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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
May 11, 2025
3:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder56%11792
5Nuggets44%11587
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 195 · 26.8
38.4
37.3
25
51%
6
6
2
2
0
3
1
5
9-12
75%
8-14
9-16
57%
55%
0-5
0%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'5" 211 · 24.1
33.2
35.1
10
32%
3
5
3
1
1
1
0
3
6-6
100%
2-8
7-12
25%
56%
0-5
0%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
33.1
25.9
8
48%
14
3
1
1
1
1
5
9
2-3
67%
3-7
5-8
43%
61%
0-0
-
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'1" 208 · 23.0
29.3
31.7
8
40%
13
0
0
1
0
2
2
11
0-0
-
4-7
4-7
57%
58%
0-3
0%
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
19.2
29.6
6
30%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-10
20%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.2
28.3
18.0
10
60%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'3" 195 · 21.5
22.6
17.0
11
79%
5
2
2
1
0
3
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
57%
3-3
100%
Aaron Wiggins
G · 6'5" 190 · 26.4
15.8
12.9
11
69%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
3-6
50%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'9" 240 · 22.9
12.7
10.2
2
50%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'3" 165 · 25.9
7.4
9.0
1
10%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-3
0%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'6" 210 · 30.4
5.6
0
1-1
56%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.9
5.2
0
1-1
54%
Dillon Jones
F · 6'5" 235 · 23.5
4.1
0
0-1
54%
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'9" 185 · 22.0
3.3
0
0-0
57%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
44.1
35.8
17
59%
4
2
3
1
1
1
1
3
7-8
88%
2-2
3-6
100%
58%
2-9
22%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'11" 284 · 30.2
42.7
37.6
27
48%
13
3
4
2
0
2
0
13
11-14
79%
5-14
8-14
36%
58%
2-8
25%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 215 · 28.2
41.0
40.1
17
48%
4
5
1
1
0
4
2
2
5-6
83%
3-10
5-11
30%
49%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.7
38.1
36.8
15
64%
16
6
0
1
1
4
7
9
2-4
50%
2-3
5-9
67%
56%
3-7
43%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 218 · 26.9
34.1
31.8
3
19%
9
0
0
1
1
1
0
9
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
0-5
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.5
26.6
22.4
6
25%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
2-9
22%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'7" 200 · 22.7
8.7
14.5
2
26%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-2
0%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'6" 205 · 23.1
4.7
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
4.7
0
0-1
55%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'2" 202 · 25.6
4.0
0
0-0
48%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 28.1
2.7
0
0-0
54%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
1.2
0
0-0
64%
Dario Šarić
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.1
1.0
0
0-0
50%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.