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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Trail Blazers19%9286
1Lakers81%103100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
39.0
36.0
22
57%
11
4
2
1
1
2
6
5
0-1
0%
11-19
7-15
58%
47%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.8
36.2
30.3
14
43%
5
3
3
1
0
2
3
2
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
2-9
22%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.0
34.8
21.5
10
50%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
4-7
57%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.1
34.0
16.8
17
124%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
3-3
100%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.9
30.2
35.3
13
46%
1
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
43%
3-7
43%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.6
17.8
10.7
3
24%
3
4
1
0
0
2
1
2
1-3
33%
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.3
15.4
29.0
3
19%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
43%
1-5
20%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
11.8
11.9
2
17%
4
4
1
0
0
1
1
3
2-4
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.6
10.0
2.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.2
8.9
25.8
2
114%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
2-4
-
57%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
1.9
5.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.1
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.5
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
34.8
25.4
4
41%
10
3
0
0
1
1
2
8
2-2
100%
1-4
5-8
25%
58%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
33.4
36.8
9
50%
5
5
2
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
45%
3-4
75%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
33.0
28.8
4
35%
5
2
2
2
2
1
0
5
4-6
67%
0-0
3-5
-
54%
0-3
0%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
32.8
36.6
26
61%
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
11-17
8-16
65%
51%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
28.4
34.3
19
82%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
5-6
83%
7-9
6-10
78%
55%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
27.9
28.5
10
51%
6
2
1
1
2
1
1
5
3-4
75%
2-5
3-6
40%
54%
1-3
33%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.8
25.3
18.3
11
74%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
18.0
5.8
16
88%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
6-7
86%
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
2-3
67%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.9
3.0
2.1
1
27%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
1.9
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
1.5
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
1.5
0
0-0
50%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.