Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Thunder	37%	107	91	91.9	99	102.3
	2	Spurs	63%	111	118	119.2	99	95.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	28.3	15	38%	1	4	0	0	2	1	0	1	3-3	100%	6-13	46%	0-5	0%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	27.0	13	54%	2	6	2	0	2	1	0	2	3-3	100%	2-8	25%	2-3	67%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	24.3	10	56%	11	1	1	2	0	2	4	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	22.5	5	23%	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-9	11%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	16.1	10	50%	5	3	0	0	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	25.6	4	33%	9	2	0	0	0	4	0	9	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	21.1	7	50%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.3	11	92%	3	1	3	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	16.0	3	38%	4	2	0	0	1	2	3	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	14.9	7	44%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	10.2	1	25%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	7.4	5	83%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	6.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical ecovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	44%	42	22	9	3	12	21	12	30	11-12	92%	25-54	46%	10-40	25%

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1 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 · PG · 6'6" 195 · 28	28.3	15	38%	1	4	0	0	2	1	0	1	3-3	100%	6-13	46%	0-5	0%
Jared McCain #3 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 22	27.0	13	54%	2	6	2	0	2	1	0	2	3-3	100%	2-8	25%	2-3	67%
Chet Holmgren #7 · PF · 7'1" 208 · 24	24.3	10	56%	11	1	1	2	0	2	4	7	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-1	0%
Luguentz Dort #5 · SF · 6'4" 220 · 27	22.5	5	23%	1	0	1	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-9	11%
Isaiah Hartenstein #55 · C · 7'0" 250 · 28	16.1	10	50%	5	3	0	0	0	3	3	2	0-0	-	5-10	50%	0-0	-

Jaylin Williams #6 · PF · 6'9" 240 · 24	25.6	4	33%	9	2	0	0	0	4	0	9	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-4	0%
Alex Caruso #9 · SG · 6'5" 186 · 32	21.1	7	50%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Cason Wallace #22 · SG · 6'3" 195 · 23	20.3	11	92%	3	1	3	0	2	2	1	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Isaiah Joe #11 · SG · 6'4" 165 · 27	16.0	3	38%	4	2	0	0	1	2	3	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-4	25%
Kenrich Williams #34 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 31	14.9	7	44%	6	2	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	1-4	25%
Jalen Williams #8 · SG · 6'5" 211 · 25	10.2	1	25%	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Aaron Wiggins #21 · SG · 6'5" 190 · 27	7.4	5	83%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-1	100%
Nikola Topić #44 · PG · 6'6" 200 · 21	6.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Ajay Mitchell #25 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 24	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right Soleus; Strain
Thomas Sorber #12 · C · 6'9" 250 · 20	Inactive - Injury/Illness \| Right ACL; Surgical ecovery
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	44%	42	22	9	3	12	21	12	30	11-12	92%	25-54	46%	10-40	25%

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2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Stephon Castle #5 · SG · 6'6" 215 · 22	31.9	17	65%	5	9	1	0	1	3	2	3	7-8	88%	5-8	63%	0-2	0%
Victor Wembanyama #1 · C · 7'4" 235 · 22	28.4	28	61%	10	2	2	3	3	0	4	6	4-4	100%	6-12	50%	4-9	44%
Devin Vassell #24 · SF · 6'5" 200 · 26	26.0	12	86%	1	2	1	2	1	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	4-7	57%
De'Aaron Fox #4 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 28	25.6	5	23%	5	7	0	0	0	2	0	5	3-4	75%	1-6	17%	0-3	0%
Julian Champagnie #30 · PF · 6'7" 217 · 25	25.1	10	63%	6	2	1	2	1	2	1	5	0-0	-	2-2	100%	2-6	33%

Dylan Harper #2 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 20	22.1	18	82%	6	4	0	0	1	1	0	6	4-4	100%	4-6	67%	2-3	67%
Keldon Johnson #3 · SF · 6'6" 220 · 27	17.6	9	64%	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Harrison Barnes #40 · PF · 6'7" 225 · 34	13.4	6	75%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-4	50%
Luke Kornet #7 · C · 7'1" 250 · 31	13.3	3	50%	5	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Carter Bryant #11 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 21	7.9	2	33%	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Jordan McLaughlin #0 · PG · 5'11" 185 · 30	7.4	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Lindy Waters III #43 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 29	6.3	2	50%	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Kelly Olynyk #8 · C · 7'0" 240 · 35	5.3	6	75%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-3	67%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo #18 · C · 6'8" 255 · 34	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Mason Plumlee #45 · C · 7'0" 254 · 36	4.6	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	118	58%	52	30	7	7	12	14	11	41	21-25	84%	26-47	55%	15-41	37%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	OKC	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC

