Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bulls | 54% | 96 | 101 |
 | 26 | Bobcats | 46% | 95 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 71% | 97 | 91 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Thunder | 34% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Knicks | 16% | 100 | 114 |
 | 2 | Lakers | 84% | 113 | 116 |
Monday, December 15, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 29% | 89 | 79 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 43% | 98 | 94 | |
 | 15 | Raptors | 57% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 73% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 42% | 97 | 98 |
 | 18 | Heat | 58% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 42% | 100 | 98 |
 | 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 25% | 103 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Timberwolves | 42% | 100 | 103 |
| 29 | Kings | 58% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Magic | 57% | 105 | 109 |
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Sunday, December 14, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 56% | 96 | 99 | |
| 18 | Raptors | 44% | 94 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 63% | 97 | 86 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 37% | 93 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 7% | 86 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Timberwolves | 12% | 96 | 86 |
| 2 | Lakers | 88% | 111 | 98 |
Saturday, December 13, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Hawks | 43% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 53% | 92 | 90 |
| 26 | Bobcats | 47% | 91 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 38% | 95 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 42% | 100 | 104 | |
| 21 | Bulls | 58% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 12% | 91 | 99 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 88% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 45% | 100 | 103 |
| 25 | Bucks | 55% | 102 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 15% | 98 | 105 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 85% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 27% | 96 | 103 |
| 7 | Jazz | 73% | 103 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 53% | 105 | 114 |
| 27 | Kings | 47% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 60% | 95 | 82 |
| 20 | Clippers | 40% | 91 | 95 |
Friday, December 12, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 27% | 89 | 72 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 73% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 38% | 94 | 87 |
| 13 | Heat | 62% | 98 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 37% | 98 | 101 |
| 15 | Nets | 63% | 103 | 79 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 28% | 87 | 82 | |
| 1 | Celtics | 72% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 36% | 94 | 110 |
| 14 | Pistons | 64% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 56% | 99 | 96 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 44% | 97 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 72% | 100 | 98 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 28% | 93 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 40% | 100 | 112 |
| 9 | Suns | 60% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 28% | 90 | 120 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 63% | 102 | 119 |
| 22 | Warriors | 37% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 12% | 95 | 103 |
| 2 | Lakers | 88% | 111 | 112 |
Thursday, December 11, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 73% | 99 | 122 |
| 20 | Wizards | 27% | 91 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 16% | 87 | 90 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 84% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 95 | 88 |
| 7 | Jazz | 62% | 99 | 97 |
Wednesday, December 10, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 51% | 100 | 88 |
| 20 | Raptors | 49% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 28% | 101 | 121 |
| 15 | Nets | 72% | 108 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 25% | 86 | 89 |
| 9 | Hornets | 75% | 95 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 54% | 98 | 108 |
| 30 | Thunder | 46% | 97 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 54% | 93 | 101 |
| 17 | 76ers | 46% | 92 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 25% | 89 | 89 |
| 3 | Spurs | 75% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 13% | 93 | 105 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 87% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 36% | 103 | 96 |
| 21 | Warriors | 64% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 27% | 100 | 110 |
| 2 | Lakers | 73% | 109 | 115 |
Tuesday, December 9, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 22% | 90 | 94 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 78% | 100 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 55% | 96 | 94 |
| 20 | Wizards | 45% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 70% | 102 | 99 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 30% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 39% | 104 | 100 |
| 22 | Bulls | 61% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 42% | 92 | 133 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 58% | 95 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 37% | 92 | 84 |
| 11 | Rockets | 63% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 24% | 96 | 110 |
| 7 | Suns | 76% | 105 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 36% | 93 | 109 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 81% | 108 | 101 |
| 27 | Kings | 19% | 97 | 113 |
Monday, December 8, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bobcats | 29% | 90 | 96 |
| 14 | Heat | 71% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 76% | 97 | 97 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 24% | 88 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 62% | 107 | 112 |
| 30 | Thunder | 38% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 57% | 97 | 95 |
| 22 | Clippers | 43% | 95 | 88 |
Sunday, December 7, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 61% | 103 | 92 |
| 25 | Knicks | 39% | 99 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 97 | 98 |
| 18 | Raptors | 48% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 70% | 98 | 122 |
| 19 | Pacers | 30% | 91 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 14% | 95 | 92 |
| 1 | Lakers | 86% | 109 | 105 |
Saturday, December 6, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 63% | 94 | 94 |
| 19 | Bobcats | 37% | 89 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 15% | 90 | 99 |
| 14 | Heat | 85% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 39% | 95 | 95 | |
| 18 | 76ers | 61% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Clippers | 49% | 97 | 107 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 51% | 98 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 11% | 86 | 87 |
| 4 | Hornets | 89% | 102 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 38% | 97 | 110 |
| 24 | Bulls | 62% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 26% | 94 | 98 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 74% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 20% | 95 | 88 |
| 5 | Spurs | 80% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 37% | 99 | 104 |
| 9 | Suns | 63% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 65% | 105 | 118 |
| 23 | Kings | 35% | 100 | 85 |
Friday, December 5, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 17% | 92 | 89 |
| 13 | Magic | 83% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 72% | 106 | 106 |
| 22 | Wizards | 28% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 30% | 101 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 70% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 25% | 93 | 73 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 75% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 33% | 96 | 84 |
| 20 | Nets | 67% | 102 | 113 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 88 | 78 |
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 33% | 90 | 96 |
| 11 | Pistons | 67% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Clippers | 58% | 97 | 81 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 42% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Warriors | 25% | 95 | 112 |
| 7 | Rockets | 75% | 104 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bobcats | 46% | 93 | 96 |
| 26 | Bucks | 54% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 32% | 96 | 87 |
| 12 | Jazz | 68% | 102 | 114 |
Thursday, December 4, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 34% | 97 | 97 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 66% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 37% | 93 | 108 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 63% | 98 | 91 |
Wednesday, December 3, 2008
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 27% | 93 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 73% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 23% | 90 | 97 |
| 21 | Bobcats | 77% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Knicks | 15% | 96 | 82 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 85% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 27% | 95 | 89 |
| 12 | Magic | 73% | 103 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 65% | 103 | 114 |
| 16 | 76ers | 35% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 97 | 98 |
| 22 | Wizards | 45% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 15% | 89 | 96 |
| 1 | Celtics | 85% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| 27 | Bucks | 61% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Suns | 33% | 94 | 91 |
| 5 | Hornets | 67% | 100 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 19% | 87 | 96 |
| 6 | Rockets | 81% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 42% | 96 | 93 |
| 11 | Jazz | 58% | 99 | 89 |