Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	49%	115	107	103.9	103	115.0
	4	Nuggets	51%	116	119	115.5	103	93.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	37.8	6	19%	7	10	3	1	3	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-12	25%	0-4	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	35.0	32	76%	3	6	0	0	2	4	0	3	8-11	73%	9-12	75%	2-4	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	30.1	19	63%	11	1	1	1	0	2	1	10	1-3	33%	6-7	86%	2-7	29%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	25.1	8	100%	6	0	0	0	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	21.0	10	56%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-7	29%

Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	27.3	10	56%	0	4	2	1	1	5	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.8	10	56%	4	0	3	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	14.5	8	67%	5	2	1	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	12.5	2	17%	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	8.0	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	40	25	11	4	11	28	7	33	10-16	63%	32-52	62%	11-40	28%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	37.8	6	19%	7	10	3	1	3	3	1	6	0-0	-	3-12	25%	0-4	0%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	35.0	32	76%	3	6	0	0	2	4	0	3	8-11	73%	9-12	75%	2-4	50%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	30.1	19	63%	11	1	1	1	0	2	1	10	1-3	33%	6-7	86%	2-7	29%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	25.1	8	100%	6	0	0	0	1	4	2	4	0-0	-	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	21.0	10	56%	2	1	1	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-7	29%

Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	27.3	10	56%	0	4	2	1	1	5	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	26.8	10	56%	4	0	3	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	14.5	8	67%	5	2	1	0	1	4	2	3	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	12.5	2	17%	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	8.0	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	0.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	DNP – Coach's Decision
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	54%	40	25	11	4	11	28	7	33	10-16	63%	32-52	62%	11-40	28%

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4 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	42.3	25	60%	8	7	0	1	5	3	1	7	5-6	83%	7-13	54%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	40.8	29	73%	14	8	2	1	1	4	1	13	10-12	83%	8-11	73%	1-3	33%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	39.3	23	72%	11	5	3	1	2	4	2	9	4-4	100%	5-8	63%	3-6	50%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	38.2	5	36%	7	7	1	0	1	0	2	5	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-4	25%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	29.0	10	56%	4	0	1	1	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	2-5	40%

Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	19.5	15	75%	2	0	0	0	0	3	1	1	4-4	100%	1-4	25%	3-4	75%
Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	16.9	8	40%	3	0	0	1	4	0	3	0	2-4	50%	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	13.9	4	25%	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-2	0%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Ankle; Sprain
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	119	56%	52	27	8	6	14	16	11	41	27-32	84%	28-54	52%	12-32	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

1.07 53.5%

DEN

1.12 56.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

21

34

62%

DEN

19

33

58%

Midrange

OKC

11

18

61%

DEN

9

21

43%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

11

16.5

40

28%

41%

DEN

12

18.0

32

38%

56%

Free Throws

OKC

10

16

63%

DEN

27

32

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	32	76%	16.0 / 21
C. Holmgren	19	63%	9.5 / 15
L. Dort	10	56%	5.0 / 9
A. Caruso	10	56%	5.0 / 9
C. Wallace	10	56%	5.0 / 9
I. Hartenstein	8	100%	4.0 / 4
J. Williams	8	67%	4.0 / 6
J. Williams	6	19%	3.0 / 16
A. Wiggins	2	17%	1.0 / 6
I. Joe	2	33%	1.0 / 3
A. Mitchell	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	29	73%	14.5 / 20
J. Murray	25	60%	12.5 / 21
C. Braun	23	72%	11.5 / 16
J. Strawther	15	75%	7.5 / 10
M. Porter	10	56%	5.0 / 9
R. Westbrook	8	40%	4.0 / 10
A. Gordon	5	36%	2.5 / 7
P. Watson	4	25%	2.0 / 8

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	4 114.2 12 109.3	OKC 103.9 DEN 115.5 +11.7
Pace	2 99.9 7 96.5	OKC 115.0 +21.7 DEN 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.0 22 15.4	OKC 12.5 −2.9 DEN 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 52.2% 11 51.4%	OKC 52.7% DEN 53.5% +0.8%
TO %	1 11.5% 13 15.2%	OKC 10.0% −3.8% DEN 13.8%
ORB %	9 25.6% 4 27.9%	OKC 14.6% DEN 25.0% +10.4%
FTrt	6 29.0 8 27.3	OKC 17.4 DEN 37.2 +19.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 56.0% 7 58.7%	OKC 58.1% DEN 67.5% +9.4%
STL %	1 10.7% 8 7.8%	OKC 10.7% +2.9% DEN 7.8%
BLK %	4 11.7% 12 7.9%	OKC 7.4% DEN 11.5% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 55.2% 11 53.2%	OKC 53.5% DEN 56.1% +2.6%
Rim FG%	9 62.4% 15 59.7%	OKC 61.8% +4.2% DEN 57.6%
Mid FG%	6 43.9% 9 42.0%	OKC 61.1% +18.2% DEN 42.9%
3P %	13 33.7% 12 34.5%	OKC 27.5% DEN 37.5% +10.0%
FT %	4 80.1% 10 76.4%	OKC 62.5% DEN 84.4% +21.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 30.8% 4 31.4%	OKC 37.0% DEN 38.4% +1.4%
Mid Att. %	10 30.2% 8 28.9%	OKC 19.6% −4.9% DEN 24.4%
3P Att. %	12 39.0% 10 39.7%	OKC 43.5% +6.3% DEN 37.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	OKC	DEN
Possessions	103	103
Possession Minutes	21.5	26.5
Points	107	119
Rebounds	40	52
Assists	25	27
Steals	11	8
Blocks	4	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (0)	14 (2)
Fouls	28	16
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (1)	11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (0)	41 (2)
Field Goals	43-92	40-86
At-the-Rim FG	21-34	19-33
Midrange FG	11-18	9-21
2-Point FG	32-52	28-54
3-Point FG	11-40	12-32
Free Throws	10-16	27-32
Fast Break Pts	20	13
2nd Chance Pts	9	23
Points in Paint	52	48
Pts off Turnovers	17	17
Bench Points	32	27
Biggest Lead	12	16

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg