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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Thunder15%9099
14Heat85%103105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
43.2
35.5
21
59%
9
4
1
1
1
1
0
9
3-4
75%
6-10
4-9
60%
44%
2-6
33%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.2
34.9
36.8
18
45%
5
1
1
1
1
3
2
3
4-7
57%
4-13
7-15
31%
45%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.1
32.0
32.9
30
64%
7
2
2
2
0
3
3
4
10-12
83%
10-17
5-12
59%
41%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
22.8
23.4
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.9
15.8
21.1
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.5
30.4
21.8
3
25%
2
12
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.1
27.1
11.8
14
79%
8
0
2
0
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
6-8
1-3
75%
48%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.2
25.5
26.1
7
64%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.9
8.4
12.6
2
20%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.4
17.6
0
2-5
47%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.8
2.9
0
0-0
44%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.6
1.7
0
0-1
47%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.0
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.3
Steven Hill
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
38.6
36.2
15
50%
14
4
1
1
0
2
1
13
1-2
50%
7-14
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.6
37.5
36.1
15
44%
12
4
1
2
4
2
4
8
2-2
100%
5-14
6-10
36%
57%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.9
35.1
34.8
38
62%
5
7
2
2
2
4
2
3
10-15
67%
14-23
8-16
61%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
31.9
28.5
15
80%
3
4
1
2
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
3-6
50%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.3
28.6
18.3
6
77%
4
2
0
0
1
1
3
1
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
21.0
10.3
3
75%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
1-2
50%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
16.7
27.3
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
12.8
20.7
6
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
5-9
38%
51%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.2
12.1
4.3
3
39%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.5
5.5
4.5
2
35%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.0
0.1
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.0
4.7
0
1-1
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.