0.88 44.2%

SAS

1.17 58.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

OKC

13

28

46%

SAS

14

22

64%

Midrange

OKC

12

26

46%

SAS

12

25

48%

3PT | Effective 3PT

OKC

10

15.0

40

25%

38%

SAS

15

22.5

41

37%

55%

Free Throws

OKC

11

12

92%

SAS

21

25

84%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Gilgeous-Alexander	15	38%	7.5 / 20
J. McCain	13	54%	6.5 / 12
C. Wallace	11	92%	5.5 / 6
C. Holmgren	10	56%	5.0 / 9
I. Hartenstein	10	50%	5.0 / 10
A. Caruso	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Williams	7	44%	3.5 / 8
L. Dort	5	23%	2.5 / 11
A. Wiggins	5	83%	2.5 / 3
J. Williams	4	33%	2.0 / 6
I. Joe	3	38%	1.5 / 4
J. Williams	1	25%	0.5 / 2
N. Topić	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
V. Wembanyama	28	61%	14.0 / 23
D. Harper	18	82%	9.0 / 11
S. Castle	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Vassell	12	86%	6.0 / 7
J. Champagnie	10	63%	5.0 / 8
K. Johnson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
H. Barnes	6	75%	3.0 / 4
K. Olynyk	6	75%	3.0 / 4
D. Fox	5	23%	2.5 / 11
L. Kornet	3	50%	1.5 / 3
C. Bryant	2	33%	1.0 / 3
L. Waters	2	50%	1.0 / 2
J. McLaughlin	0	-	0.0 / 2
B. Biyombo	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 117.5 3 113.8	OKC 91.9 SAS 119.2 +27.3
Pace	6 97.0 3 97.8	OKC 102.3 +6.4 SAS 95.9
Avg. Poss. Time	22 14.9 23 14.5	OKC 14.1 −0.9 SAS 15.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 54.6% 5 53.2%	OKC 42.6% SAS 55.1% +12.5%
TO %	2 11.9% 10 14.0%	OKC 11.6% SAS 11.6%
ORB %	6 27.3% 7 27.1%	OKC 22.6% SAS 26.8% +4.2%
FTrt	13 25.4 7 30.0	OKC 12.8 SAS 28.4 +15.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	4 62.3% 6 61.7%	OKC 62.9% SAS 73.2% +10.3%
STL %	3 10.4% 7 8.4%	OKC 9.1% +2.0% SAS 7.1%
BLK %	8 9.4% 2 12.6%	OKC 6.4% SAS 13.0% +6.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	2 56.5% 3 56.3%	OKC 44.2% SAS 58.4% +14.2%
Rim FG%	5 63.8% 8 61.5%	OKC 46.4% SAS 63.6% +17.2%
Mid FG%	2 46.7% 10 40.0%	OKC 46.2% SAS 48.0% +1.8%
3P %	3 36.5% 4 35.9%	OKC 25.0% SAS 36.6% +11.6%
FT %	1 84.9% 4 79.2%	OKC 91.7% +7.7% SAS 84.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 26.7% 3 34.9%	OKC 29.8% +4.8% SAS 25.0%
Mid Att. %	14 31.7% 2 23.7%	OKC 27.7% −0.7% SAS 28.4%
3P Att. %	6 41.6% 7 41.4%	OKC 42.6% SAS 46.6% +4.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.24 and 2.24.

Game Totals	OKC	SAS
Possessions	99	99
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	91	118
Rebounds	42	52
Assists	22	30
Steals	9	7
Blocks	3	7
Turnovers (Team)	12 (1)	12 (1)
Fouls	21	14
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (4)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (4)	41 (3)
Field Goals	35-94	41-88
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	14-22
Midrange FG	12-26	12-25
2-Point FG	25-54	26-47
3-Point FG	10-40	15-41
Free Throws	11-12	21-25
Fast Break Pts	10	18
2nd Chance Pts	18	14
Points in Paint	38	44
Pts off Turnovers	11	15
Bench Points	38	46
Biggest Lead	0	28

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Playoff Avg

Playoff Avg