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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
December 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings16%9277
12Trail Blazers84%104109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.0
31.9
32.1
21
56%
5
2
0
1
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
49%
3-5
60%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.0
29.5
28.2
12
52%
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
4
7-8
88%
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
1-2
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
29.0
28.7
4
20%
4
4
2
1
0
5
0
4
0-0
-
2-9
4-7
22%
48%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.6
28.4
28.9
8
38%
5
1
1
1
5
3
2
3
6-6
100%
1-8
4-9
13%
48%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.7
22.5
23.4
4
50%
5
0
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.4
19.6
25.1
4
22%
4
1
0
1
2
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-9
4-8
22%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.2
19.0
15.6
8
51%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.1
17.3
14.5
0
0%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.8
14.3
15.8
2
53%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.8
11.5
18.8
3
26%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.6
8.9
4.1
2
35%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
8.2
3.7
9
104%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-3
100%
3-3
0-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.9
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
38.6
39.6
15
34%
10
2
1
1
2
3
4
6
3-4
75%
6-19
9-17
32%
52%
0-1
0%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.4
30.8
39.2
29
78%
2
5
4
1
1
2
0
2
15-15
100%
7-12
8-15
58%
52%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.8
26.6
28.7
8
57%
3
4
4
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
47%
0-2
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.0
24.3
15.5
12
61%
6
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.9
21.2
27.3
8
58%
10
0
0
1
0
0
3
7
2-2
100%
3-6
4-7
50%
56%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.2
22.2
17.5
7
51%
14
1
0
0
3
0
3
11
1-2
50%
3-6
2-3
50%
61%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.2
19.9
20.2
5
42%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.7
18.3
28.1
12
64%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.5
15.9
16.7
2
26%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.3
8.2
3.2
4
41%
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
50%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.6
7.7
5.4
3
31%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
6.3
0.9
4
55%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-6
67%
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.0
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.