for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls54%96101
26Bobcats46%95110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
49.0
36.1
25
55%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
8-11
73%
4-11
5-10
36%
47%
3-7
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
47.0
38.9
6
19%
5
7
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-15
6-13
20%
49%
0-1
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
33.4
29.0
14
64%
9
4
0
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
28.7
33.3
15
84%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
7-8
6-11
88%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
12.7
15.7
2
33%
6
3
0
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
35.1
15.0
22
62%
9
1
1
1
2
0
3
6
4-4
100%
9-16
2-4
56%
44%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.0
23.0
18.4
8
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
20.5
25.8
2
14%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
42%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
15.6
20.2
7
72%
6
3
0
1
0
1
5
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
4.4
0
0-1
48%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
1.9
0
0-0
38%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.5
50.0
37.1
21
51%
6
7
3
1
0
3
0
6
7-8
88%
7-17
5-12
41%
44%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.7
45.9
30.8
15
54%
7
4
0
1
2
4
0
7
2-2
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
51%
1-2
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
42.0
34.3
20
59%
13
0
3
1
4
1
6
7
6-11
55%
7-12
5-10
58%
53%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.9
26.0
1.3
8
41%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
3-8
0-0
38%
44%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.2
7.6
27.8
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-2
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.1
45.4
29.4
29
67%
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
13-13
100%
2-9
3-7
22%
43%
4-7
57%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.3
30.1
14.9
7
64%
4
3
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-1
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
1-2
50%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.2
14.9
7.8
8
69%
2
1
0
0
3
1
0
2
2-4
50%
3-4
1-1
75%
51%
0-0
-
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.3
3.1
3.6
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.4
17.0
0
1-3
41%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.3
8.7
0
1-2
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.6
5.0
0
1-2
51%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.7
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.