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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hawks43%96113
19Bulls57%99108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
42.0
37.1
17
41%
3
8
2
1
0
2
2
1
9-11
82%
4-14
6-13
29%
47%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.4
41.5
32.5
27
57%
17
3
1
1
6
2
6
11
9-13
69%
9-18
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.5
35.8
31.1
22
61%
3
5
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
43%
4-10
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.4
30.5
33.9
13
60%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-9
4-10
56%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.8
25.8
12.5
12
77%
8
3
0
0
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.0
26.4
19.6
17
94%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
50%
3-4
75%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.3
21.9
24.0
5
37%
2
2
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-4
3-7
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.8
8.4
10.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
6.1
18.8
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.5
1.6
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
0.3
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.9
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.9
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.8
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.1
42.5
38.5
26
62%
10
6
0
1
0
3
5
5
8-9
89%
9-17
6-14
53%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
39.7
32.9
19
45%
4
4
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
7-15
4-9
47%
46%
1-5
20%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.6
35.8
36.2
19
61%
10
2
1
1
1
2
2
8
5-6
83%
7-13
6-12
54%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.7
27.6
21.3
2
33%
8
2
0
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.2
21.5
22.8
3
17%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
1-8
3-7
13%
43%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.9
31.4
27.0
20
54%
4
2
1
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
4-9
44%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.5
23.7
13.4
13
66%
1
3
3
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
46%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.9
17.7
10.4
6
44%
10
0
0
0
1
0
5
5
0-2
0%
3-6
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.1
19.4
1
3-7
47%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 24.2
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
1.2
0
0-0
46%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.8
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.9
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.