FinalWin Prob.pScore
1653%97
99
2447%96
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
110.09091.9
MIN logo MIN
105.59189.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

TimberwolvesHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIN99
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)99
95.7%
96
4.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 298
94.4%
96
5.6%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)98
95.9%
96
4.1%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 298
86.2%
96
13.8%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)98
92.9%
96
7.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
87.7%
96
12.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MINMISS Carney 3PT Jump Shot97
81.8%
96
18.2%
Q4 - 0:12.0MINFoye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)97
61.5%
96
38.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MINMISS Foye 10' Jump Shot97
81.7%
96
18.3%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)97
65.4%
96
34.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)96
61.0%
96
39.0%
Q4 - 0:33.0MINJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)95
45.1%
96
54.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
31.0%
96
69.0%
Q4 - 1:00MIAMISS Beasley Layup95
35.8%
96
64.2%
Q4 - 1:14MINTelfair Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)95
48.8%
96
51.2%
Q4 - 1:16MIAGomes STEAL (2 STL)95
33.6%
96
66.4%
Q4 - 1:25MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
49.5%
96
50.5%
Q4 - 1:26MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
44.8%
96
55.2%
Q4 - 1:43MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)95
35.6%
96
64.4%
Q4 - 1:55MINFoye 27' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)95
49.0%
96
51.0%
Q4 - 2:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)95
70.0%
93
30.0%
Q4 - 2:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)94
68.0%
93
32.0%
Q4 - 2:25MINFoye 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)93
63.5%
93
36.5%
Q4 - 2:50MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (28 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)93
69.8%
91
30.2%
Q4 - 2:54MINLove Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)91
62.4%
91
37.6%
Q4 - 2:56MIALove STEAL (1 STL)91
48.0%
91
52.0%
Q4 - 3:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
62.8%
91
37.2%
Q4 - 3:07MINMISS Love 7' Jump Hook Shot91
58.3%
91
41.7%
Q4 - 3:26MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)91
47.4%
91
52.6%
Q4 - 3:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
41.3%
91
58.7%
Q4 - 3:44MINMISS Miller 18' Jump Shot89
38.3%
91
61.7%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)89
31.4%
91
68.6%
Q4 - 4:23MINCarney Layup (15 PTS) (Foye 8 AST)86
17.7%
91
82.3%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
23.5%
89
76.5%
Q4 - 4:29MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)85
22.1%
89
77.9%
Q4 - 4:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
17.6%
89
82.4%
Q4 - 4:39MINMISS Carney 9' Running Jump Shot84
15.8%
89
84.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T10)84
15.9%
89
84.1%
Q4 - 5:12MINFoye 20' Step Back Jump Shot (24 PTS)84
21.0%
89
79.0%
Q4 - 5:30MINLove REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)84
26.7%
87
73.3%
Q4 - 5:30MINMISS Cardinal 3PT Jump Shot84
31.8%
87
68.2%
Q4 - 5:48MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P1.T9)84
26.7%
87
73.3%
Q4 - 6:02MINFoye 4' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)84
36.8%
87
63.2%
Q4 - 6:08MINFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
43.6%
85
56.4%
Q4 - 6:08MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
46.0%
85
54.0%
Q4 - 6:23MINFoye 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)84
51.5%
85
48.5%
Q4 - 6:40MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
58.6%
83
41.4%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 283
56.9%
83
43.1%
Q4 - 6:58MINLove 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)83
58.9%
83
41.1%
Q4 - 7:24MIADiawara 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)83
65.0%
81
35.0%
Q4 - 7:36MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
52.0%
81
48.0%
Q4 - 7:37MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
49.7%
81
50.3%
Q4 - 7:47MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
44.5%
81
55.5%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot80
46.8%
81
53.2%
Q4 - 8:06MINFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)80
52.2%
81
47.8%
Q4 - 8:29MINLove REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
65.0%
78
35.0%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 280
65.7%
78
34.3%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 280
69.5%
78
30.5%
Q4 - 8:49MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)80
70.5%
78
29.5%
Q4 - 9:09MIABeasley 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
64.4%
78
35.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
58.5%
78
41.5%
Q4 - 9:27MINMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
56.8%
78
43.2%
Q4 - 9:51MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)78
52.8%
78
47.2%
Q4 - 10:22MINTelfair Driving Layup (9 PTS)76
47.1%
78
52.9%
Q4 - 10:26MIACardinal STEAL (1 STL)76
52.9%
76
47.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)76
58.4%
76
41.6%
Q4 - 10:40MINMISS Carney 21' Jump Shot76
56.7%
76
43.3%
Q4 - 10:54MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
52.9%
76
47.1%
Q4 - 10:55MIAMISS Quinn 3PT Jump Shot76
54.5%
76
45.5%
Q4 - 11:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)76
58.0%
76
42.0%
Q4 - 11:08MINMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q4 - 11:13MINCarney REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)76
53.1%
76
46.9%
Q4 - 11:14MINMISS Telfair Layup76
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q4 - 11:24MINLove REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
