Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Bobcats | 37% | 89 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 15% | 90 | 99 |
 | 14 | Heat | 85% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 39% | 95 | 95 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Hornets | 89% | 102 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Bulls | 63% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Mavericks | 74% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, December 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 17% | 92 | 89 |
 | 13 | Magic | 83% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Lakers | 72% | 106 | 106 |
| 22 | Wizards | 28% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Knicks | 30% | 101 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 70% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 33% | 97 | 84 |
| 20 | Nets | 67% | 102 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 76% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 33% | 90 | 96 |
 | 11 | Pistons | 67% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 58% | 97 | 81 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 42% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 25% | 95 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 46% | 93 | 96 |
 | 26 | Bucks | 54% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 32% | 96 | 87 |
| 12 | Jazz | 68% | 102 | 114 |
Thursday, December 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 34% | 97 | 97 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 66% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 37% | 94 | 108 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 63% | 98 | 91 |
Wednesday, December 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 27% | 94 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 73% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 23% | 90 | 97 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 77% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 16% | 96 | 82 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 84% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 27% | 95 | 89 |
| 12 | Magic | 73% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 65% | 103 | 114 |
| 16 | 76ers | 35% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 97 | 98 |
| 22 | Wizards | 45% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 15% | 89 | 96 |
| 1 | Celtics | 85% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| 27 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 33% | 94 | 91 |
| 5 | Hornets | 67% | 100 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 19% | 87 | 96 |
| 6 | Rockets | 81% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 42% | 96 | 93 |
| 11 | Jazz | 58% | 99 | 89 |
Tuesday, December 2, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 69% | 105 | 117 |
| 21 | Pacers | 31% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 37% | 98 | 108 |
| 17 | Nets | 63% | 102 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 104 | 104 |
| 25 | Knicks | 39% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 76ers | 48% | 98 | 103 |
| 24 | Bulls | 52% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 25% | 92 | 98 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 75% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 39% | 88 | 89 |
| 8 | Spurs | 61% | 92 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 32% | 97 | 93 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 68% | 103 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 61% | 102 | 99 |
| 22 | Kings | 39% | 99 | 94 |
Monday, December 1, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 36% | 93 | 90 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 64% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 26% | 90 | 88 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 46% | 101 | 130 |
| 16 | Warriors | 54% | 103 | 129 |
Sunday, November 30, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 92 | 96 |
| 11 | Pistons | 59% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 35% | 96 | 103 |
| 16 | 76ers | 65% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 45% | 94 | 94 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 55% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 25% | 96 | 117 | |
| 9 | Suns | 75% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 22% | 97 | 99 |
| 1 | Lakers | 78% | 107 | 112 |
Saturday, November 29, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 67% | 93 | 89 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 33% | 87 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 27% | 95 | 96 |
| 11 | Magic | 73% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hawks | 41% | 98 | 102 |
| 23 | Wizards | 59% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 43% | 107 | 125 |
| 24 | Knicks | 57% | 110 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 31% | 94 | 111 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 69% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 69% | 103 | 106 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 31% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 32% | 86 | 84 |
| 4 | Rockets | 68% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 64% | 99 | 97 |
| 26 | Bucks | 36% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 29% | 96 | 105 | |
| 5 | Jazz | 71% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 65% | 101 | 101 |
| 27 | Kings | 35% | 96 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 44% | 95 | 96 |
| 22 | Clippers | 56% | 96 | 97 |
Friday, November 28, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 34% | 97 | 88 |
| 14 | Raptors | 66% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 24% | 89 | 78 |
| 1 | Celtics | 76% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 28% | 96 | 97 |
| 9 | Cavaliers | 72% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 24% | 90 | 97 |
| 12 | Pistons | 76% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bobcats | 36% | 91 | 115 |
| 18 | Pacers | 64% | 96 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 61% | 101 | 105 |
| 30 | Thunder | 39% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 30% | 95 | 107 |
| 5 | Suns | 70% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 19% | 85 | 98 |
| 10 | Spurs | 81% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 22% | 94 | 94 |
| 8 | Jazz | 78% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 44% | 92 | 86 | |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 30% | 97 | 107 |
| 2 | Lakers | 70% | 104 | 114 |
Thursday, November 27, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 53% | 99 | 105 |
| 22 | Wizards | 47% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Hornets | 47% | 96 | 105 | |
| 5 | Nuggets | 53% | 97 | 101 |
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 37% | 96 | 96 |
| 21 | Hawks | 63% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 10% | 87 | 82 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 90% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 30% | 89 | 86 |
| 14 | Raptors | 70% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 16% | 91 | 111 |
| 2 | Celtics | 84% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 47% | 97 | 96 |
| 15 | 76ers | 53% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 21% | 96 | 96 |
| 10 | Pistons | 79% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 61% | 102 | 110 |
| 27 | Timberwolves | 39% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 24% | 89 | 91 |
| 5 | Rockets | 76% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 29% | 90 | 88 |
| 12 | Spurs | 71% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 21% | 91 | 100 |
| 9 | Jazz | 79% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 37% | 93 | 68 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 47% | 99 | 116 | |
| 26 | Kings | 53% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 61% | 99 | 106 |
| 22 | Clippers | 39% | 96 | 105 |
Tuesday, November 25, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 51% | 103 | 100 |
| 23 | Wizards | 49% | 102 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 69% | 105 | 119 |
| 24 | Knicks | 31% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 79% | 106 | 99 |
| 30 | Thunder | 21% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 30% | 95 | 106 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 70% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 16% | 94 | 93 | |
| 1 | Lakers | 84% | 107 | 120 |
Monday, November 24, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 53% | 92 | 84 |
| 25 | Bobcats | 47% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 21% | 92 | 101 |
| 9 | Magic | 79% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 52% | 93 | 107 |
| 14 | Heat | 48% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 66% | 93 | 94 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 34% | 87 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 23% | 94 | 101 |
| 10 | Jazz | 77% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 19% | 91 | 90 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 81% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hornets | 68% | 96 | 99 | |
| 24 | Clippers | 32% | 90 | 87 |
Sunday, November 23, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 58% | 95 | 118 |
| 16 | Raptors | 42% | 92 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Warriors | 35% | 100 | 81 |
| 15 | 76ers | 65% | 105 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 19% | 90 | 106 |
| 10 | Pistons | 81% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 25% | 96 | 101 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 75% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 10% | 92 | 108 |
| 1 | Lakers | 90% | 109 | 118 |