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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets38%9596
10Rockets62%99108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.6
37.6
32.8
22
54%
2
3
1
1
0
3
1
1
3-3
100%
5-13
7-14
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.2
35.4
32.9
8
37%
0
6
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.3
35.0
30.4
10
36%
7
1
1
1
0
1
6
1
0-0
-
5-14
5-8
36%
55%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.0
26.2
29.1
6
50%
8
0
0
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.0
14.3
18.8
2
33%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.3
30.8
23.4
17
51%
5
4
2
1
0
3
2
3
3-6
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
2-5
40%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.5
22.3
22.1
7
70%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.0
21.4
20.9
13
93%
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
3-5
60%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.4
17.1
15.8
11
83%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
5-6
83%
3-4
1-3
75%
46%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.4
10.5
1
1-2
51%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.3
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.4
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.2
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.9
42.3
19.4
18
61%
2
6
2
0
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
2-6
33%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
37.4
32.5
32
72%
7
1
1
0
2
3
3
4
6-7
86%
13-19
7-13
68%
52%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
37.3
29.5
20
56%
14
10
1
1
3
3
2
12
1-2
50%
5-12
4-9
42%
46%
3-5
60%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
34.0
30.7
8
57%
0
5
1
1
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.6
24.6
28.9
4
40%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
51%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
28.8
27.7
20
73%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
3-3
3-8
100%
46%
4-9
44%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.2
23.7
22.0
6
100%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
4-7
100%
56%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.5
6.3
9.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
5.7
13.9
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.4
14.3
0
2-4
45%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.8
5.8
0
0-1
43%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
5.7
0
0-0
55%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.4
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.