Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	40%	107	82	79.6	103	99.0
	2	Spurs	60%	110	103	102.0	101	105.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	31.3	19	50%	4	7	2	0	4	3	0	4	7-7	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	25.6	10	45%	9	2	0	1	3	2	3	6	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.8	5	31%	4	1	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	17.9	12	55%	7	3	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	17.4	2	50%	4	0	2	0	1	5	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.9	4	18%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-5	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.1	10	63%	5	3	1	0	1	4	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	22.6	3	21%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	20.9	4	18%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	18.8	11	61%	5	2	2	1	1	0	0	5	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	14.0	0	0%	2	1	0	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	3.8	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left hamstring; soreness
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right soleus; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	39%	47	22	9	5	17	25	11	36	16-18	89%	24-58	41%	6-33	18%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	31.3	19	50%	4	7	2	0	4	3	0	4	7-7	100%	6-14	43%	0-1	0%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	25.6	10	45%	9	2	0	1	3	2	3	6	4-6	67%	3-7	43%	0-1	0%
Cason Wallace #22 · SF · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.8	5	31%	4	1	2	0	0	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	1-3	33%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	17.9	12	55%	7	3	0	0	1	3	2	5	0-0	-	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Luguentz Dort #5 · SG · 6'4" 220 · 27	17.4	2	50%	4	0	2	0	1	5	2	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%

Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	23.9	4	18%	2	0	0	0	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	0-5	0%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	23.1	10	63%	5	3	1	0	1	4	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	22.6	3	21%	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-7	14%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	20.9	4	18%	2	0	0	1	2	1	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-4	0%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	18.8	11	61%	5	2	2	1	1	0	0	5	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	2-7	29%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	14.0	0	0%	2	1	0	2	0	4	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	3.8	2	50%	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Left hamstring; soreness
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right soleus; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical recovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	82	39%	47	22	9	5	17	25	11	36	16-18	89%	24-58	41%	6-33	18%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	33.0	13	65%	6	3	1	1	1	0	0	6	5-6	83%	1-3	33%	2-4	50%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	31.0	33	63%	8	5	2	3	4	2	3	5	8-9	89%	8-15	53%	3-7	43%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	30.9	12	46%	10	5	1	1	0	3	2	8	1-1	100%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	29.9	13	54%	3	6	1	1	1	5	2	1	2-2	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	29.4	2	14%	4	2	0	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-5	0%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	20.6	7	50%	5	2	0	0	2	2	1	4	3-6	50%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	18.1	6	23%	3	0	1	0	2	1	1	2	0-2	0%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	16.1	5	36%	3	0	1	0	1	1	2	1	5-6	83%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	13.4	6	75%	7	0	0	2	0	1	2	5	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 20	6.8	0	0%	1	1	1	1	1	4	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	3.8	3	75%	1	−1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	3.5	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	3.5	3	50%	1	0	3	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	DNP – Coach's Decision
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	DNP – Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	48%	52	26	11	10	12	20	14	38	24-32	75%	26-57	46%	9-33	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

0.77 38.7%

SAS

0.96 48.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

14

31

45%

SAS

19

36

53%

Midrange

OKC

10

27

37%

SAS

7

21

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

6

9.0

33

18%

27%

SAS

9

13.5

33

27%

41%

Free Throws

OKC

16

18

89%

SAS

24

32

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	19	50%	9.5 / 19
I. Hartenstein	12	55%	6.0 / 11
I. Joe	11	61%	5.5 / 9
C. Holmgren	10	45%	5.0 / 11
K. Williams	10	63%	5.0 / 8
C. Wallace	5	31%	2.5 / 8
J. McCain	4	18%	2.0 / 11
A. Wiggins	4	18%	2.0 / 11
J. Williams	3	21%	1.5 / 7
L. Dort	2	50%	1.0 / 2
N. Topić	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Caruso	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	33	63%	16.5 / 26
D. Vassell	13	65%	6.5 / 10
S. Castle	13	54%	6.5 / 12
D. Fox	12	46%	6.0 / 13
D. Harper	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Johnson	6	23%	3.0 / 13
L. Kornet	6	75%	3.0 / 4
H. Barnes	5	36%	2.5 / 7
J. McLaughlin	3	75%	1.5 / 2
K. Olynyk	3	50%	1.5 / 3
J. Champagnie	2	14%	1.0 / 7
C. Bryant	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.5 3 114.4	OKC 79.6 SAS 102.0 +22.4
Pace	6 97.0 3 98.7	OKC 99.0 SAS 105.3 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.9 23 14.5	OKC 14.5 SAS 13.7 −0.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 54.6% 4 53.6%	OKC 36.3% SAS 43.9% +7.6%
TO %	2 11.9% 10 14.2%	OKC 16.8% SAS 11.1% −5.7%
ORB %	7 27.3% 3 28.3%	OKC 22.4% SAS 28.0% +5.6%
FTrt	13 25.4 6 30.2	OKC 19.8 SAS 35.6 +15.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 62.3% 6 61.4%	OKC 73.3% SAS 74.3% +1.0%
STL %	3 10.4% 7 8.4%	OKC 8.7% SAS 10.9% +2.2%
BLK %	7 9.4% 2 12.9%	OKC 8.8% SAS 17.2% +8.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 56.5% 2 56.7%	OKC 38.7% SAS 48.1% +9.4%
Rim FG%	5 63.8% 6 62.9%	OKC 45.2% SAS 52.8% +7.6%
Mid FG%	2 46.7% 10 40.3%	OKC 37.0% +3.7% SAS 33.3%
3P %	3 36.5% 5 35.8%	OKC 18.2% SAS 27.3% +9.1%
FT %	1 84.9% 3 80.1%	OKC 88.9% +13.9% SAS 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 26.7% 4 34.6%	OKC 34.1% SAS 40.0% +5.9%
Mid Att. %	14 31.7% 4 24.2%	OKC 29.7% SAS 23.3% −6.3%
3P Att. %	6 41.6% 7 41.1%	OKC 36.3% SAS 36.7% +0.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Game Totals	OKC	SAS
Possessions	103	101
Possession Minutes	25.0	23.0
Points	82	103
Rebounds	47	52
Assists	22	26
Steals	9	11
Blocks	5	10
Turnovers (Team)	17 (3)	12 (1)
Fouls	25	20
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (9)	14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (4)	38 (4)
Field Goals	30-91	35-90
At-the-Rim FG	14-31	19-36
Midrange FG	10-27	7-21
2-Point FG	24-58	26-57
3-Point FG	6-33	9-33
Free Throws	16-18	24-32
Fast Break Pts	7	18
2nd Chance Pts	14	17
Points in Paint	36	50
Pts off Turnovers	13	27
Bench Points	34	30
Biggest Lead	1	25

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg