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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies11%8687
4Hornets89%102106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.1
30.5
35.2
18
65%
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.7
29.0
16.5
5
37%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.7
24.1
21.4
9
67%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.3
21.0
35.9
6
36%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-1
0%
3-7
6-12
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.5
20.3
26.0
6
60%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.9
26.3
23.5
21
81%
7
2
1
0
2
3
2
5
7-9
78%
7-9
3-6
78%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.2
24.8
26.2
6
44%
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.6
18.3
17.6
0
0%
5
2
0
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
0-3
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.4
17.1
23.7
10
54%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-3
67%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.2
16.6
8.4
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.0
12.0
2.5
2
26%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
0-0
33%
41%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.9
5.0
0
1-1
43%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.6
30.2
40.5
21
80%
5
11
3
3
0
1
0
5
5-5
100%
8-10
7-13
80%
54%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.3
27.3
37.7
19
85%
4
2
0
1
1
1
1
3
5-5
100%
7-9
8-15
78%
52%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.5
27.1
32.7
20
85%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
5-7
71%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.2
22.4
32.0
2
20%
5
0
0
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-5
4-6
20%
62%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.5
21.7
23.6
11
58%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
2-4
50%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.9
25.2
18.6
6
40%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
1-2
50%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.9
22.7
23.6
8
103%
7
0
1
1
0
2
0
7
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
2-3
67%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.3
18.9
8.0
5
31%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
50%
1-3
33%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.3
18.1
7.8
6
60%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.0
16.7
13.4
8
68%
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.5
9.7
5.0
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.5
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.0
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.