Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	5	Nuggets	23%	109	93	92.1	101	94.4
	1	Thunder	77%	119	125	126.3	99	106.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.8	20	71%	9	7	0	0	5	3	1	8	9-11	82%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	34.8	13	41%	1	2	3	1	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-8	13%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.8	19	59%	4	3	1	0	2	5	2	2	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	2-8	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	24.5	8	80%	11	0	0	0	4	1	4	7	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	23.2	6	38%	3	1	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	21.8	6	43%	5	2	0	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	19.8	4	22%	4	2	0	1	2	1	2	2	2-4	50%	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	17.6	6	38%	3	0	1	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	9.6	5	83%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	9.6	6	60%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	9.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	47%	47	20	6	2	22	19	15	32	17-22	77%	23-40	57%	10-44	23%

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5 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 30	36.8	20	71%	9	7	0	0	5	3	1	8	9-11	82%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 28	34.8	13	41%	1	2	3	1	2	1	0	1	0-0	-	5-8	63%	1-8	13%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 24	32.8	19	59%	4	3	1	0	2	5	2	2	3-4	75%	5-6	83%	2-8	25%
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 30	24.5	8	80%	11	0	0	0	4	1	4	7	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-3	33%
Michael Porter Jr. #1 · SF · 6'10" 218 · 27	23.2	6	38%	3	1	1	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-4	0%

Russell Westbrook #4 · PG · 6'4" 200 · 37	21.8	6	43%	5	2	0	0	4	3	1	4	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 23	19.8	4	22%	4	2	0	1	2	1	2	2	2-4	50%	1-5	20%	0-3	0%
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 23	17.6	6	38%	3	0	1	0	3	0	1	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-2	0%
Hunter Tyson #5 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25	9.6	5	83%	3	1	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 26	9.6	6	60%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-5	40%
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 24	9.6	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Vlatko Čančar #31 · PF · 6'9" 215 · 28	DNP – Coach's Decision
Dario Šarić #9 · C · 6'10" 225 · 31	DNP – Coach's Decision
DeAndre Jordan #6 · C · 6'11" 265 · 37	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 23	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	47%	47	20	6	2	22	19	15	32	17-22	77%	23-40	57%	10-44	23%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 27	36.0	35	80%	3	4	3	1	0	2	0	3	8-9	89%	9-15	60%	3-4	75%
Jalen Williams #8 · SF · 6'5" 211 · 24	32.7	24	67%	5	7	1	0	1	0	1	4	2-3	67%	8-12	67%	2-5	40%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 23	28.4	13	54%	11	1	1	1	2	3	3	8	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-3	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 26	17.3	6	38%	5	2	2	0	2	3	4	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 27	17.1	10	71%	7	1	0	0	0	2	4	3	0-0	-	5-7	71%	0-0	-

Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	28.6	7	35%	3	5	2	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 31	25.8	11	79%	0	3	3	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	4-4	100%	1-3	33%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 26	19.4	8	36%	4	3	2	1	0	2	2	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-8	25%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 23	7.7	0	0%	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 30	7.7	1	13%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	7.7	5	125%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Dillon Jones #3 · SF · 6'5" 235 · 24	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Ousmane Dieng #13 · C · 6'9" 185 · 22	4.1	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 26	3.5	5	125%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Knee; Surgery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	58%	44	28	16	3	9	19	15	29	19-24	79%	35-57	61%	12-39	31%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.94 47.0%

OKC

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

16

23

70%

OKC

27

41

66%

Midrange

DEN

7

17

41%

OKC

8

16

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10

15.0

44

23%

34%

OKC

12

18.0

39

31%

46%

Free Throws

DEN

17

22

77%

OKC

19

24

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	20	71%	10.0 / 14
C. Braun	19	59%	9.5 / 16
J. Murray	13	41%	6.5 / 16
A. Gordon	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Porter	6	38%	3.0 / 8
R. Westbrook	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. Strawther	6	38%	3.0 / 8
J. Pickett	6	60%	3.0 / 5
H. Tyson	5	83%	2.5 / 3
P. Watson	4	22%	2.0 / 9
Z. Nnaji	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	35	80%	17.5 / 22
J. Williams	24	67%	12.0 / 18
C. Holmgren	13	54%	6.5 / 12
A. Caruso	11	79%	5.5 / 7
I. Hartenstein	10	71%	5.0 / 7
A. Wiggins	8	36%	4.0 / 11
C. Wallace	7	35%	3.5 / 10
L. Dort	6	38%	3.0 / 8
A. Mitchell	5	125%	2.5 / 2
I. Joe	5	125%	2.5 / 2
K. Williams	1	13%	0.5 / 4
J. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 109.3 4 114.2	DEN 92.1 OKC 126.3 +34.2
Pace	7 96.5 2 99.9	DEN 94.4 OKC 106.5 +12.1
Avg. Poss. Time	22 15.4 30 14.0	DEN 15.3 OKC 13.5 −1.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 51.4% 9 52.2%	DEN 45.2% OKC 55.2% +10.0%
TO %	13 15.2% 1 11.5%	DEN 19.7% OKC 8.6% −11.1%
ORB %	4 27.9% 9 25.6%	DEN 34.1% +2.2% OKC 31.9%
FTrt	8 27.3 6 29.0	DEN 26.2 +1.2 OKC 25.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 58.7% 10 56.0%	DEN 60.6% +1.0% OKC 59.6%
STL %	8 7.8% 1 10.7%	DEN 5.9% OKC 16.2% +10.3%
BLK %	12 7.9% 4 11.7%	DEN 3.5% OKC 7.5% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	11 53.2% 7 55.2%	DEN 47.0% OKC 58.4% +11.4%
Rim FG%	15 59.7% 9 62.4%	DEN 69.6% +3.7% OKC 65.9%
Mid FG%	9 42.0% 6 43.9%	DEN 41.2% OKC 50.0% +8.8%
3P %	12 34.5% 13 33.7%	DEN 22.7% OKC 30.8% +8.1%
FT %	10 76.4% 4 80.1%	DEN 77.3% OKC 79.2% +1.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 31.4% 5 30.8%	DEN 27.4% OKC 42.7% +15.3%
Mid Att. %	8 28.9% 10 30.2%	DEN 20.2% OKC 16.7% −3.6%
3P Att. %	10 39.7% 12 39.0%	DEN 52.4% +11.8% OKC 40.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	101	99
Possession Minutes	25.7	22.3
Points	93	125
Rebounds	47	44
Assists	20	28
Steals	6	16
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	22 (1)	9 (1)
Fouls	19	19
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	32 (1)	29 (4)
Field Goals	33-84	47-96
At-the-Rim FG	16-23	27-41
Midrange FG	7-17	8-16
2-Point FG	23-40	35-57
3-Point FG	10-44	12-39
Free Throws	17-22	19-24
Fast Break Pts	14	27
2nd Chance Pts	14	19
Points in Paint	42	64
Pts off Turnovers	7	37
Bench Points	27	37
Biggest Lead	11	43

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg