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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Hawks26%9498
7Mavericks74%102100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.0
38.9
30.0
13
47%
9
3
1
1
1
3
2
7
7-11
64%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.4
38.6
39.9
32
66%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
7-12
5-11
58%
46%
5-10
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.6
38.3
35.7
21
57%
5
5
3
1
1
3
1
4
1-1
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
44%
2-5
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.5
37.7
35.7
11
47%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.8
34.7
17.2
13
71%
12
1
2
1
2
4
4
8
5-5
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
19.4
25.2
2
25%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
13.3
6.8
4
82%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.9
9.7
11.1
2
53%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
9.4
15.6
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
32.0
1
4-8
49%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.9
1.9
0
0-1
44%
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.5
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.8
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.5
35.4
37.5
24
61%
11
3
0
1
0
4
2
9
6-6
100%
9-17
8-16
53%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.7
33.5
32.3
2
20%
6
8
4
2
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.4
31.8
25.4
22
54%
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
9-15
3-6
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.3
23.1
22.6
8
100%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.4
19.9
19.4
7
49%
11
2
1
0
0
1
6
5
3-5
60%
2-5
2-3
40%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.2
35.0
35.0
19
47%
2
1
2
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
6-13
6-11
46%
53%
1-5
20%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.8
20.6
18.2
4
29%
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
0-2
0%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.9
20.5
12.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.6
20.1
19.0
14
78%
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
51%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
8.2
0
1-2
48%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.9
4.8
0
1-2
45%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
4.5
0
0-1
51%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.6
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.