53.1%
76
46.9%
Q4 - 11:25MINMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
56.5%
76
43.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAQuinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)76
53.0%
76
47.0%
Q4 - 11:46MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)73
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot73
38.7%
76
61.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA73
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
42.1%
76
57.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MINMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
41.1%
76
58.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MINMISS Carney 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
41.1%
76
58.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIABeasley Driving Layup (8 PTS)73
38.1%
76
61.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MINCarney Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)71
32.8%
76
67.2%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHaslem Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)71
29.5%
76
70.5%
Q3 - 1:22MINTelfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)69
25.2%
76
74.8%
Q3 - 1:38MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
33.7%
73
66.3%
Q3 - 1:38MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
33.2%
73
66.8%
Q3 - 1:54MINCarney 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)67
29.1%
73
70.9%
Q3 - 2:00MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
38.3%
70
61.7%
Q3 - 2:01MIAMISS Marion 12' Jump Shot67
40.2%
70
59.8%
Q3 - 2:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
43.3%
70
56.7%
Q3 - 2:06MIACarney BLOCK (1 BLK)67
40.2%
70
59.8%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)67
43.3%
70
56.7%
Q3 - 2:16MINMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot67
41.9%
70
58.1%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMarion Layup (12 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)67
38.7%
70
61.3%
Q3 - 2:57MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
34.3%
70
65.7%
Q3 - 2:57MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
35.5%
69
64.5%
Q3 - 3:13MIAMarion Layup (10 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)65
39.6%
68
60.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
35.6%
68
64.4%
Q3 - 3:27MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
34.3%
68
65.7%
Q3 - 3:49MIAWade Layup (23 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)63
31.3%
68
68.7%
Q3 - 4:09MINGomes Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Foye 7 AST)61
28.6%
68
71.4%
Q3 - 4:14MINFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
31.7%
66
68.3%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
33.0%
66
67.0%
Q3 - 4:40MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
36.2%
66
63.8%
Q3 - 4:40MINJefferson Tip Shot (9 PTS)61
36.2%
66
63.8%
Q3 - 4:41MINMISS Jefferson Tip Shot61
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 4:41MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)61
39.7%
64
60.3%
Q3 - 4:42MINMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot61
43.1%
64
56.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)61
40.1%
64
59.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)60
39.6%
64
60.4%
Q3 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
36.6%
64
63.4%
Q3 - 5:14MINMISS Gomes 15' Jump Shot59
35.3%
64
64.7%
Q3 - 5:34MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
32.3%
64
67.7%
Q3 - 5:34MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
33.6%
64
66.4%
Q3 - 5:50MINSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
36.6%
64
63.4%
Q3 - 5:50MINSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
37.7%
63
62.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)59
40.8%
62
59.2%
Q3 - 6:06MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)58
40.0%
62
60.0%
Q3 - 6:21MINSmith Reverse Layup (2 PTS)57
37.3%
62
62.7%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)57
40.8%
60
59.2%
Q3 - 6:55MINTelfair Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)55
37.2%
60
62.8%
Q3 - 7:12MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
34.0%
60
66.0%
Q3 - 7:12MIAHeat Rebound54
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 254
33.2%
60
66.8%
Q3 - 7:25MINJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
34.1%
60
65.9%
Q3 - 7:25MINMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 254
34.9%
59
65.1%
Q3 - 7:37MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMISS Marion 7' Jump Shot54
35.0%
59
65.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
37.6%
59
62.4%
Q3 - 7:43MINMISS Foye 6' Jump Shot54
36.5%
59
63.5%
Q3 - 7:58MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)54
33.9%
59
66.1%
Q3 - 8:22MINGomes 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Foye 6 AST)52
31.1%
59
68.9%
Q3 - 8:46MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q3 - 8:47MIAMISS Marion 12' Step Back Jump Shot52
35.3%
57
64.7%
Q3 - 8:50MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot52
35.3%
57
64.7%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)52
38.3%
57
61.7%
Q3 - 9:16MINMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot52
37.2%
57
62.8%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
34.8%
57
65.2%
Q3 - 9:32MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
34.1%
57
65.9%
Q3 - 9:51MINGomes 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Foye 5 AST)50
31.6%
57
68.4%
Q3 - 9:57MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)50
34.8%
55
65.2%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Chalmers Layup50
35.8%
55
64.2%
Q3 - 10:05MINTelfair Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)50
38.8%
55
61.2%
Q3 - 10:15MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
35.4%
55
64.6%
Q3 - 10:16MINMISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
