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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Nets39%9595
1876ers61%9984
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.9
43.3
33.4
14
54%
11
8
2
1
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
3-7
5-11
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.8
35.9
33.0
27
63%
2
8
4
1
0
4
0
2
7-10
70%
7-11
5-11
64%
50%
2-6
33%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.1
32.1
25.6
12
61%
7
3
0
0
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
43%
0-2
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.7
26.3
28.3
6
43%
11
0
0
1
3
2
3
8
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.5
23.4
21.8
11
79%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
3-5
60%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.3
27.2
26.1
4
50%
5
0
2
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.6
24.6
23.0
6
33%
0
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
46%
2-4
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.0
17.4
10.9
7
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
3-5
1-3
60%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.6
9.8
19.8
8
133%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.2
8.8
0
1-2
49%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.8
6.2
0
0-1
46%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 21.9
5.1
0
0-1
44%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.4
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.0
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
37.4
37.6
20
53%
11
3
0
2
1
5
4
7
8-9
89%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
2-6
33%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.5
37.0
31.3
8
34%
8
2
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-2
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
55%
0-4
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.7
33.2
35.4
16
64%
3
5
0
1
0
5
2
1
8-8
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.6
20.1
21.1
0
0%
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-6
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.3
16.4
17.0
7
51%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.1
23.8
18.1
13
48%
1
3
3
1
1
1
0
1
0-1
0%
5-10
3-6
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.4
21.8
22.8
6
36%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
20.1
13.7
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.6
15.8
7.0
13
93%
5
1
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
3-5
60%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.0
5.9
7.6
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.6
5.3
8.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
3.4
2.2
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.8
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.