Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	27	Raptors	18%	88	90	100.0	90	93.1
	5	Spurs	82%	100	95	105.6	90	87.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Morris Peterson F · 6'7" 220 · 28	40.2	9	38%	11	1	2	0	1	2	2	9	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 31	38.5	14	47%	3	3	1	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-11	18%	2-3	67%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 22	31.3	18	60%	7	3	1	2	4	4	3	4	2-4	50%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Joey Graham G · 6'7" 230 · 24	21.0	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Rafael Araujo C · 6'11" 270 · 25	12.2	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26	26.9	13	93%	3	0	1	1	1	5	1	2	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Jalen Rose G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33	25.6	19	86%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-5	40%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 24	21.0	7	39%	2	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 21	14.4	4	33%	3	0	1	0	3	2	2	1	2-6	33%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Aaron Williams C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34	8.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Darrick Martin G · 5'11" 170 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eric Williams G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Alvin Williams #20 · G · 6'5" 195 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Loren Woods #3 · C · 7'2" 260 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pape Sow #9 · F · 6'10" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	39	13	8	3	14	0	8	31	15-25	60%	30-62	48%	5-11	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Morris Peterson F · 6'7" 220 · 28	40.2	9	38%	11	1	2	0	1	2	2	9	1-2	50%	4-8	50%	0-3	0%
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 31	38.5	14	47%	3	3	1	0	3	1	0	3	4-4	100%	2-11	18%	2-3	67%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 22	31.3	18	60%	7	3	1	2	4	4	3	4	2-4	50%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Joey Graham G · 6'7" 230 · 24	21.0	2	25%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Rafael Araujo C · 6'11" 270 · 25	12.2	4	67%	3	0	1	0	0	5	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26	26.9	13	93%	3	0	1	1	1	5	1	2	3-3	100%	2-4	50%	2-2	100%
Jalen Rose G-F · 6'8" 215 · 33	25.6	19	86%	2	1	0	0	2	1	0	2	2-5	40%	7-8	88%	1-1	100%
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 24	21.0	7	39%	2	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	1-1	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 21	14.4	4	33%	3	0	1	0	3	2	2	1	2-6	33%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Aaron Williams C-F · 6'9" 235 · 34	8.9	0	0%	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Darrick Martin G · 5'11" 170 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eric Williams G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Alvin Williams #20 · G · 6'5" 195 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Loren Woods #3 · C · 7'2" 260 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Pape Sow #9 · F · 6'10" 250 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	90	52%	39	13	8	3	14	0	8	31	15-25	60%	30-62	48%	5-11	45%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

5 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 35	42.8	9	50%	5	2	2	0	2	4	1	4	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	1-3	33%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 30	37.5	27	68%	10	8	0	1	3	3	1	9	3-8	38%	12-16	75%	0-0	-
Rasho Nesterovic C · 7'0" 255 · 30	35.7	12	75%	8	1	1	1	1	3	2	6	2-2	100%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 24	33.3	13	54%	5	3	1	0	5	0	1	4	1-5	20%	6-10	60%	0-0	-
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 33	28.9	9	35%	7	0	0	0	2	1	1	6	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	1-3	33%

Brent Barry G · 6'7" 210 · 34	28.2	11	46%	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	2-4	50%	3-5	60%	1-5	20%
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 35	18.7	5	63%	1	3	1	0	1	3	0	1	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Nick Van Exel G · 6'1" 190 · 34	14.8	9	64%	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	0-2	0%	3-5	60%	1-1	100%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 23	0.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Nazr Mohammed C · 6'10" 250 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	55%	36	19	6	3	15	0	6	30	14-27	52%	33-58	57%	5-14	36%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	SAS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.03 51.7%

SAS

1.09 54.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

14

26

54%

SAS

23

31

74%

Midrange

TOR

16

36

44%

SAS

10

27

37%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

5

7.5

11

45%

68%

SAS

5

7.5

14

36%

54%

Free Throws

TOR

15

25

60%

SAS

14

27

52%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Rose	19	86%	9.5 / 11
C. Bosh	18	60%	9.0 / 15
M. James	14	47%	7.0 / 15
M. Bonner	13	93%	6.5 / 7
M. Peterson	9	38%	4.5 / 12
J. Calderon	7	39%	3.5 / 9
R. Araujo	4	67%	2.0 / 3
C. Villanueva	4	33%	2.0 / 6
J. Graham	2	25%	1.0 / 4
A. Williams	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	27	68%	13.5 / 20
T. Parker	13	54%	6.5 / 12
R. Nesterovic	12	75%	6.0 / 8
B. Barry	11	46%	5.5 / 12
B. Bowen	9	50%	4.5 / 9
M. Finley	9	35%	4.5 / 13
N. Van Exel	9	64%	4.5 / 7
R. Horry	5	63%	2.5 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 108.7 10 107.1	TOR 100.0 SAS 105.6 +5.6
Pace	13 91.8 23 88.8	TOR 93.1 +6.0 SAS 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time	16 15.7 4 16.9	TOR 15.5 −1.1 SAS 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 50.0% 3 51.3%	TOR 51.4% SAS 56.3% +4.9%
TO %	3 13.4% 14 14.8%	TOR 16.0% SAS 15.2% −0.8%
ORB %	27 25.4% 20 26.0%	TOR 21.1% +4.9% SAS 16.2%
FTrt	23 31.5 27 29.8	TOR 34.2 SAS 37.5 +3.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 52.9% 17 57.4%	TOR 37.1% SAS 50.0% +12.9%
STL %	27 7.0% 21 7.4%	TOR 8.9% +2.2% SAS 6.7%
BLK %	30 5.3% 9 8.4%	TOR 5.2% +0.4% SAS 4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 53.4% 7 53.1%	TOR 51.7% SAS 54.6% +2.9%
Rim FG%	14 57.4% 3 61.7%	TOR 53.8% SAS 74.2% +20.4%
Mid FG%	7 41.3% 21 39.0%	TOR 44.4% +7.4% SAS 37.0%
3P %	7 37.5% 2 38.5%	TOR 45.5% +9.8% SAS 35.7%
FT %	2 79.1% 28 70.2%	TOR 60.0% +8.1% SAS 51.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	27 31.1% 14 36.7%	TOR 35.6% SAS 43.1% +7.4%
Mid Att. %	16 44.5% 9 41.8%	TOR 49.3% SAS 37.5% −11.8%
3P Att. %	5 24.4% 15 21.5%	TOR 15.1% SAS 19.4% +4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	SAS
Possessions	90	90
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	90	95
Rebounds	39	36
Assists	13	19
Steals	8	6
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (2)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (1)	6 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (0)	30 (4)
Field Goals	35-73	38-72
At-the-Rim FG	14-26	23-31
Midrange FG	16-36	10-27
2-Point FG	30-62	33-58
3-Point FG	5-11	5-14
Free Throws	15-25	14-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg