Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, April 20, 2025

Final			W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	9	Grizzlies	23%	108	80	73.4	109	107.4
	1	Thunder	77%	119	131	121.3	108	109.6

Scoring Opportunities

MEM

+16

-22

103

OKC

+14

-15

107

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.78 38.8%

OKC

1.22 61.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	28.5	4	15%	3	2	1	0	3	1	3	0	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-4	0%
Desmond Bane #22 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	27.4	9	35%	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	26.2	17	45%	3	4	0	1	1	2	1	2	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	1-6	17%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 24	22.2	2	11%	2	4	1	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	19.6	4	40%	9	1	0	0	2	1	4	5	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	25.3	2	25%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	19.4	5	42%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	19.0	3	75%	3	1	1	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	16.2	17	106%	5	0	2	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	12.0	5	63%	3	0	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	12.0	4	22%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	12.0	8	67%	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	NWT – Personal
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture/Facial Laceration/Concussion Protocol
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	39%	43	18	7	4	22	15	13	30	10-12	83%	26-59	44%	6-34	18%

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9 Memphis Grizzlies

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jaren Jackson Jr. #13 · PF · 6'10" 242 · 26	28.5	4	15%	3	2	1	0	3	1	3	0	0-0	-	2-9	22%	0-4	0%
Desmond Bane #22 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 27	27.4	9	35%	2	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	1-6	17%
Ja Morant #12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 26	26.2	17	45%	3	4	0	1	1	2	1	2	4-5	80%	5-11	45%	1-6	17%
Scotty Pippen Jr. #1 · SG · 6'2" 170 · 24	22.2	2	11%	2	4	1	0	3	5	0	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-4	0%
Zach Edey #14 · C · 7'3" 305 · 23	19.6	4	40%	9	1	0	0	2	1	4	5	0-1	0%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

John Konchar #46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	25.3	2	25%	3	2	1	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Santi Aldama #7 · PF · 7'0" 215 · 24	19.4	5	42%	4	3	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Vince Williams Jr. #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 25	19.0	3	75%	3	1	1	0	3	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Marvin Bagley III #35 · PF · 6'10" 235 · 26	16.2	17	106%	5	0	2	1	1	1	2	3	0-0	-	7-7	100%	1-1	100%
Luke Kennard #10 · SG · 6'5" 206 · 29	12.0	5	63%	3	0	1	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Lamar Stevens #8 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 28	12.0	4	22%	4	1	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-3	0%
Jay Huff #30 · C · 7'1" 240 · 28	12.0	8	67%	2	0	0	2	1	0	1	1	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Cam Spencer #24 · SG · 6'3" 205 · 25
Yuki Kawamura #17 · PG · 5'7" 159 · 24
GG Jackson #45 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 20	NWT – Personal
Jaylen Wells #0 · SG · 6'7" 206 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Wrist; Fracture/Facial Laceration/Concussion Protocol
Brandon Clarke #15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Knee; PCL Sprain
Zyon Pullin #2 · SG · 6'4" 206 · 24	Inactive - Not With Team
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	39%	43	18	7	4	22	15	13	30	10-12	83%	26-59	44%	6-34	18%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	25.9	20	63%	5	6	3	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	10-12	83%	0-4	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	23.1	15	47%	3	5	0	2	2	2	0	3	6-7	86%	3-6	50%	1-7	14%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	21.7	12	75%	3	2	3	1	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-8	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	21.1	19	68%	10	2	1	2	0	1	1	9	6-6	100%	2-7	29%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	21.0	14	88%	8	5	1	0	0	1	4	4	0-0	-	7-8	88%	0-0	-

Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	26.3	21	70%	4	2	0	0	2	2	1	3	1-1	100%	4-8	50%	4-7	57%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	19.6	6	60%	1	1	0	0	2	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	18.7	9	90%	5	3	1	2	3	3	0	5	1-1	100%	1-1	100%	2-4	50%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	15.9	6	33%	8	1	2	0	0	0	2	6	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-4	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	14.5	5	42%	1	2	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 21	12.7	2	100%	2	3	1	0	1	4	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	11.8	0	0%	3	4	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 23	7.8	2	50%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Branden Carlson #15 · C · 7'0" 220 · 26
Alex Ducas #88 · SG · 6'7" 220 · 24
Adam Flagler #14 · SG · 6'1" 180 · 25
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	131	61%	54	36	12	8	15	16	12	42	14-15	93%	33-51	65%	17-48	35%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	MEM	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MEM

