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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets65%105118
23Kings35%10085
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.2
31.5
34.6
24
90%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
9-10
90%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
3-4
75%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
31.2
5.8
17
69%
6
3
3
0
1
1
2
4
1-3
33%
8-11
1-1
73%
54%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.5
29.9
33.2
16
50%
7
1
0
1
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
7-14
7-14
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.9
28.0
17.8
6
31%
5
1
1
1
2
0
0
5
4-4
100%
1-8
2-4
13%
48%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.2
23.9
32.3
16
61%
7
2
5
1
3
1
1
6
2-5
40%
7-11
5-9
64%
59%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.2
25.3
23.7
16
68%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
5-6
3-5
83%
52%
1-4
25%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.9
19.5
23.2
8
80%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
55%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
18.2
12.7
8
56%
5
1
0
0
4
1
2
3
6-7
86%
1-4
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.5
15.9
19.8
2
53%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.3
11.3
5.5
5
83%
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.1
5.4
2.6
0
0%
0
0
2
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 30.9
30.0
1
4-8
53%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.6
36.0
28.5
10
36%
12
1
1
1
1
2
5
7
0-0
-
5-12
4-9
42%
50%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.4
35.4
31.8
14
56%
4
4
0
1
0
6
3
1
8-8
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
49%
0-3
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.0
31.4
32.8
22
54%
5
2
1
1
0
3
2
3
7-8
88%
6-15
5-11
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.8
29.8
33.6
8
30%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-5
60%
1-10
5-10
10%
49%
1-1
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
17.5
33.7
0
0%
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.4
29.6
16.7
8
24%
15
1
3
0
2
2
10
5
0-2
0%
4-16
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.9
19.9
24.0
11
56%
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
4-4
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.2
17.7
13.3
6
25%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
45%
0-4
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.8
13.6
12.9
4
29%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.1
5.8
2.6
2
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.1
3.3
16.8
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.7
23.5
1
3-6
44%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.