37.8%
55
62.2%
Q3 - 10:29MIAAnthony 9' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)50
35.4%
55
64.6%
Q3 - 10:51MINFoye 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)48
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 10:59MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)48
38.7%
52
61.3%
Q3 - 11:23MINTelfair Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)48
42.9%
52
57.1%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMarion Driving Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)48
39.3%
52
60.7%
Q3 - 11:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)46
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q3 - 11:53MINMISS Telfair Layup46
35.2%
52
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIN46
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
32.9%
52
67.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup46
35.0%
52
65.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAHeat Rebound46
36.5%
52
63.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIALove BLOCK (2 BLK)46
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
36.5%
52
63.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot46
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)46
36.5%
52
63.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0MINMISS Gomes 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.8%
52
64.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0MINJump Ball Jefferson vs. Marion: Tip to Telfair46
34.1%
52
65.9%
Q2 - 1:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q2 - 1:17MINMISS Love 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.3%
52
63.7%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 3 of 3 (21 PTS)46
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 3 (20 PTS)45
34.2%
52
65.8%
Q2 - 1:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 3 (19 PTS)44
33.5%
52
66.5%
Q2 - 2:06MINGomes 10' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
29.4%
52
70.6%
Q2 - 2:09MINFoye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q2 - 2:11MINMISS Love Layup43
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q2 - 2:13MINLove REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)43
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q2 - 2:15MINMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot43
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q2 - 2:32MIAMarion 3' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q2 - 2:58MINFoye 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Carney 1 AST)41
29.3%
50
70.7%
Q2 - 3:16MINLove REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
35.2%
47
64.8%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 3:23MINLove Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 3:26MINLove REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)41
35.2%
47
64.8%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot41
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)41
38.6%
47
61.4%
Q2 - 3:35MINMISS Love 16' Jump Shot41
37.5%
47
62.5%
Q2 - 3:54MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
35.2%
47
64.8%
Q2 - 4:11MIAHeat Rebound38
30.6%
47
69.4%
Q2 - 4:12MINMISS Carney 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
29.7%
47
70.3%
Q2 - 4:25MIAChalmers 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
27.9%
47
72.1%
Q2 - 4:46MINCarney Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Love 3 AST)36
25.6%
47
74.4%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWade 5' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)36
27.8%
45
72.2%
Q2 - 5:05MINJefferson 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Love 2 AST)34
26.4%
45
73.6%
Q2 - 5:24MIADiawara Layup (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)34
28.8%
43
71.2%
Q2 - 5:28MINLove Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)32
26.4%
43
73.6%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)32
24.2%
43
75.8%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)31
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 5:35MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
20.7%
43
79.3%
Q2 - 5:50MINJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
22.0%
43
78.0%
Q2 - 5:55MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)30
20.1%
43
79.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup30
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 6:14MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 6:14MINJefferson Tip Shot (4 PTS)30
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 6:15MINMISS Foye Layup30
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 6:19MIAFoye STEAL (1 STL)30
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 6:22MINFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
27.2%
41
72.8%
Q2 - 6:27MINFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 6:29MIAMISS Jones Tip Shot30
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 6:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot30
25.3%
41
74.7%
Q2 - 6:52MINLove REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 6:52MINLove Tip Shot (6 PTS)30
27.1%
41
72.9%
Q2 - 6:54MINMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot30
31.0%
39
69.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIAWade Driving Dunk (14 PTS)30
29.8%
39
70.2%
Q2 - 7:26MINMiller Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)28
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 7:32MINJump Ball Love vs. Haslem: Tip to Carney28
32.2%
36
67.8%
Q2 - 7:33MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Bank Shot28
33.0%
36
67.0%
Q2 - 7:48MIAHeat Rebound28
34.8%
36
65.2%
Q2 - 7:50MINMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot28
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 8:03MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)28
33.0%
36
67.0%
Q2 - 8:13MINMiller Foul Turnover (P1.T4)26
