Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder66%115117
13Grizzlies34%110115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
37.8
34.2
23
53%
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
8-16
7-13
50%
55%
2-5
40%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 23.0
29.1
30.0
11
47%
2
1
2
1
4
1
0
2
5-6
83%
3-5
4-7
60%
58%
0-4
0%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
25.3
23.6
11
70%
12
3
4
1
0
3
3
9
1-2
50%
5-7
4-6
71%
60%
0-0
-
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 26.0
28.5
30.0
4
35%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-4
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.8
38.4
36.2
38
64%
5
6
2
2
1
1
2
3
11-13
85%
12-20
9-17
60%
54%
1-4
25%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.2
25.7
20.1
6
44%
3
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
1-4
25%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.5
21.4
22.5
4
24%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-5
2-3
40%
56%
0-3
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.3
14.6
12.2
9
54%
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0
3-3
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
57%
0-3
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.8
14.2
17.2
11
79%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
55%
3-6
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
3.6
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.4
1.5
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
5.2
0
1-1
53%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
3.9
0
0-0
51%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.7
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.3
40.1
28.2
23
88%
9
3
0
1
0
2
0
9
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
5-7
71%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.6
34.8
35.6
12
41%
4
2
2
1
1
5
1
3
6-6
100%
3-10
6-11
30%
50%
0-2
0%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 23.0
32.5
26.6
8
82%
8
1
0
0
7
1
2
6
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
37.7
35.0
23
49%
5
5
0
1
0
5
1
4
7-8
88%
5-12
4-9
42%
51%
2-8
25%
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.5
36.9
31.4
30
59%
11
4
0
2
0
5
4
7
10-10
100%
7-14
3-6
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.7
18.1
4.7
11
94%
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
52%
3-5
60%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.8
17.7
4
50%
3
3
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
16.3
15.7
4
106%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.7
6.0
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
63%
0-0
-
Lamar Stevens
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
0.0
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 26.1
6.7
0
1-2
55%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.4
2.6
0
0-1
47%
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.6
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.