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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers53%101106
11Mavericks47%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.2
35.7
33.1
27
57%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
7-8
88%
10-18
7-14
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.4
35.7
32.4
22
59%
11
2
0
0
0
3
5
6
6-8
75%
8-15
5-9
53%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.0
30.2
31.8
11
43%
10
3
1
0
3
0
7
3
1-2
50%
5-12
5-9
42%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.3
27.6
24.4
6
31%
4
3
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-4
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.0
15.8
21.9
4
33%
1
2
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
30.1
25.2
12
45%
5
1
1
1
1
4
2
3
1-3
33%
4-11
3-6
36%
52%
1-1
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.4
28.7
23.1
13
62%
6
1
3
1
1
2
3
3
1-1
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.9
20.4
23.3
4
40%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.7
12.3
15.1
7
58%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
3.5
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.3
3.8
0
1-1
47%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.8
3.3
0
0-1
46%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.9
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.6
39.5
34.5
16
54%
11
10
4
2
1
5
1
10
1-2
50%
6-7
2-5
86%
41%
1-7
14%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
39.2
35.1
21
57%
2
4
4
1
1
3
0
2
6-8
75%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.4
37.2
36.7
14
37%
8
1
0
1
2
4
0
8
4-4
100%
5-15
8-16
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.3
26.9
19.9
11
70%
16
2
0
0
3
0
12
4
1-2
50%
5-7
2-3
71%
57%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
25.4
21.2
17
51%
6
0
1
1
0
5
2
4
4-4
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
43%
1-4
25%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.0
23.8
18.2
17
62%
2
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
43%
3-5
60%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.8
20.4
19.9
3
40%
4
1
0
1
2
0
2
2
1-4
25%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
12.3
7.5
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.5
11.1
16.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
4.3
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.7
7.8
0
1-2
48%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.3
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.5
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.