Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Timberwolves	28%	108	113	109.7	103	99.9
	9	Nuggets	72%	115	125	123.8	101	104.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	38.1	18	64%	3	4	1	0	2	3	1	2	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	32.1	27	68%	9	6	1	0	5	5	3	6	9-11	82%	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	29.3	3	75%	7	2	2	0	1	2	1	6	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 26	27.3	13	46%	3	1	0	1	4	5	1	2	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 39	16.9	4	50%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	24.1	12	55%	8	1	0	0	3	4	1	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	23.2	15	83%	1	1	1	0	3	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	14.9	4	50%	3	6	0	0	4	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	13.9	15	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	11.3	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	2.9	2	100%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 39	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	61%	38	26	6	2	25	27	9	29	19-23	83%	29-53	55%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

19 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ayo Dosunmu #13 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 26	38.1	18	64%	3	4	1	0	2	3	1	2	1-1	100%	4-9	44%	3-5	60%
Julius Randle #30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 31	32.1	27	68%	9	6	1	0	5	5	3	6	9-11	82%	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Rudy Gobert #27 · C · 7'1" 258 · 34	29.3	3	75%	7	2	2	0	1	2	1	6	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jaden McDaniels #3 · SF · 6'9" 185 · 26	27.3	13	46%	3	1	0	1	4	5	1	2	3-5	60%	5-8	63%	0-3	0%
Mike Conley #10 · PG · 6'1" 175 · 39	16.9	4	50%	1	4	0	0	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Naz Reid #11 · C · 6'9" 264 · 27	24.1	12	55%	8	1	0	0	3	4	1	7	0-0	-	3-6	50%	2-5	40%
Bones Hyland #8 · PG · 6'2" 169 · 26	23.2	15	83%	1	1	1	0	3	1	1	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-7	43%
Kyle Anderson #12 · SF · 6'8" 230 · 33	14.9	4	50%	3	6	0	0	4	1	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Terrence Shannon Jr. #1 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 26	13.9	15	75%	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1-1	100%	4-6	67%	2-4	50%
Jaylen Clark #22 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 25	11.3	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Joan Beringer #19 · PF · 6'11" 230 · 19	2.9	2	100%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Julian Phillips #4 · SF · 6'6" 201 · 22	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Joe Ingles #7 · SF · 6'8" 220 · 39	2.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Anthony Edwards #5 · SG · 6'4" 225 · 25	Inactive - Coaches Decision
Donte DiVincenzo #0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 29	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Achilles Tendon; Repair
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	61%	38	26	6	2	25	27	9	29	19-23	83%	29-53	55%	12-28	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jamal Murray #27 · PG · 6'4" 215 · 29	38.9	24	52%	4	7	4	0	4	3	2	2	4-4	100%	7-17	41%	2-6	33%
Nikola Jokić #15 · C · 6'11" 284 · 31	37.5	27	71%	12	16	0	2	3	4	0	12	8-10	80%	8-11	73%	1-4	25%
Spencer Jones #21 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 25	36.9	20	100%	3	1	3	3	1	5	0	3	2-2	100%	3-4	75%	4-5	80%
Cameron Johnson #23 · SF · 6'8" 210 · 30	35.7	18	69%	6	5	3	0	1	1	2	4	0-0	-	6-6	100%	2-7	29%
Christian Braun #0 · SG · 6'6" 220 · 25	30.9	9	75%	2	3	3	0	1	4	0	2	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	1-2	50%

Bruce Brown #11 · PG · 6'4" 202 · 30	20.4	7	44%	0	0	2	0	3	3	0	0	1-2	50%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Tyus Jones #5 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 30	13.7	3	50%	0	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Tim Hardaway Jr. #10 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 34	11.6	8	80%	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	1-3	33%
Jonas Valančiūnas #17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 34	10.5	9	90%	2	1	0	1	3	5	1	1	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Julian Strawther #3 · SG · 6'6" 205 · 24	3.9	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Zeke Nnaji #22 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25	DNP – Coach's Decision
Jalen Pickett #24 · SG · 6'2" 202 · 27	DNP – Coach's Decision
DaRon Holmes II #14 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 24	DNP – Coach's Decision
Aaron Gordon #32 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 31	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left Calf; Tightness
Peyton Watson #8 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Hamstring; Strain
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	125	67%	29	35	16	6	16	29	5	24	20-25	80%	36-54	67%	11-29	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	MIN	DEN

