39CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Sam Merrill assists)86
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 8:53CavaliersCavaliers defensive rebound86
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 8:55HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot86
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 9:07HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound86
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 9:09CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot86
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 9:22HeatNikola Jovic makes two point driving layup86
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 9:45CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (traveling)84
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 9:55HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)84
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 10:08CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound84
3.2%
96
96.8%
Q4 - 10:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway bank jump shot84
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 10:25CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot84
4.1%
96
95.9%
Q4 - 10:44HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)84
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q4 - 11:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 11:08CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot82
5.2%
93
94.8%
Q4 - 11:24HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot82
4.5%
93
95.5%
Q4 - 11:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q4 - 11:44CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving reverse layup80
3.5%
93
96.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.80
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q3 - 0:03.6HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q3 - 0:06.2CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot80
3.9%
93
96.1%
Q3 - 0:23.4CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound80
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q3 - 0:25.9HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot80
3.6%
93
96.4%
Q3 - 0:41.2HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound80
4.1%
93
95.9%
Q3 - 0:44.6CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses three point jump shot80
3.8%
93
96.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot80
3.4%
93
96.6%
Q3 - 1:03HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound78
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q3 - 1:05CavaliersTy Jerome misses three point running pullup jump shot78
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q3 - 1:09HeatHaywood Highsmith turnover (lost ball) (De'Andre Hunter steals)78
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 1:12HeatHaywood Highsmith offensive rebound78
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q3 - 1:17HeatPelle Larsson misses three point running jump shot78
2.8%
93
97.2%
Q3 - 1:23HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound78
3.2%
93
96.8%
Q3 - 1:25CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot78
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q3 - 1:33HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 278
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 1:33HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 1 of 277
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 1:33CavaliersSam Merrill shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)77
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q3 - 1:46HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound77
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 1:47CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot77
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q3 - 2:05HeatNikola Jovic makes three point stepback jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)77
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 2:33CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes two point cutting dunk (Evan Mobley assists)74
1.8%
93
98.2%
Q3 - 2:37HeatPelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Ty Jerome steals)74
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 2:38HeatPelle Larsson defensive rebound74
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q3 - 2:39CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot74
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q3 - 2:51HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup74
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 2:52HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound72
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 2:53HeatNikola Jovic misses two point driving floating jump shot72
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 3:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound72
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 3:02CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses two point turnaround jump shot72
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q3 - 3:17CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound72
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q3 - 3:19HeatHaywood Highsmith misses three point jump shot72
1.8%
91
98.2%
Q3 - 3:36CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point stepback jump shot (Jarrett Allen assists)72
2.1%
91
97.9%
Q3 - 4:00HeatHaywood Highsmith makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)72
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q3 - 4:13CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 2 of 270
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q3 - 4:13CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 270
2.8%
87
97.2%
Q3 - 4:13HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)70
2.9%
86
97.1%
Q3 - 4:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup70
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 4:37HeatKel'el Ware offensive rebound68
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating bank jump shot68
2.4%
86
97.6%
Q3 - 4:58CavaliersJarrett Allen makes regular free throw 1 of 168
2.7%
86
97.3%
Q3 - 4:58HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)68
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q3 - 5:07CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound68
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 5:10HeatKel'el Ware misses three point stepback jump shot68
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 5:18HeatDavion Mitchell defensive rebound68
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 5:20CavaliersAndrew Wiggins blocks Ty Jerome's three point stepback jump shot68
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 5:38HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)68
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 5:42HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound68
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 5:44CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point running pullup jump shot68
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 5:50CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound68
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot68
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 6:12CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes two point tip layup68
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 6:13CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter offensive rebound68
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 6:15CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot68
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 6:26CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound68
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 6:27HeatAndrew Wiggins misses regular free throw 2 of 268
5.6%
81
94.4%
Q3 - 6:27HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 268
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 6:27CavaliersTy Jerome shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)67
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 6:36CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (offensive foul)67
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 6:36CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)67
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 6:47CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound67
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 6:48CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot67
5.3%
81
94.7%
Q3 - 7:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 267
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 7:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 266
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 7:00CavaliersEvan Mobley shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)65
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 7:09HeatHeat defensive rebound65
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 7:11CavaliersAndrew Wiggins blocks Jarrett Allen's two point cutting layup65
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 7:20CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound65
3.9%
81
96.1%
Q3 - 7:21HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point stepback jump shot65
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 7:44HeatHeat defensive rebound65
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 7:46CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot65
4.3%
81
95.7%
Q3 - 8:06HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)65
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 8:15CavaliersMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)62
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 8:17HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)62
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 8:26CavaliersEvan Mobley makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)62
3.2%
81
96.8%
Q3 - 8:38HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 262
4.0%
78
96.0%
Q3 - 8:38HeatAndrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 261
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q3 - 8:38CavaliersDonovan Mitchell shooting foul (Andrew Wiggins draws the foul)60
3.7%
78
96.3%
Q3 - 8:55CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 2 of 260
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 8:55CavaliersDarius Garland makes regular free throw 1 of 260
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 8:55HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)60
3.7%
76
96.3%
Q3 - 9:11HeatKel'el Ware makes two point pullup jump shot60
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 9:20CavaliersDarius Garland personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)58
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 9:28CavaliersEvan Mobley makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)58
3.8%
76
96.2%
Q3 - 9:43HeatKel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)58
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 10:05CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point running pullup jump shot (Darius Garland assists)55
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 10:13CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 10:15HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot55
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound55
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 10:30CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot55
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 10:32HeatKel'el Ware personal foul (Jarrett Allen draws the foul)55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 10:34CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 10:36CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot55
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 10:49HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 11:10CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point driving hook shot (Max Strus assists)53
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 11:21CavaliersEvan Mobley offensive rebound53
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q3 - 11:23CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point jump shot53
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 11:46HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point driving finger roll layup53
5.2%
68
94.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
4.7%
68
95.3%
Q2 - 0:00.4HeatNikola Jovic defensive rebound51
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q2 - 0:02.8CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot51
4.6%
68
95.4%
Q2 - 0:18.4CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound51
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q2 - 0:20.6HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot51
4.4%
68
95.6%
Q2 - 0:32.7CavaliersDonovan Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)51
4.8%
68
95.2%
Q2 - 0:49.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot51
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q2 - 1:03CavaliersJarrett Allen turnover (traveling)49
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q2 - 1:05CavaliersJarrett Allen offensive rebound49
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q2 - 1:06CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses two point running layup49
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q2 - 1:12CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound49
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q2 - 1:14HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot49
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q2 - 1:16HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound49
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q2 - 1:18HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot49
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q2 - 1:36CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)49
3.9%
68
96.1%
Q2 - 1:46CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound49
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q2 - 1:48HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot49
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q2 - 1:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound49
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q2 - 1:54CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point running layup49
5.4%
65
94.6%
Q2 - 2:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point stepback jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)49
5.2%
65
94.8%
Q2 - 2:09CavaliersIsaac Okoro personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)47
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q2 - 2:21CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point driving floating jump shot47
4.7%
65
95.3%
Q2 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro makes three point stepback jump shot47
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q2 - 2:43HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound44
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q2 - 2:45CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot44
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q2 - 2:54HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)44
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q2 - 3:15CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point stepback jump shot44
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q2 - 3:37CavaliersIsaac Okoro defensive rebound44
4.9%
61
95.1%
Q2 - 3:40HeatKel'el Ware misses three point jump shot44
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q2 - 3:58CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)44
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q2 - 4:13HeatNikola Jovic makes two point running layup (Andrew Wiggins assists)44
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 4:18HeatAndrew Wiggins defensive rebound42
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 4:19CavaliersAndrew Wiggins blocks Isaac Okoro's two point driving reverse layup42
5.5%
59
94.5%
Q2 - 4:30HeatKel'el Ware turnover (lost ball) (Isaac Okoro steals)42
5.1%
59
94.9%
Q2 - 4:44CavaliersMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)42
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q2 - 4:56HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)42
6.9%
56
93.1%
Q2 - 5:06CavaliersIsaac Okoro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)39
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q2 - 5:18HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 2 of 239
6.9%
53
93.1%
Q2 - 5:18HeatNikola Jovic makes regular free throw 1 of 238
6.8%
53
93.2%
Q2 - 5:18CavaliersIsaac Okoro shooting foul (Nikola Jovic draws the foul)37
6.7%
53
93.3%
Q2 - 5:34CavaliersMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)37
6.4%
53
93.6%
Q2 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)37
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q2 - 6:06CavaliersMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)34
6.5%
50
93.5%
Q2 - 6:10CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound34
7.8%
47
92.2%
Q2 - 6:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot34
8.1%
47
91.9%
Q2 - 6:23CavaliersJarrett Allen makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)34
8.8%
47
91.2%
Q2 - 6:35HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Dean Wade steals)34
9.4%
45
90.6%
Q2 - 6:51CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes three point pullup jump shot34
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 7:05HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)34
12.8%
42
87.2%
Q2 - 7:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound32
11.8%
42
88.2%
Q2 - 7:24CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses three point jump shot32
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q2 - 7:39HeatDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup32
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 7:46CavaliersTy Jerome personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 7:46HeatHeat offensive rebound30
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 7:48HeatNikola Jovic misses three point jump shot30
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q2 - 8:04CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)30
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 8:09CavaliersSam Merrill offensive rebound30
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 8:13CavaliersTy Jerome misses three point stepback jump shot30
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 8:26CavaliersSam Merrill defensive rebound30
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 8:27HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot30
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 8:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound30
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 8:43HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point pullup jump shot30
12.1%
39
87.9%
Q2 - 8:56HeatHeat defensive rebound30
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 9:00CavaliersEvan Mobley misses three point jump shot30
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 9:08CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound30
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 9:10HeatDavion Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot30
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q2 - 9:30CavaliersSam Merrill makes three point running pullup jump shot30
