Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Blazers	20%	107	106	108.2	98	89.3
	3	Spurs	80%	118	103	106.2	97	107.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	39.0	16	44%	5	9	1	2	5	3	3	2	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Scoot Henderson #00 · SG · 6'3" 207 · 22	38.0	31	78%	1	0	1	1	2	3	1	0	4-6	67%	6-8	75%	5-9	56%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	34.8	10	63%	9	1	3	1	0	1	2	7	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	29.8	14	47%	4	3	0	1	4	5	0	4	3-5	60%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	23.9	9	38%	10	2	1	2	1	3	5	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-6	17%

Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 29	23.5	11	92%	9	4	1	2	0	2	3	6	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	20.3	5	28%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	12.7	9	75%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	10.3	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	7.8	1	25%	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	43	20	8	11	15	23	15	28	17-23	74%	25-51	49%	13-38	34%

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16 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jrue Holiday #5 · PG · 6'4" 220 · 36	39.0	16	44%	5	9	1	2	5	3	3	2	2-2	100%	4-11	36%	2-6	33%
Scoot Henderson #00 · SG · 6'3" 207 · 22	38.0	31	78%	1	0	1	1	2	3	1	0	4-6	67%	6-8	75%	5-9	56%
Toumani Camara #33 · PF · 6'7" 230 · 26	34.8	10	63%	9	1	3	1	0	1	2	7	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	2-5	40%
Deni Avdija #8 · SF · 6'8" 228 · 25	29.8	14	47%	4	3	0	1	4	5	0	4	3-5	60%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Donovan Clingan #23 · C · 7'2" 280 · 22	23.9	9	38%	10	2	1	2	1	3	5	5	0-0	-	3-6	50%	1-6	17%

Robert Williams III #35 · C · 6'9" 249 · 29	23.5	11	92%	9	4	1	2	0	2	3	6	0-1	0%	4-4	100%	1-2	50%
Jerami Grant #9 · PF · 6'7" 213 · 32	20.3	5	28%	1	0	1	0	0	2	0	1	3-3	100%	1-6	17%	0-2	0%
Shaedon Sharpe #17 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 23	12.7	9	75%	1	0	0	1	0	2	0	1	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Matisse Thybulle #4 · SG · 6'5" 202 · 29	10.3	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-2	0%
Kris Murray #24 · SF · 6'8" 218 · 26	7.8	1	25%	2	0	0	0	3	1	1	1	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Vít Krejčí #27 · PG · 6'8" 195 · 26	DNP – Coach's Decision
Sidy Cissoko #91 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 22	DNP – Coach's Decision
Blake Wesley #1 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 23	DNP – Coach's Decision
Yang Hansen #16 · C · 7'1" 270 · 21	DNP – Coach's Decision
Damian Lillard #0 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 36	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Achilles Tendon; Injury Management
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	52%	43	20	8	11	15	23	15	28	17-23	74%	25-51	49%	13-38	34%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · PG · 6'6" 215 · 21	37.8	18	41%	7	5	2	1	3	2	2	5	2-5	40%	5-14	36%	2-6	33%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	33.9	16	44%	12	2	3	1	1	0	1	11	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	0-5	0%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · SG · 6'3" 185 · 28	33.6	17	47%	2	4	2	0	3	4	1	1	4-5	80%	5-13	38%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	26.5	9	90%	4	0	1	2	1	5	0	4	1-2	50%	1-1	100%	2-3	67%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	11.7	5	50%	4	1	0	1	2	1	2	2	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%

Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	27.8	10	83%	9	2	2	0	1	2	5	4	2-3	67%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	23.4	10	63%	0	2	1	0	3	2	0	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	17.8	7	50%	4	1	2	0	1	3	0	4	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	15.2	4	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-1	0%
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	12.4	7	70%	2	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-2	50%
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	DNP – Coach's Decision
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	DNP – Coach's Decision
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	52%	45	19	13	5	16	21	12	33	20-28	71%	31-62	50%	7-24	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	POR	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.04 52.0%

SAS

1.03 51.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

16

26

62%

SAS

12

28

43%

Midrange

POR

9

25

36%

SAS

19

34

56%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

13

19.5

38

34%

51%

SAS

7

10.5

24

29%

44%

Free Throws

POR

17

23

74%

SAS

20

28

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Henderson	31	78%	15.5 / 20
J. Holiday	16	44%	8.0 / 18
D. Avdija	14	47%	7.0 / 15
R. Williams	11	92%	5.5 / 6
T. Camara	10	63%	5.0 / 8
D. Clingan	9	38%	4.5 / 12
S. Sharpe	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Grant	5	28%	2.5 / 9
K. Murray	1	25%	0.5 / 2
M. Thybulle	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Castle	18	41%	9.0 / 22
D. Fox	17	47%	8.5 / 18
D. Vassell	16	44%	8.0 / 18
L. Kornet	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Harper	10	63%	5.0 / 8
J. Champagnie	9	90%	4.5 / 5
K. Johnson	7	50%	3.5 / 7
C. Bryant	7	70%	3.5 / 5
V. Wembanyama	5	50%	2.5 / 5
H. Barnes	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	15 102.5 3 113.8	POR 108.2 +2.0 SAS 106.2
Pace	4 97.6 3 97.8	POR 89.3 SAS 107.5 +18.2
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.4 23 14.5	POR 16.1 SAS 13.4 −2.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 46.8% 5 53.2%	POR 50.0% +1.7% SAS 48.3%
TO %	6 12.7% 10 14.0%	POR 13.1% −1.6% SAS 14.7%
ORB %	11 26.2% 7 27.1%	POR 31.3% +1.3% SAS 30.0%
FTrt	14 24.8 7 30.0	POR 25.8 SAS 32.6 +6.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 59.8% 6 61.7%	POR 52.6% +2.6% SAS 50.0%
STL %	9 7.9% 7 8.4%	POR 8.2% SAS 13.4% +5.2%
BLK %	11 9.0% 2 12.6%	POR 17.7% +7.9% SAS 9.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 49.0% 3 56.3%	POR 52.0% +0.5% SAS 51.5%
Rim FG%	15 55.6% 8 61.5%	POR 61.5% +18.6% SAS 42.9%
Mid FG%	14 36.6% 10 40.0%	POR 36.0% SAS 55.9% +19.9%
3P %	15 30.2% 4 35.9%	POR 34.2% +5.0% SAS 29.2%
FT %	7 76.4% 4 79.2%	POR 73.9% +2.5% SAS 71.4%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	5 34.0% 3 34.9%	POR 29.2% SAS 32.6% +3.3%
Mid Att. %	1 22.7% 2 23.7%	POR 28.1% −11.4% SAS 39.5%
3P Att. %	5 43.2% 7 41.4%	POR 42.7% +14.8% SAS 27.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	SAS
Possessions	98	97
Possession Minutes	26.3	21.7
Points	106	103
Rebounds	43	45
Assists	20	19
Steals	8	13
Blocks	11	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls	23	21
Off. Rebounds (Team)	15 (5)	12 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (3)	33 (2)
Field Goals	38-89	38-86
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	12-28
Midrange FG	9-25	19-34
2-Point FG	25-51	31-62
3-Point FG	13-38	7-24
Free Throws	17-23	20-28
Fast Break Pts	14	20
2nd Chance Pts	23	20
Points in Paint	40	38
Pts off Turnovers	24	22
Bench Points	26	38
Biggest Lead	13	14

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg