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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 4, 2025
6:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Pacers30%111121
5Cavaliers70%118112
Updated: May 4, 2025 09:42 PM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Nesmith
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.5
24.6
30.8
17
87%
8
0
0
1
1
3
2
6
3-4
75%
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
4-6
67%
Pascal Siakam
F · 6'9" 230 · 31.1
33.7
33.1
17
52%
8
4
1
1
0
2
1
7
3-3
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
54%
2-5
40%
Myles Turner
C · 6'11" 255 · 29.1
33.1
33.3
13
66%
11
1
3
1
2
3
1
10
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
57%
1-3
33%
Andrew Nembhard
G-F · 6'5" 191 · 25.3
37.1
31.9
23
98%
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
5-6
83%
Tyrese Haliburton
G · 6'5" 185 · 25.2
36.2
35.1
22
69%
3
13
1
1
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
7-9
4-7
78%
56%
2-6
33%
Bennedict Mathurin
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
23.4
17.1
11
55%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
49%
3-5
60%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 33.1
15.3
17.3
7
70%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Obi Toppin
F · 6'9" 220 · 27.2
14.7
12.9
7
58%
5
2
1
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-2
50%
65%
1-2
50%
Jarace Walker
F · 6'8" 235 · 21.7
8.8
12.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Sheppard
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.8
7.5
11.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Thomas Bryant
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.8
5.7
5.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
63%
0-1
0%
Johnny Furphy
G · 6'9" 200 · 20.4
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Tony Bradley
C · 6'10" 248 · 27.3
1.1
0
0-0
59%
Isaiah Jackson
F · 6'10" 205 · 23.3
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 38.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Max Strus
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.1
31.9
24.8
7
35%
7
3
2
1
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
58%
2-8
25%
Evan Mobley
C · 7'0" 215 · 23.9
35.8
28.2
20
77%
10
2
2
1
0
4
4
6
0-0
-
7-8
4-7
88%
61%
2-5
40%
Jarrett Allen
C · 6'11" 234 · 27.0
30.1
26.3
12
86%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
5-7
86%
67%
0-0
-
Sam Merrill
G · 6'5" 205 · 29.0
17.8
19.3
6
60%
4
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
2-5
40%
Donovan Mitchell
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.7
33.7
28.6
33
49%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
6-9
67%
12-19
4-8
63%
53%
1-11
9%
De'Andre Hunter
F · 6'7" 225 · 27.4
30.2
23.0
11
62%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Ty Jerome
G · 6'5" 195 · 27.8
29.5
20.9
21
47%
3
8
1
1
0
1
2
1
4-5
80%
7-16
3-6
44%
55%
1-4
25%
Dean Wade
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.5
16.1
17.2
0
0%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
61%
0-1
0%
Isaac Okoro
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.3
15.0
12.5
2
25%
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
58%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 34.1
8.0
0
1-2
52%
Craig Porter Jr.
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.2
8.0
0
1-2
54%
Jaylon Tyson
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.4
7.4
0
1-2
53%
Javonte Green
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.8
6.8
0
0-1
57%
Chuma Okeke
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
3.2
0
0-0
50%
Darius Garland
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.