Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Raptors	27%	108	113	115.3	98	96.2
	4	Cavaliers	73%	116	126	127.3	99	100.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	36.1	17	61%	2	4	0	1	1	2	0	2	7-10	70%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	32.5	21	58%	1	7	0	0	5	2	0	1	6-9	67%	3-10	30%	3-4	75%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	30.5	24	71%	2	3	1	0	4	2	0	2	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	28.3	17	77%	1	2	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	5-6	83%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 31	21.1	4	67%	6	2	1	2	2	3	0	6	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	27.7	7	58%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	20.4	14	88%	4	4	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	7-7	100%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	20.1	3	50%	8	2	1	0	0	5	3	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	14.1	2	25%	0	3	0	1	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	63%	27	29	3	4	17	23	4	23	26-35	74%	24-44	55%	13-27	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

15 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Ingram #3 · SF · 6'8" 190 · 29	36.1	17	61%	2	4	0	1	1	2	0	2	7-10	70%	5-8	63%	0-1	0%
Scottie Barnes #4 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 25	32.5	21	58%	1	7	0	0	5	2	0	1	6-9	67%	3-10	30%	3-4	75%
RJ Barrett #9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 26	30.5	24	71%	2	3	1	0	4	2	0	2	7-9	78%	4-7	57%	3-6	50%
Jamal Shead #23 · PG · 6'1" 200 · 24	28.3	17	77%	1	2	0	0	2	4	0	1	0-1	0%	1-5	20%	5-6	83%
Jakob Poeltl #19 · C · 7'0" 253 · 31	21.1	4	67%	6	2	1	2	2	3	0	6	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-

Ja'Kobe Walter #14 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22	27.7	7	58%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	2	2-2	100%	1-1	100%	1-4	25%
Collin Murray-Boyles #12 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 21	20.4	14	88%	4	4	0	0	1	0	1	3	0-0	-	7-7	100%	0-1	0%
Sandro Mamukelashvili #54 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 27	20.1	3	50%	8	2	1	0	0	5	3	5	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
A.J. Lawson #0 · SG · 6'6" 179 · 26	14.1	2	25%	0	3	0	1	1	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jamison Battle #77 · SF · 6'7" 220 · 25	3.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Gradey Dick #1 · SG · 6'7" 200 · 22	2.0	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Jonathan Mogbo #2 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Trayce Jackson-Davis #32 · C · 6'9" 245 · 26	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Garrett Temple #17 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 40	DNP – Coach's Decision
Immanuel Quickley #5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 27	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	63%	27	29	3	4	17	23	4	23	26-35	74%	24-44	55%	13-27	48%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

4 Cleveland Cavaliers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden #1 · PG · 6'5" 220 · 37	33.2	22	58%	2	10	2	0	4	2	0	2	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	4-7	57%
Evan Mobley #4 · PF · 6'11" 215 · 25	33.0	17	71%	7	4	0	0	2	2	2	5	4-6	67%	5-7	71%	1-2	50%
Donovan Mitchell #45 · SG · 6'2" 215 · 30	31.0	32	70%	3	4	2	0	4	2	1	2	6-7	86%	7-13	54%	4-7	57%
Jarrett Allen #31 · C · 6'9" 243 · 28	28.5	10	63%	7	0	1	0	0	3	1	6	0-2	0%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Dean Wade #32 · SF · 6'9" 228 · 29	22.5	5	83%	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-2	50%

Max Strus #2 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 30	23.9	24	100%	3	0	0	0	2	5	1	2	4-4	100%	4-4	100%	4-6	67%
Sam Merrill #5 · SG · 6'4" 205 · 30	20.6	7	58%	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	3	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	1-3	33%
Keon Ellis #14 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 26	15.1	3	150%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	0-1	0%	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Jaylon Tyson #20 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 23	13.7	2	20%	0	1	1	0	0	4	0	0	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Dennis Schröder #8 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 33	12.6	2	25%	1	2	0	0	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Craig Porter Jr. #9 · PG · 6'1" 180 · 26	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nae'Qwan Tomlin #35 · PF · 6'8" 210 · 25	2.0	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Larry Nance Jr. #22 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 33	2.0	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tyrese Proctor #24 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Thomas Bryant #3 · C · 6'9" 248 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	126	64%	33	24	9	0	15	28	7	26	22-28	79%	28-49	57%	16-32	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	CLE
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	CLE