0.78 38.8%

OKC

1.22 61.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MEM

67%

OKC

67%

Midrange

MEM

21%

OKC

62%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MEM

9.0

18%

26%

OKC

25.5

35%

53%

Free Throws

MEM

83%

OKC

93%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Grizzlies

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Morant	17	45%	8.5 / 19
M. Bagley	17	106%	8.5 / 8
D. Bane	9	35%	4.5 / 13
J. Huff	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Aldama	5	42%	2.5 / 6
L. Kennard	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Jackson	4	15%	2.0 / 13
Z. Edey	4	40%	2.0 / 5
L. Stevens	4	22%	2.0 / 9
V. Williams	3	75%	1.5 / 2
S. Pippen	2	11%	1.0 / 9
J. Konchar	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Wiggins	21	70%	10.5 / 15
J. Williams	20	63%	10.0 / 16
C. Holmgren	19	68%	9.5 / 14
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	15	47%	7.5 / 16
I. Hartenstein	14	88%	7.0 / 8
L. Dort	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Williams	9	90%	4.5 / 5
I. Joe	6	60%	3.0 / 5
K. Williams	6	33%	3.0 / 9
A. Mitchell	5	42%	2.5 / 6
C. Wallace	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Jones	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 97.3 4 114.2	MEM 73.4 OKC 121.3 +47.9
Pace	1 103.3 2 99.9	MEM 107.4 OKC 109.6 +2.2
Avg. Poss. Time	25 14.6 30 14.0	MEM 13.4 OKC 13.1 −0.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	15 47.6% 9 52.2%	MEM 37.6% OKC 59.1% +21.5%
TO %	16 17.7% 1 11.5%	MEM 19.6% OKC 13.2% −6.4%
ORB %	13 23.6% 9 25.6%	MEM 23.6% OKC 28.6% +5.0%
FTrt	14 23.6 6 29.0	MEM 12.9 OKC 15.2 +2.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	9 56.9% 10 56.0%	MEM 56.3% OKC 72.0% +15.7%
STL %	14 5.6% 1 10.7%	MEM 6.4% OKC 11.1% +4.7%
BLK %	2 12.0% 4 11.7%	MEM 7.8% OKC 13.6% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.26 and 2.26.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 50.1% 7 55.2%	MEM 38.8% OKC 61.2% +22.4%
Rim FG%	8 63.3% 9 62.4%	MEM 66.7% OKC 66.7%
Mid FG%	12 40.0% 6 43.9%	MEM 20.7% OKC 61.9% +41.2%
3P %	15 30.4% 13 33.7%	MEM 17.6% OKC 35.4% +17.8%
FT %	1 87.8% 4 80.1%	MEM 83.3% OKC 93.3% +10.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	15 22.8% 5 30.8%	MEM 32.3% +2.0% OKC 30.3%
Mid Att. %	16 37.5% 10 30.2%	MEM 31.2% OKC 21.2% −10.0%
3P Att. %	9 39.8% 12 39.0%	MEM 36.6% OKC 48.5% +11.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.07 and 2.07.

Game Totals	MEM	OKC
Possessions	109	108
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	80	131
Rebounds	43	54
Assists	18	36
Steals	7	12
Blocks	4	8
Turnovers (Team)	22 (2)	15 (1)
Fouls	15	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (3)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (5)	42 (4)
Field Goals	32-93	50-99
At-the-Rim FG	20-30	20-30
Midrange FG	6-29	13-21
2-Point FG	26-59	33-51
3-Point FG	6-34	17-48
Free Throws	10-12	14-15
Fast Break Pts	5	27
2nd Chance Pts	12	17
Points in Paint	48	60
Pts off Turnovers	10	24
Bench Points	44	51
Biggest Lead	4	56

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg