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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 13, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Lakers55%99105
12Rockets45%97100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
42.0
37.6
33
46%
7
4
0
1
0
2
1
6
6-9
67%
12-28
7-15
43%
49%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.5
41.5
37.5
11
47%
7
4
2
0
2
1
4
3
5-6
83%
3-9
6-12
33%
53%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.4
38.9
39.1
8
58%
2
3
1
2
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
42%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
26.9
32.9
11
43%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
5-12
6-10
42%
56%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
19.4
22.9
12
100%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
2-2
100%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.5
28.8
20.2
14
100%
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
2-3
67%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
27.5
15.1
10
69%
4
4
0
0
1
1
1
3
4-5
80%
3-5
2-3
60%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
12.2
14.6
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-0
-
Sun Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
2.9
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
22.1
1
1-3
44%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
1.8
0
0-1
46%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.0
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
39.1
28.2
23
82%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
47%
3-4
75%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
32.5
31.9
11
37%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
4-12
2-6
33%
41%
1-2
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.3
32.0
29.8
19
52%
17
5
0
0
3
2
2
15
1-1
100%
9-18
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.3
29.8
22.9
3
38%
4
2
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-4
25%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
25.1
26.0
6
75%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
4-8
75%
51%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
30.1
23.5
21
74%
8
1
0
0
0
2
3
5
5-5
100%
8-12
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.0
17.8
14.4
9
90%
2
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
17.5
27.7
4
20%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
11.6
15.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
4.3
4.9
4
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.1
6.7
0
1-1
45%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.