13.1%
39
86.9%
Q2 - 9:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Sam Merrill steals)30
15.4%
36
84.6%
Q2 - 9:49CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)30
16.9%
36
83.1%
Q2 - 10:03HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)30
19.8%
33
80.2%
Q2 - 10:19CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)27
17.0%
33
83.0%
Q2 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
19.8%
30
80.2%
Q2 - 11:03CavaliersEvan Mobley makes three point jump shot (Donovan Mitchell assists)24
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 11:12CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound24
19.7%
27
80.3%
Q2 - 11:14HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot24
20.2%
27
79.8%
Q2 - 11:21CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 2 of 224
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q2 - 11:21CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter makes regular free throw 1 of 224
21.6%
26
78.4%
Q2 - 11:21HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (De'Andre Hunter draws the foul)24
21.9%
25
78.1%
Q2 - 11:35HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)24
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.24
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.1CavaliersCavaliers offensive rebound24
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q1 - 0:01.7CavaliersTy Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot24
23.7%
25
76.3%
Q1 - 0:18.5HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)24
22.5%
25
77.5%
Q1 - 0:38.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound21
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 0:40.2CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point running layup21
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 0:44.9CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound21
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 0:46.6HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk21
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 0:55.6CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 221
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 0:55.6CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 221
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 0:55.6HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)21
19.9%
23
80.1%
Q1 - 1:02CavaliersDonovan Mitchell defensive rebound21
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 1:04HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot21
21.5%
23
78.5%
Q1 - 1:16CavaliersTy Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 121
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 1:16HeatPelle Larsson shooting foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)21
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 1:32HeatDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)21
25.9%
20
74.1%
Q1 - 1:53CavaliersEvan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 121
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q1 - 1:53HeatAndrew Wiggins shooting foul (Evan Mobley draws the foul)21
28.1%
19
71.9%
Q1 - 2:10HeatHaywood Highsmith makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)21
31.0%
17
69.0%
Q1 - 2:30CavaliersTy Jerome makes three point stepback jump shot18
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 2:42HeatPelle Larsson makes two point driving layup (Tyler Herro assists)18
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 3:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound16
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 3:04CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot16
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 3:11CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter defensive rebound16
27.2%
14
72.8%
Q1 - 3:14HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot16
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 3:27CavaliersDonovan Mitchell personal foul (Kel'el Ware draws the foul)16
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 3:43CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point running dunk16
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 3:48HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Evan Mobley steals)16
30.8%
12
69.2%
Q1 - 4:04HeatHeat defensive rebound16
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 4:08CavaliersSam Merrill misses three point jump shot16
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 4:14HeatAndrew Wiggins personal foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)16
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 4:22CavaliersTy Jerome defensive rebound16
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 4:24HeatAndrew Wiggins misses two point driving layup16
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 4:39CavaliersDarius Garland makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot16
31.9%
12
68.1%
Q1 - 4:50HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Darius Garland draws the foul)16
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 4:56CavaliersMax Strus defensive rebound16
33.2%
10
66.8%
Q1 - 4:58HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot16
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 5:14CavaliersDarius Garland makes three point stepback jump shot16
34.4%
10
65.6%
Q1 - 5:31CavaliersJarrett Allen defensive rebound16
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 5:35HeatBam Adebayo misses three point jump shot16
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 5:53HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound16
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 5:57CavaliersDe'Andre Hunter misses two point driving floating jump shot16
38.5%
7
61.5%
Q1 - 6:13HeatAndrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)16
36.5%
7
63.5%
Q1 - 6:33CavaliersCavaliers turnover (8-second violation)13
33.4%
7
66.6%
Q1 - 6:43HeatAndrew Wiggins turnover (bad pass) (Donovan Mitchell steals)13
31.9%
7
68.1%
Q1 - 7:06CavaliersDonovan Mitchell makes two point running alley-oop dunk (Darius Garland assists)13
32.8%
7
67.2%
Q1 - 7:10CavaliersDarius Garland defensive rebound13
34.0%
5
66.0%
Q1 - 7:11HeatJarrett Allen blocks Andrew Wiggins's two point driving layup13
34.5%
5
65.5%
Q1 - 7:25CavaliersDarius Garland turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
35.5%
5
64.5%
Q1 - 7:26HeatDavion Mitchell personal foul (Donovan Mitchell draws the foul)13
33.9%
5
66.1%
Q1 - 7:36CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound13
