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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
May 15, 2025
8:30 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Thunder49%115107
4Nuggets51%116119
Updated: May 16, 2025 12:22 AM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 24.1
37.8
35.6
6
19%
7
10
3
1
1
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-12
6-12
25%
55%
0-4
0%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 23.0
30.1
31.9
19
62%
11
1
1
1
1
0
1
10
1-3
33%
6-7
4-7
86%
59%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
25.1
30.6
8
100%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-4
5-9
100%
60%
0-0
-
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 26.1
21.0
26.6
10
56%
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
2-7
29%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.8
35.0
38.2
32
77%
3
6
0
2
0
2
0
3
8-11
73%
9-12
9-17
75%
55%
2-4
50%
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.2
27.3
22.7
10
56%
0
4
2
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.5
26.8
18.7
10
56%
4
0
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
57%
2-5
40%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.9
14.5
10.7
8
68%
5
2
1
0
0
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
52%
1-2
50%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.4
12.5
12.9
2
17%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
58%
0-4
0%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.9
8.0
6.8
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-2
0%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.9
0.7
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
0.7
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
54%
0-0
-
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 22.0
0.7
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
0-0
-
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.5
3.7
0
0-1
55%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Porter Jr.
F · 6'10" 215 · 26.9
29.0
31.2
10
56%
4
0
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
2-5
40%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.7
38.2
36.9
5
36%
7
7
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
56%
1-4
25%
Nikola Jokić
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.2
40.8
41.2
29
75%
14
8
2
2
1
1
1
13
10-12
83%
8-11
9-15
73%
58%
1-3
33%
Christian Braun
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.1
39.3
40.4
23
73%
11
5
3
1
1
2
2
9
4-4
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
57%
3-6
50%
Jamal Murray
G · 6'4" 207 · 28.2
42.3
40.9
25
58%
8
7
0
1
1
5
1
7
5-6
83%
7-13
5-11
54%
48%
2-6
33%
Julian Strawther
G · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
19.5
6.8
15
77%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
3-4
75%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.5
16.9
21.8
8
41%
3
0
0
1
1
4
3
0
2-4
50%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Peyton Watson
G · 6'8" 200 · 22.7
13.9
13.3
4
25%
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
51%
0-2
0%
Zeke Nnaji
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.3
2.1
0
0-0
55%
Jalen Pickett
G · 6'4" 202 · 25.6
2.1
0
0-0
48%
Vlatko Čančar
F · 6'9" 215 · 28.1
1.8
0
0-0
56%
Dario Šarić
F · 6'10" 223 · 31.1
1.1
0
0-0
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.8
0.5
0
0-0
60%
Hunter Tyson
F · 6'8" 215 · 24.9
DaRon Holmes II
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.