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 8:33MIABeasley 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)26
28.3%
36
71.7%
Q2 - 8:51MINFoye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cardinal 2 AST)24
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 9:09MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
30.8%
33
69.2%
Q2 - 9:10MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup24
31.5%
33
68.5%
Q2 - 9:21MINLove Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q2 - 9:21MINLove Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
33.7%
32
66.3%
Q2 - 9:31MINLove REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
35.6%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 9:32MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot24
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 9:53MINMiller 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cardinal 1 AST)24
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 10:10MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)24
43.5%
28
56.5%
Q2 - 10:14MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 10:16MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot22
39.2%
28
60.8%
Q2 - 10:28MINCardinal Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)22
41.0%
28
59.0%
Q2 - 10:42MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound22
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 10:43MINMISS Carney 4' Running Jump Shot22
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q2 - 10:46MINLove REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
43.5%
26
56.5%
Q2 - 10:48MIALove BLOCK (1 BLK)22
44.3%
26
55.7%
Q2 - 11:08MINFoye 7' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)22
46.3%
26
53.7%
Q2 - 11:16MINCarney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 11:17MINMISS Carney 18' Running Jump Shot22
50.6%
24
49.4%
Q2 - 11:31MIABeasley 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)22
48.8%
24
51.2%
Q2 - 11:45MINCarney 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)20
46.3%
24
53.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIN20
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)20
51.3%
21
48.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
50.8%
21
49.2%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
48.5%
21
51.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0MINMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 218
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 0:05.0MINMISS Miller Free Throw 1 of 218
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0MINTIMBERWOLVES Rebound18
46.7%
21
53.3%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Beasley 11' Jump Shot18
47.2%
21
52.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0MINCarney 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)18
48.6%
21
51.4%
Q1 - 1:05MIABeasley 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)18
54.3%
18
45.7%
Q1 - 1:20MINLove 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foye 2 AST)16
51.2%
18
48.8%
Q1 - 1:30MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)16
54.3%
16
45.7%
Q1 - 1:48MINCarney Foul Turnover (P1.T3)16
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 1:53MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)16
54.3%
16
45.7%
Q1 - 1:58MINCardinal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)14
51.2%
16
48.8%
Q1 - 2:09MIABeasley Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
49.6%
16
50.4%
Q1 - 2:22MINCardinal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Love 1 AST)14
51.5%
16
48.5%
Q1 - 2:44MINMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
56.5%
13
43.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot14
57.1%
13
42.9%
Q1 - 3:00MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 214
56.8%
13
43.2%
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
58.3%
13
41.7%
Q1 - 3:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
56.5%
13
43.5%
Q1 - 3:11MINMISS Miller 3PT Jump Shot13
55.8%
13
44.2%
Q1 - 3:21MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 3:22MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup13
54.9%
13
45.1%
Q1 - 3:42MINTelfair Driving Layup (4 PTS)13
56.4%
13
43.6%
Q1 - 3:52MINTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
58.7%
11
41.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot13
59.4%
11
40.6%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 4:08MINMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot13
60.0%
11
40.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)13
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 4:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
54.4%
11
45.6%
Q1 - 4:37MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)11
55.8%
11
44.2%
Q1 - 4:41MINTelfair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)10
54.2%
11
45.8%
Q1 - 5:02MINSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:02MIAMISS Anthony 18' Jump Shot10
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 5:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
54.0%
11
46.0%
Q1 - 5:12MINMISS Gomes 19' Jump Shot10
53.3%
11
46.7%
Q1 - 5:31MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)10
51.6%
11
48.4%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
49.7%
11
50.3%
Q1 - 5:53MINMISS Gomes Free Throw 2 of 28
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 5:53MINGomes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 5:56MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
49.4%
10
50.6%
Q1 - 5:57MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)8
50.2%
10
49.8%
Q1 - 6:15MINFoye 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
51.9%
10
48.1%
Q1 - 6:32MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)8
53.9%
8
46.1%
Q1 - 6:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
51.9%
8
48.1%
Q1 - 6:42MINMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot6