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.26 62.8%

CLE

1.29 64.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

15

19

79%

CLE

21

34

62%

Midrange

TOR

9

25

36%

CLE

7

15

47%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

13

19.5

27

48%

72%

CLE

16

24.0

32

50%

75%

Free Throws

TOR

26

35

74%

CLE

22

28

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
R. Barrett	24	71%	12.0 / 17
S. Barnes	21	58%	10.5 / 18
B. Ingram	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Shead	17	77%	8.5 / 11
C. Murray-Boyles	14	88%	7.0 / 8
J. Walter	7	58%	3.5 / 6
J. Poeltl	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Mamukelashvili	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Lawson	2	25%	1.0 / 4
J. Mogbo	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Jackson-Davis	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Battle	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Cavaliers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell	32	70%	16.0 / 23
M. Strus	24	100%	12.0 / 12
J. Harden	22	58%	11.0 / 19
E. Mobley	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Allen	10	63%	5.0 / 8
S. Merrill	7	58%	3.5 / 6
D. Wade	5	83%	2.5 / 3
K. Ellis	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Tyson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
D. Schröder	2	25%	1.0 / 4
N. Tomlin	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 111.9 6 110.5	TOR 115.3 CLE 127.3 +12.0
Pace	5 97.0 10 96.0	TOR 96.2 CLE 100.9 +4.6
Avg. Poss. Time	24 14.5 20 15.1	TOR 15.0 CLE 14.3 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 52.6% 4 53.2%	TOR 61.3% CLE 64.2% +2.9%
TO %	12 15.1% 15 16.1%	TOR 17.2% CLE 15.4% −1.8%
ORB %	9 26.4% 3 28.1%	TOR 13.3% CLE 23.3% +10.0%
FTrt	6 30.1 3 33.9	TOR 49.3 +14.7 CLE 34.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	2 65.2% 14 57.9%	TOR 78.4% +23.9% CLE 54.5%
STL %	4 9.2% 8 8.1%	TOR 3.1% CLE 9.1% +6.0%
BLK %	3 12.6% 9 9.1%	TOR 8.2% +8.2% CLE 0.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	6 54.9% 5 55.1%	TOR 62.8% CLE 64.3% +1.5%
Rim FG%	7 61.7% 1 66.4%	TOR 78.9% +17.1% CLE 61.8%
Mid FG%	8 41.1% 3 44.9%	TOR 36.0% CLE 46.7% +10.7%
3P %	6 35.6% 11 32.8%	TOR 48.1% CLE 50.0% +1.9%
FT %	14 72.7% 12 73.9%	TOR 74.3% CLE 78.6% +4.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	1 35.3% 13 29.5%	TOR 26.8% CLE 42.0% +15.2%
Mid Att. %	10 30.5% 4 24.1%	TOR 35.2% CLE 18.5% −16.7%
3P Att. %	15 34.3% 2 46.4%	TOR 38.0% CLE 39.5% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	CLE
Possessions	98	99
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	113	126
Rebounds	27	33
Assists	29	24
Steals	3	9
Blocks	4	0
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls	23	28
Off. Rebounds (Team)	4 (5)	7 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (3)	26 (2)
Field Goals	37-71	44-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-19	21-34
Midrange FG	9-25	7-15
2-Point FG	24-44	28-49
3-Point FG	13-27	16-32
Free Throws	26-35	22-28
Fast Break Pts	3	2
2nd Chance Pts	10	13
Points in Paint	36	52
Pts off Turnovers	24	22
Bench Points	30	40
Biggest Lead	5	24

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg