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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Knicks33%9580
15Spurs67%10192
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.2
38.7
35.3
6
39%
1
7
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-2
2-4
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.6
38.5
34.8
28
64%
1
4
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
4-13
3-8
31%
44%
6-8
75%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.3
33.6
32.7
15
39%
13
1
1
1
1
2
3
10
1-3
33%
7-17
6-14
41%
46%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.6
22.7
27.6
3
50%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
41%
1-1
100%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.5
21.3
29.6
7
44%
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.4
34.7
27.0
5
23%
7
2
1
1
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
47%
1-5
20%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
30.9
28.6
15
70%
9
2
1
1
0
1
0
9
3-4
75%
6-9
4-8
67%
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.7
7.4
7.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.3
6.2
7.4
1
17%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
40%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.0
5.9
3.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.9
12.0
0
2-4
53%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.0
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.7
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.0
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.2
38.4
33.3
10
38%
7
4
3
1
0
2
1
6
6-7
86%
2-8
3-6
25%
49%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
36.0
33.7
23
63%
9
7
0
1
2
2
3
6
1-3
33%
11-17
8-16
65%
51%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.5
30.8
15.1
12
51%
5
1
1
1
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
3-9
2-4
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.6
25.3
17.4
6
47%
9
3
1
0
0
1
3
6
0-3
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
59%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.3
19.7
21.2
5
25%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
49%
1-5
20%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.4
27.8
17.5
13
101%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
3-3
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.7
20.4
25.6
14
78%
6
0
0
0
1
3
0
6
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
45%
2-2
100%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.4
20.2
17.4
5
31%
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
1-6
17%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.7
11.6
6.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.1
9.5
13.1
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.6
0.5
7.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Desmon Farmer
G · 6'5" 220 · 27.1
15.1
0
1-2
48%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.0
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.