33.8%
5
66.2%
Q1 - 7:38HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot13
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 7:49HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound13
35.2%
5
64.8%
Q1 - 7:52HeatAndrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot13
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 8:03HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound13
34.6%
5
65.4%
Q1 - 8:05CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
34.1%
5
65.9%
Q1 - 8:22HeatBam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)13
32.9%
5
67.1%
Q1 - 8:44HeatHeat defensive rebound10
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 8:51CavaliersDarius Garland misses three point pullup jump shot10
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 9:03HeatAndrew Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)10
29.1%
5
70.9%
Q1 - 9:16CavaliersMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Darius Garland assists)8
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 9:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point running layup8
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 9:32CavaliersEvan Mobley turnover (bad pass) (Kel'el Ware steals)6
29.0%
2
71.0%
Q1 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 26
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 9:51HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 25
27.9%
2
72.1%
Q1 - 9:51CavaliersDarius Garland shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 10:05HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound4
27.2%
2
72.8%
Q1 - 10:07CavaliersDonovan Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot4
27.0%
2
73.0%
Q1 - 10:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot4
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 10:57CavaliersEvan Mobley makes two point running dunk (Max Strus assists)2
26.6%
2
73.4%
Q1 - 11:04CavaliersEvan Mobley defensive rebound2
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 11:09HeatTyler Herro misses three point running pullup jump shot2
27.0%
0
73.0%
Q1 - 11:15HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound2
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:17CavaliersMax Strus misses three point jump shot2
27.2%
0
72.8%
Q1 - 11:29HeatKel'el Ware makes two point alley-oop dunk (Andrew Wiggins assists)2
27.1%
0
72.9%
Q1 - 11:46HeatKel'el Ware defensive rebound0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 11:48CavaliersJarrett Allen misses two point cutting layup0
27.3%
0
72.7%
Q1 - 12:00Kel'el Ware vs. Jarrett Allen (Darius Garland gains possession)0
27.6%
0
72.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
CLE
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
6
7
86%
CLE
8
12
67%
Midrange
MIA
20
29
69%
CLE
9
25
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
16
24.0
45
36%
53%
CLE
22
33.0
45
49%
73%
Free Throws
MIA
12
16
75%
CLE
21
23
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3366%16.5 / 25
D. Mitchell1882%9.0 / 11
H. Highsmith17121%8.5 / 7
B. Adebayo1150%5.5 / 11
N. Jović1142%5.5 / 13
A. Wiggins1042%5.0 / 12
K. Ware770%3.5 / 5
D. Robinson350%1.5 / 3
P. Larsson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell3065%15.0 / 23
D. Garland2158%10.5 / 18
E. Mobley2091%10.0 / 11
M. Strus1478%7.0 / 9
D. Hunter1255%6.0 / 11
J. Allen975%4.5 / 6
T. Jerome638%3.0 / 8
S. Merrill675%3.0 / 4
I. Okoro375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+11
-13
93
CLE
86
+8
-8
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
CLE
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.4
122.4
MIA 117.9
CLE 128.7 +10.8
Pace
93.3
97.6
MIA 87.2
CLE 105.3 +18.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.2
MIA 16.5
CLE 13.7 +2.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.9%
55.1%
MIA 61.7% +0.7%
CLE 61.0%
TO %
16.6%
11.6%
MIA 13.7%
CLE 8.9% +4.8%
ORB %
23.3%
28.2%
MIA 24.3% +7.2%
CLE 17.1%
FTrt
16.3
31.8
MIA 19.8
CLE 28.0 +8.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
56.0%
MIA 64.3% +2.8%
CLE 61.5%
STL %
4.9%
9.1%
MIA 3.2%
CLE 10.6% +7.4%
BLK %
7.2%
7.5%
MIA 8.1% +5.3%
CLE 2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
57.9%
MIA 60.2%
CLE 64.4% +4.2%
Rim FG%
60.7%
64.9%
MIA 85.7% +19.0%
CLE 66.7%
Mid FG%
50.0%
44.6%
MIA 69.0% +33.0%
CLE 36.0%
3P %
34.6%
36.3%
MIA 35.6%
CLE 48.9% +13.3%
FT %
69.8%
81.7%
MIA 75.0%
CLE 91.3% +16.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
18.7%
28.9%
MIA 8.6%
CLE 14.6% +6.0%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
24.4%
MIA 35.8%
CLE 30.5% +5.3%
3P Att. %
48.8%
46.7%
MIA 55.6% +0.7%
CLE 54.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.53 and 2.53.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes26.221.4
Points112121
Rebounds3834
Assists2724
Steals310
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)8 (1)
Fouls1913
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (7)28 (2)
Field Goals42-8139-82
At-the-Rim FG6-78-12
Midrange FG20-299-25
2-Point FG26-3617-37
3-Point FG16-4522-45
Free Throws12-1621-23
Fast Break Pts617
2nd Chance Pts129
Points in Paint4428
Pts off Turnovers1319
Bench Points3327
Biggest Lead919

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#13 · PF · 6'9" 255 · 28
42.4
11
50%
14
9
1
0
2
3
5
9
4-4
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
#14 · PG · 6'5" 195 · 25
40.0
33
66%
6
5
0
0
2
3
0
6
1-2
50%
10-13
77%
4-11
36%
#45 · SG · 6'0" 202 · 27
36.3
18
82%
1
6
1
0
2
3
0
1
2-4
50%
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 197 · 30
28.4
10
42%
1
3
0
3
2
3
0
1
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
1-4
25%
#7 · C · 7'0" 230 · 21
19.1
7
70%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#24 · SF · 6'5" 220 · 28
26.7
17
121%
2
1
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
5-6
83%
#5 · PF · 6'10" 205 · 22
24.6
11
42%
8
2
0
0
2
0
2
6
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
1-8
13%
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 31
11.9
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#9 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 24
10.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#20 · SF · 6'9" 230 · 32
DNP – Coach's Decision
#11 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#16 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#42 · PF · 6'8" 251 · 37
NWT - Not With Team | Personal
#2 · PG · 6'1" 190 · 31
DND - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
38
27
3
3
13
19
9
29
12-16
75%
26-36
72%
16-45
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.