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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
May 9, 2025
10:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder54%116104
8Nuggets46%115113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
43.5
31.0
32
65%
3
5
0
1
0
3
1
2
7-8
88%
8-14
6-11
57%
56%
3-7
43%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 23.0
40.2
27.2
18
43%
16
0
1
1
3
3
5
11
3-4
75%
6-13
4-6
46%
59%
1-6
17%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
30.6
24.4
10
35%
10
4
1
1
1
2
4
6
0-1
0%
5-14
4-7
36%
61%
0-0
-
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 26.1
33.9
28.2
3
22%
4
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.8
44.8
34.1
18
37%
13
7
2
1
0
1
3
10
3-5
60%
6-16
9-15
38%
55%
1-6
17%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.2
23.0
15.7
7
35%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-2
0%
54%
2-5
40%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.5
19.7
16.1
2
33%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
13.7
8.4
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.3
12.5
14.5
7
70%
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
58%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.9
3.2
15.5
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-1
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.4
8.8
0
1-2
56%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.9
8.7
0
1-2
54%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
6.3
0
0-1
53%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 22.0
5.4
0
0-1
58%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.9
42.1
27.0
21
97%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
5-6
83%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
46.4
33.1
22
86%
8
5
1
1
0
1
0
8
4-4
100%
3-5
5-8
60%
56%
4-6
67%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
43.7
36.2
20
37%
16
6
2
1
2
8
2
14
4-4
100%
8-15
8-13
53%
58%
0-10
0%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
43.0
33.6
8
50%
7
1
0
1
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
58%
2-6
33%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 28.2
47.9
37.8
27
60%
4
8
4
1
1
2
0
4
7-8
88%
7-14
5-10
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.5
22.3
24.7
8
45%
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.7
16.6
14.3
7
61%
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-4
25%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
2-3
67%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
3.0
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
8.2
0
1-1
50%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.5
6.5
0
0-1
46%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
5.4
0
0-1
49%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 28.1
3.8
0
0-0
54%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
2.1
0
0-0
64%
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 31.1
0.9
0
0-0
50%
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.