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIN

1.23 61.4%

DEN

1.33 66.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIN

15

23

65%

DEN

25

30

83%

Midrange

MIN

14

30

47%

DEN

11

24

46%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIN

12

18.0

28

43%

64%

DEN

11

16.5

29

38%

57%

Free Throws

MIN

19

23

83%

DEN

20

25

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Randle	27	68%	13.5 / 20
A. Dosunmu	18	64%	9.0 / 14
B. Hyland	15	83%	7.5 / 9
T. Shannon	15	75%	7.5 / 10
J. McDaniels	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Reid	12	55%	6.0 / 11
M. Conley	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Anderson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
R. Gobert	3	75%	1.5 / 2
J. Beringer	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. Clark	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
N. Jokić	27	71%	13.5 / 19
J. Murray	24	52%	12.0 / 23
S. Jones	20	100%	10.0 / 10
C. Johnson	18	69%	9.0 / 13
C. Braun	9	75%	4.5 / 6
J. Valančiūnas	9	90%	4.5 / 5
T. Hardaway	8	80%	4.0 / 5
B. Brown	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Jones	3	50%	1.5 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 107.5 10 108.6	MIN 109.7 DEN 123.8 +14.1
Pace	1 100.6 2 99.0	MIN 99.9 DEN 104.2 +4.3
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.4 28 14.4	MIN 14.4 DEN 13.8 −0.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	13 49.5% 12 49.6%	MIN 58.0% DEN 63.3% +5.3%
TO %	7 13.1% 3 12.0%	MIN 21.5% DEN 14.5% −7.0%
ORB %	12 25.7% 16 16.6%	MIN 27.3% +12.6% DEN 14.7%
FTrt	12 26.4 1 36.2	MIN 28.4 DEN 30.1 +1.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	13 58.4% 1 67.4%	MIN 63.4% DEN 74.5% +11.1%
STL %	13 6.4% 11 7.4%	MIN 5.8% DEN 15.8% +10.0%
BLK %	15 6.5% 14 7.1%	MIN 3.7% DEN 11.3% +7.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.48 and 2.48.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.0% 7 54.7%	MIN 61.4% DEN 66.5% +5.1%
Rim FG%	13 59.1% 11 60.8%	MIN 65.2% DEN 83.3% +18.1%
Mid FG%	13 37.5% 5 42.8%	MIN 46.7% +0.9% DEN 45.8%
3P %	10 33.7% 14 31.1%	MIN 42.9% +5.0% DEN 37.9%
FT %	10 75.1% 2 82.3%	MIN 82.6% +2.6% DEN 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 34.8% 12 29.6%	MIN 28.4% DEN 36.1% +7.7%
Mid Att. %	12 31.0% 15 31.8%	MIN 37.0% DEN 28.9% −8.1%
3P Att. %	16 34.2% 11 38.6%	MIN 34.6% DEN 34.9% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIN	DEN
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	24.7	23.3
Points	113	125
Rebounds	38	29
Assists	26	35
Steals	6	16
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	25 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls	27	29
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (6)	5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	24 (3)
Field Goals	41-81	47-83
At-the-Rim FG	15-23	25-30
Midrange FG	14-30	11-24
2-Point FG	29-53	36-54
3-Point FG	12-28	11-29
Free Throws	19-23	20-25
Fast Break Pts	13	23
2nd Chance Pts	19	12
Points in Paint	50	62
Pts off Turnovers	21	35
Bench Points	48	27
Biggest Lead	3	27

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg