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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Warriors24%9799
14Hawks76%106115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.7
42.4
29.1
27
60%
3
6
2
1
0
4
1
2
2-3
67%
8-11
3-7
73%
47%
3-10
30%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.8
35.4
34.4
6
20%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
4-9
27%
44%
0-4
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.7
32.5
26.2
14
71%
15
6
0
1
1
4
3
12
2-2
100%
6-9
5-9
67%
58%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.0
27.4
31.5
13
48%
5
1
3
1
0
0
3
2
1-1
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
46%
0-3
0%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.8
12.5
8.3
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.2
30.0
9.6
19
58%
8
0
2
0
0
1
5
3
5-8
63%
7-12
2-3
58%
53%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
26.2
17.1
15
63%
5
1
2
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
2-4
50%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.9
20.2
17.2
2
50%
2
3
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.7
13.5
25.9
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
46%
1-1
100%
DeMarcus Nelson
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.1
12.8
0
2-4
45%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.4
6.8
0
1-3
47%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.0
2.5
0
0-0
41%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.1
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.1
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.5
41.1
39.7
19
45%
5
5
0
1
1
1
2
3
1-3
33%
6-12
6-12
50%
51%
2-8
25%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.0
34.8
34.9
14
69%
6
7
4
1
1
5
2
4
4-5
80%
5-8
5-10
63%
50%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.5
34.7
35.8
22
79%
9
0
1
1
0
1
3
6
2-2
100%
10-12
4-8
83%
49%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
28.5
35.9
14
63%
6
5
0
1
3
2
3
3
4-5
80%
5-9
5-10
56%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.6
26.2
35.2
7
39%
8
7
0
1
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
48%
1-3
33%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.1
22.4
17.9
7
50%
3
2
2
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.4
21.8
14.9
20
78%
3
1
1
1
0
4
0
3
1-2
50%
5-7
2-4
71%
46%
3-5
60%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.9
14.4
15.2
5
53%
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
2
3-4
75%
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.9
7.7
5.3
0
0%
1
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
6.8
2.8
7
66%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.0
0.8
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.5
0.8
0.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 23.9
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.6
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.