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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
May 5, 2025
9:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets24%111121
1Thunder76%120119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.2
44.3
41.7
21
54%
6
6
1
1
0
4
1
5
7-8
88%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
2-7
29%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'11" 284 · 30.2
42.4
36.7
42
60%
22
6
1
2
2
7
5
17
10-13
77%
13-23
7-13
57%
58%
2-6
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.0
40.0
38.5
11
62%
13
3
1
1
0
1
4
9
2-2
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
57%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.6
39.0
37.3
22
64%
14
1
0
1
0
1
7
7
5-5
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
55%
3-6
50%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 26.9
24.1
30.9
2
13%
4
0
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
55%
0-3
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.5
30.0
26.5
18
59%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-5
60%
6-8
3-7
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 22.6
14.5
14.0
3
30%
1
0
2
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
5.6
2.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
49%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
5.1
0
1-1
62%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 25.5
2.8
0
0-0
45%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
1.8
0
0-0
56%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 28.1
1.6
0
0-0
53%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
1.1
0
0-0
43%
Dario Šarić
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.1
1.0
0
0-0
50%
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
39.8
36.9
33
55%
10
8
2
2
1
1
3
7
7-9
78%
10-20
10-17
50%
56%
2-6
33%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 24.1
37.6
35.4
16
35%
7
4
2
1
2
1
2
5
4-6
67%
3-11
7-13
27%
57%
2-9
22%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
29.7
29.5
14
71%
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
4-9
44%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
29.0
24.1
12
50%
9
1
0
1
1
2
4
5
0-0
-
6-12
4-6
50%
62%
0-0
-
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 23.0
27.9
29.5
12
47%
6
2
1
1
4
2
1
5
2-4
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
60%
0-3
0%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.2
26.2
22.0
20
78%
1
6
5
1
2
2
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
55%
5-9
56%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.5
21.1
22.1
3
34%
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
58%
0-1
0%
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.3
13.6
13.4
5
133%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
59%
1-1
100%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.8
12.5
15.8
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-4
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
2.7
5.3
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
52%
1-1
100%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 30.4
5.0
0
1-1
57%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.9
3.6
0
0-1
55%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'5" 235 · 23.5
3.2
0
0-0
54%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 22.0
1.5
0
0-0
58%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.