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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Jazz55%9993
1476ers45%9880
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.6
38.3
30.3
16
45%
6
9
4
2
0
5
1
5
4-4
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
54%
0-3
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.0
34.9
32.6
19
58%
16
2
1
1
0
2
4
12
1-3
33%
9-15
7-13
60%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.4
31.1
37.2
7
33%
2
9
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-6
67%
0-4
5-9
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.7
20.9
1.6
6
38%
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
0-0
38%
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.7
15.0
16.3
7
41%
1
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-3
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
33.0
31.6
16
82%
8
3
0
1
1
1
3
5
4-4
100%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.8
32.0
21.7
16
67%
6
2
1
1
3
1
3
3
0-0
-
8-12
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.7
17.9
18.1
3
21%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.0
11.4
24.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.4
5.5
22.5
3
75%
0
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
43%
1-2
50%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.9
2.3
0
0-0
41%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.8
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.9
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.8
42.6
32.2
15
55%
10
5
2
2
1
4
2
8
4-6
67%
4-9
4-7
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
41.1
32.6
9
27%
11
4
0
1
1
2
5
6
3-4
75%
3-13
5-9
23%
53%
0-2
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.6
37.4
30.1
25
64%
1
6
0
1
0
1
0
1
7-8
88%
9-16
6-12
56%
48%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.7
34.3
33.1
13
48%
5
1
0
1
5
5
0
5
1-1
100%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.5
33.1
27.9
6
51%
11
1
0
0
2
1
2
9
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
51%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.0
16.6
19.0
5
30%
0
0
1
1
2
3
0
0
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.3
12.4
17.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
10.4
11.2
4
52%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.0
6.3
12.9
3
38%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.5
4.8
11.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.9
1.2
9.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.5
3.9
0
0-0
47%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.