51.2%
8
48.8%
Q1 - 7:00MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
50.3%
8
49.7%
Q1 - 7:17MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
52.0%
8
48.0%
Q1 - 7:18MINMISS Jefferson 11' Turnaround Jump Shot6
51.3%
8
48.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
49.6%
8
50.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
49.2%
8
50.8%
Q1 - 7:48MINFoye 4' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)4
47.7%
8
52.3%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)4
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 8:24MIAHeat Rebound2
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 8:25MINMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot2
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIAAnthony Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:50MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
47.7%
6
52.3%
Q1 - 8:52MINMISS Jefferson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot2
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 9:03MINJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
6
53.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMISS Marion 8' Jump Shot2
47.2%
6
52.8%
Q1 - 9:18MINJefferson 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)2
48.4%
6
51.6%
Q1 - 9:32MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
50.6%
4
49.4%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot2
51.1%
4
48.9%
Q1 - 9:46MINGomes 7' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
52.4%
4
47.6%
Q1 - 9:56MINGomes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
54.6%
2
45.4%
Q1 - 9:56MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 10:12MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:12MINMISS Telfair 15' Jump Shot2
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 10:34MIAGomes STEAL (1 STL)2
54.5%
2
45.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
56.4%
2
43.6%
Q1 - 10:48MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Running Jump Shot2
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 11:10MINTelfair 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
56.2%
2
43.8%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)2
57.8%
0
42.2%
Q1 - 12:00MINJump Ball Jefferson vs. Anthony: Tip to Wade0
56.2%
0
43.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.8%
MIN
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
28
61%
MIN
16
23
70%
Midrange
MIA
13
32
41%
MIN
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
12
25%
38%
MIN
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
Free Throws
MIA
30
38
79%
MIN
9
13
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3170%15.5 / 22
U. Haslem1765%8.5 / 13
S. Marion1667%8.0 / 12
M. Beasley1444%7.0 / 16
Y. Diawara8100%4.0 / 4
C. Quinn770%3.5 / 5
M. Chalmers418%2.0 / 11
J. Anthony233%1.0 / 3
D. Cook0-0.0 / 3
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIN logo Timberwolves
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Foye2969%14.5 / 21
R. Carney1563%7.5 / 12
R. Gomes1161%5.5 / 9
A. Jefferson930%4.5 / 15
S. Telfair964%4.5 / 7
K. Love850%4.0 / 8
C. Smith675%3.0 / 4
B. Cardinal583%2.5 / 3
M. Miller422%2.0 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+14
-12
92
MIN
75
+15
-16
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 53.8%
MIN
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
105.6
MIA 110.0 +4.5
MIN 105.5
Pace
90.2
92.1
MIA 91.9 +2.8
MIN 89.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
MIA 15.7 +0.5
MIN 16.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.1%
MIA 47.9%
MIN 53.0% +5.1%
TO %
13.1%
14.6%
MIA 12.8% +2.6%
MIN 15.4%
ORB %
24.6%
27.8%
MIA 30.0%
MIN 31.7% +1.7%
FTrt
28.2
28.9
MIA 52.8 +36.9
MIN 15.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.1%
MIA 69.7% +22.3%
MIN 47.4%
STL %
8.7%
6.7%
MIA 11.1% +4.5%
MIN 6.6%
BLK %
9.2%
6.3%
MIA 10.9% +4.2%
MIN 6.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.1%
MIA 53.8% +1.1%
MIN 52.7%
Rim FG%
59.5%
55.6%
MIA 60.7%
MIN 69.6% +8.9%
Mid FG%
41.8%
38.6%
MIA 40.6% +6.2%
MIN 34.4%
3P %
35.7%
35.3%
MIA 25.0%
MIN 40.7% +15.7%
FT %
75.4%
76.9%
MIA 78.9% +9.7%
MIN 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
36.9%
MIA 38.9% +10.8%
MIN 28.0%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
40.3%
MIA 44.4%
MIN 39.0% +5.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
22.7%
MIA 16.7%
MIN 32.9% +16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIN
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9996
Rebounds4041
Assists2318
Steals106
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)28 (2)
Field Goals33-7238-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2816-23
Midrange FG13-3211-32
2-Point FG30-6027-55
3-Point FG3-1211-27
Free Throws30-389-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
40.9
17
65%
10
1
1
0
1
2
2
8
3-4
75%
7-11
64%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
40.7
31
70%
3
8
3
3
4
2
1
2
13-16
81%
9-14
64%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
38.0
16
67%
11
3
2
2
1
2
2
9
6-6
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
29.9
4
18%
3
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
2-4
50%
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
13.4
2
33%
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
22.8
14
44%
7
2
1
0
3
3
2
5
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
18.2
7
70%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
15.3
8
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
G · 6'5" 210 · 22
11.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
6.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
2.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
#5 · G · 6'2" 205 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
54%
40
23
10
6
12
0
12
28
30-38
79%
30-60
50%
3-12
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.