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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Lakers65%10287
16Heat35%9789
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.3
35.5
37.4
28
54%
3
3
0
2
0
5
1
2
3-4
75%
11-21
8-16
52%
50%
1-3
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
34.8
34.7
13
51%
11
3
0
0
1
2
2
9
3-6
50%
5-10
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
30.2
30.1
13
67%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
2-5
40%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.1
27.2
30.3
4
45%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
0-1
0%
2-4
6-10
50%
58%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.7
16.8
19.3
2
25%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
27.0
24.8
7
70%
5
0
2
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
53%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.1
26.5
30.4
3
19%
4
1
0
1
0
2
3
1
1-4
25%
1-5
4-7
20%
54%
0-1
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
17.8
14.9
12
75%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
2-2
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
16.8
13.7
5
83%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
4.7
9.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
2.8
7.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.4
2.1
0
0-1
46%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.6
40.0
32.5
10
39%
3
4
1
2
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
2-7
29%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.6
38.5
36.1
12
58%
11
2
0
2
0
2
3
8
2-3
67%
5-9
5-10
56%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.9
37.6
35.8
35
60%
6
3
3
2
2
6
3
3
7-10
70%
11-21
8-17
52%
50%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.5
35.1
27.2
6
32%
5
1
3
0
2
0
0
5
0-3
0%
3-8
4-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.4
31.8
31.5
4
34%
8
1
3
1
2
1
4
4
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.6
18.7
23.8
14
78%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
4-6
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
18.3
21.9
6
80%
1
1
1
1
0
4
1
0
4-4
100%
1-2
5-10
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.6
9.7
5.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.3
5.4
13.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.2
4.8
14.5
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.1
3.1
0
0-1
47%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
2.3
0
0-1
47%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.0
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 23.3
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.