Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, November 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Bobcats | 43% | 97 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Bucks | 16% | 89 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Bulls | 57% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Lakers | 53% | 101 | 106 |
 | 11 | Mavericks | 47% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Knicks | 33% | 95 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Pistons | 74% | 100 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Timberwolves | 38% | 100 | 110 |
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Monday, November 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 16% | 91 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Magic | 73% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Raptors | 23% | 87 | 87 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 77% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 23% | 90 | 94 | |
 | 13 | Heat | 77% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, November 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 54% | 92 | 89 |
| 20 | Bobcats | 46% | 90 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 65% | 104 | 99 |
| 22 | Knicks | 35% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 70% | 97 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 53% | 94 | 88 |
| 7 | Pistons | 47% | 93 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 63% | 98 | 89 |
| 30 | Thunder | 37% | 93 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 21% | 94 | 90 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 79% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 51% | 103 | 98 |
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Lakers | 66% | 100 | 111 |
Saturday, November 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 30% | 95 | 80 | |
| 16 | Pacers | 70% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Magic | 79% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 25% | 92 | 89 |
| 3 | Hornets | 75% | 101 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 58% | 97 | 106 |
| 18 | Bulls | 42% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 61% | 100 | 104 |
| 25 | Bucks | 39% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 26% | 93 | 93 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 101 | 97 |
Friday, November 7, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 66% | 96 | 89 | |
| 21 | Bobcats | 34% | 90 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 37% | 101 | 114 |
| 20 | Wizards | 63% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 52% | 93 | 92 |
| 16 | Hawks | 48% | 92 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 13% | 88 | 89 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 25% | 92 | 107 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 75% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 61% | 95 | 96 |
| 23 | Nets | 39% | 91 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 36% | 90 | 99 |
| 13 | Spurs | 64% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 61% | 103 | 83 |
| 22 | Bulls | 39% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 13% | 85 | 97 |
| 7 | Jazz | 87% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 46% | 100 | 109 |
| 28 | Kings | 54% | 101 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 47% | 99 | 105 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 53% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 30% | 91 | 109 |
| 18 | Warriors | 70% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 69% | 96 | 92 |
| 27 | Clippers | 31% | 89 | 83 |
Thursday, November 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 29% | 95 | 88 |
| 11 | Magic | 71% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 69% | 96 | 99 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 90 | 101 |
Wednesday, November 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 48% | 100 | 113 |
| 15 | Pacers | 52% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 39% | 89 | 100 |
| 10 | Raptors | 61% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 49% | 98 | 83 |
| 18 | Heat | 51% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 48% | 98 | 98 |
| 25 | Knicks | 52% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 24% | 89 | 93 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 76% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 49% | 97 | 104 |
| 24 | Bucks | 51% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 58% | 93 | 129 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 42% | 91 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 25% | 93 | 87 |
| 4 | Hornets | 75% | 102 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 82% | 100 | 96 |
| 30 | Thunder | 18% | 88 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 23% | 88 | 96 |
| 6 | Jazz | 77% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 46% | 94 | 95 |
| 28 | Kings | 54% | 95 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 101 |
| 17 | Warriors | 52% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 13% | 90 | 88 |
| 2 | Lakers | 87% | 104 | 106 |
Tuesday, November 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 60% | 99 | 114 |
| 19 | Nets | 40% | 96 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 44% | 94 | 103 |
| 3 | Rockets | 56% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 39% | 88 | 98 |
| 11 | Spurs | 61% | 92 | 81 |
Monday, November 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 55% | 92 | 101 |
| 22 | Bobcats | 45% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 28% | 94 | 93 |
| 9 | Magic | 72% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 22% | 93 | 91 |
| 12 | 76ers | 78% | 103 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 66% | 98 | 79 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 34% | 92 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 37% | 93 | 100 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 63% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 69% | 96 | 89 |
| 26 | Clippers | 31% | 90 | 73 |
Sunday, November 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 39% | 105 | 94 |
| 24 | Knicks | 61% | 109 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 51% | 100 | 85 |
| 30 | Thunder | 49% | 99 | 88 |
Saturday, November 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 76ers | 45% | 97 | 88 |
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 41% | 96 | 87 |
| 23 | Bobcats | 59% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 66% | 99 | 79 |
| 22 | Pacers | 34% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 18% | 93 | 103 |
| 10 | Magic | 82% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 23% | 92 | 109 |
| 4 | Pistons | 77% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 42% | 95 | 105 |
| 17 | Nets | 58% | 98 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 72% | 106 | 95 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 28% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 37% | 92 | 92 |
| 6 | Hornets | 63% | 97 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 26% | 89 | 86 |
| 18 | Bulls | 74% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 9% | 85 | 77 |
| 3 | Rockets | 91% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 58% | 100 | 91 |
| 25 | Bucks | 42% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 60% | 102 | 104 |
| 13 | Nuggets | 40% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 11% | 88 | 79 |
| 8 | Jazz | 89% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 92 | 96 |
| 7 | Suns | 81% | 104 | 107 |
Friday, October 31, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 29% | 98 | 87 |
| 13 | 76ers | 71% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Warriors | 34% | 96 | 108 |
| 12 | Raptors | 66% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 36% | 101 | 77 |
| 21 | Heat | 64% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 19% | 88 | 80 |
| 1 | Celtics | 81% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Magic | 74% | 98 | 84 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 26% | 90 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 61% | 99 | 113 |
| 28 | Clippers | 39% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 59% | 93 | 99 |
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 90 | 100 |
Thursday, October 30, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bobcats | 28% | 91 | 79 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 72% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 38% | 92 | 112 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 62% | 96 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 39% | 99 | 108 | |
| 7 | Suns | 61% | 103 | 95 |
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 28% | 94 | 99 |
| 10 | Magic | 72% | 102 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 43% | 95 | 95 |
| 13 | 76ers | 57% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nets | 42% | 94 | 95 | |
| 18 | Wizards | 58% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 51% | 99 | 115 |
| 25 | Knicks | 49% | 98 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 20% | 88 | 94 |
| 3 | Pistons | 80% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 45% | 98 | 96 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 55% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 46% | 97 | 98 |
| 29 | Thunder | 54% | 98 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 48% | 96 | 103 |
| 11 | Spurs | 52% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Grizzlies | 9% | 84 | 71 |
| 5 | Rockets | 91% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nuggets | 36% | 94 | 94 |
| 9 | Jazz | 64% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 61% | 99 | 108 | |
| 16 | Warriors | 39% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 69% | 100 | 117 |
| 27 | Clippers | 31% | 93 | 79 |