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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bulls14%88108
1Celtics86%102126
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.7
38.1
32.7
19
60%
7
2
3
1
1
1
4
3
2-2
100%
7-14
5-11
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.7
24.9
37.8
10
53%
0
1
0
1
0
5
0
0
1-1
100%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.2
23.0
38.6
14
64%
0
5
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-7
6-13
43%
44%
2-3
67%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.0
22.4
11.7
4
40%
8
3
0
0
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.2
5.8
31.2
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
5-12
33%
45%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.1
33.5
24.0
16
74%
6
3
0
0
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
4-6
67%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
26.9
18.8
10
83%
5
3
1
1
0
0
4
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-3
83%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.6
22.1
3.4
8
57%
3
4
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
44%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.9
20.1
22.4
9
57%
0
1
0
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
39%
1-3
33%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
12.0
1.0
8
49%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
2-5
40%
3-6
0-0
50%
43%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.0
11.1
1.9
8
57%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
38%
2-5
40%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.3
15.9
1
2-5
41%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.0
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.4
33.1
37.5
27
72%
3
5
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
51%
5-9
56%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.8
29.8
34.4
4
67%
5
15
4
2
0
1
4
1
0-0
-
2-3
5-9
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.1
29.8
33.1
25
77%
8
1
1
1
1
2
4
4
1-3
33%
12-15
4-7
80%
59%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.2
28.6
39.2
16
78%
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
5-7
5-10
71%
49%
1-2
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
25.4
34.3
17
69%
1
4
4
1
2
0
0
1
3-3
100%
7-11
7-13
64%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.9
20.8
15.5
10
73%
0
4
2
1
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.6
18.2
14.3
9
45%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
1-2
0%
45%
3-5
60%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.9
14.9
11.2
6
77%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.7
13.5
4.0
3
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.0
13.3
14.9
4
69%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
9.3
3.5
5
63%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
1-3
33%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.5
3.3
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.2
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.1
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.